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US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Ferretlover » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 09:59:53

The People will have a hard time revolting if they don't have any gas to get around. (See Gas Shortages)

As for the numbers (military vs citizens): Somewhere in one of the threads is a news release about members of the military having to sign statement that they would be willing to shoot Americans-maybe someone remembers where that story is?
It would just take a few bombs dropped on a few major cities (OH, no! Those Terrorists Are Attacking!!) to put the fear of opposing our military into the general population.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Pops » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 16:23:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ferretlover', ' ')Somewhere in one of the threads is a news release about members of the military having to sign statement that they would be willing to shoot Americans...


No big secret, Ferret, the Oath goes;

"I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice."

But like any citizen, servicemen have an obligation to adhere to the law:

An order which is unlawful not only does not need to be obeyed, but obeying such an order can result in criminal prosecution of the one who obeys it. Military courts have long held that military members are accountable for their actions even while following orders -- if the order was illegal.

All the examples which could be cited of overreaching on the part of some officer ordering illegal lethal action against a US citizens probably wouldn't add up to the number of people killed by drunk drivers in a week.

I still don't like it, but I do think there are bigger fish to fry.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 17:31:25

Well, there may be bigger fish to fry and there may not. I don't know.

The way I see this playing out is as follows: Lets say that there is a region that needs to be controlled, some big city like NY or DC. Coinidentaill there will be a "terrorist" attack, or significant threat of a terrorist attack.

This attack will get the patriotic juices flowing. A Brigade will be brought in to control the situation. The people will welcome them.

The Brigade is not really there to control "the people", the people generally do what they are told by propoganda. The Brigade is there to control the freethinkers (rabel rousers, nay sayers, anarchist, whatever) who might educate the people.

You just have to control others who would heard the sheeple in a different direction.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Pops » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 21:13:33

I don't know either.

But if this is the kind of thing that concerns a person then I'd suggest one prepare for the ramifications and certainly not broadcast those preps on the internet.

Personally, I can imagine more likely situations which would affect me in a bad way. But those require some effort on my part to prepare for and aren't nearly as interesting to chat about.

Maybe paranoia on a message board is sexy but I can see anyone's' IP with one click, and someone who knows something probably can see all our physical addresses in a pop-up window.


So, I'd posit, all this stuff about Them is just chat room stuff for chatters to chat about.

Anyone who truly believed such stuff certainly wouldn't broadcast to all and sundry.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 21:42:48

It's a crime control measure. I don't think TPTB have much fear of an actual grass roots revolution. But crime could certainly escalate. You have to figure that of the roughly 3 or 4 million thrown immediately out of work, 1 million will not be able to find long term alternatives and will drift into lives of crime.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 21:55:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', 'T')hats all sounds great but a good bunch of armed guys are nothing more but the sheep . They will bring all those guns themselves to the nearest sheriff/fbi office/police station as soon as they will hear something like " Terror! Terrorist are all around, lurking around to get some weapons! Ouuuhhh! Terror!!! Ouuuhhu!!" then another bunch will bring in weapons to exchange them for gasoline or food, or will relinquish all to a mere threat of incarceration.

Hmmm, maybe the Army should try this in Iraq. A family member who returned this year from a 15 month deployment told me everybody there has an AK47 and a supply of ammo. Nothing seems to have made these people give up their guns and they have little more than their lives and their families.

I don't know if you yourself possess a firearm or know people who do, but I have to disagree. Americans will be very difficult to disarm.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 22:34:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', '
')I sincerely hope you're right, but there's substantial evidence that contradicts you. I cite Greensburg, KS, Ruby Ridge, ID, Waco, TX (Yes, I went there), and the Stanford Prison Experiment evidence that they can and will engage in acts of brutality against anyone, and I further cite the Milgram experiment as evidence that not only will they follow whatever orders are handed down, but the people will accept domination without question, until such a time as their diets fall below approximately 1200 calories per day.


Again my example is Iraq. The people of that nation have been under extreme stress for what, the last 25 years? Since at least the start of the Iran-Iraq war, then the Desert Storm war in 1991, the embargo imposed on them by U.S. with the cooperation of the U.N. and NATO. And finally the American Invasion. All the while under the threat of attack from the air and a much diminished food supply. I'm sure the average calorie count has been much reduced even to this day.

But still this is a people who still resist being conquered, what the neocons thought would be easy to do. Everyone there still has a gun; they haven't by any assessment given them up. And while there is currently appears to be a lull in the fighting, any number of events (an American or Israeli attack on Iran) could bring it back full bore. And I for one do not think our small Army is the right size for anything but our own boarders. Let’s bring them back home. But don’t worry; they're still too small in number to do what some people here imagine (even if they were all willing to cooperate!)
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 23:29:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mesuge', 'H')m, where were these patriots on November 22, 1963 and 9/11 just to pick up a few of the escalating moments towards dictatorship, haven't seen any. In fact these military guys in charge were even promoted afterwards, apparently for good job done. Apologies for the unnamed few heroes who have had a violant car crash on still street or committed suicide with several different guns simultaneously while shaving.


Mesuge, I don't know if you are an American or old enough to remember the 60's in America. But being both I know there has been a profound change to the acceptance of government disinformation and mandates, not by all, or even most, but by a significant many.

The Patriots after November 22,1963 where those who refused to follow the government mantra of "light at the end of the tunnel" or "Peace with honor" crap being shoveled at them for the duration of the Vietnam War. Many outright resisted the draft or found a way out. Sometimes because they truly thought about the politics, more often because they didn't feel like getting their legs blown off by a mine or have their brains splatter in a rice patty by some sniper. But all of them knew the government was full of shit and they didn’t' want to be a pawn to it.

Between the people who opposed the war, opposed being drafted, or opposed having themselves or their loved ones used as cannon fodder by the neocons of the 1960's, they stopped that war.

You can say yah,yah, yah, but there's war going on again today. That's true, but they have not tried to implement a draft since 1973 for the reasons outlined above (though I'm sure they want to). Only those who sadly joined for adventure (a relative of mine), the stupid (they always will), or whose parents didn't have any sense themselves to warn their kid, (Sarah Palin's son), have gone off to this new war.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 23:35:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Arsenal', 'O')ne individual or compound vs the Army would fail. If the Army tried to control the whole USA, it would fail dramatically. It's just a law of numbers. For example.

300 Million Americans
~65 Million are armed

Now most of those 65 million have multiple firearms so if they spread it around then we are looking at 100 Million to fight an occupation. Granted, not everyone would fight but still.

So one guy is sitting there with his .308 and pops 1.. ONE soldier and then is promptly killed.

99,999,999 Million gun owners left.
499,999 Soldiers left

How long until the Army can't sustain those number. Don't quibble about the numbers but just get this. When there is a smaller, better trained, better equipped force the only advantage they have is surprise and shock/awe. Eventually they have to walk the streets where everyone can see them. Occupation with our own armed forces will not happen without disarming the public first.


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Arsenal, you made my point much better than I did!
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Quinny » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 03:29:59

But this assumes Unity of purposes among the masses, in reality they'd be turning their guns against each other.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Arsenal', 'O')ne individual or compound vs the Army would fail. If the Army tried to control the whole USA, it would fail dramatically. It's just a law of numbers. For example.

300 Million Americans
~65 Million are armed

Now most of those 65 million have multiple firearms so if they spread it around then we are looking at 100 Million to fight an occupation. Granted, not everyone would fight but still.

So one guy is sitting there with his .308 and pops 1.. ONE soldier and then is promptly killed.

99,999,999 Million gun owners left.
499,999 Soldiers left

How long until the Army can't sustain those number. Don't quibble about the numbers but just get this. When there is a smaller, better trained, better equipped force the only advantage they have is surprise and shock/awe. Eventually they have to walk the streets where everyone can see them. Occupation with our own armed forces will not happen without disarming the public first.


Arsenal


Arsenal, you made my point much better than I did!
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 04:34:11

In the Battle of the Many versus the Few, the Few ALWAYS lose long term, though short term the Few can create devastating losses among the Many. Remember the 300. 300 very well armed and well trained men were able to decimate a force of more than 10,000 simply by having better weapons and holding the high ground.

Long term however, the society of the 300 collapsed. Your society cannot succeed if it impoverishes many to the benefit of the few. Eventually, the impoverishment becomes so great that it becomes a better choice to fight than to willingly succumb to death. Such gorups self-organize, at the beginning its pure anarchy and the Few hold the advantage. But the Many just keep on coming, and they get organized. Leaders emerge, some Fascists, some Communists but they ALWAYS emerge. In the past the fighting brought down the population sufficiently and created enough demand destruction that the societies could once again start to rebuild, under some for of organization. Not this time.

This time, there is not enough resource left to rebuild such societies, they will shrink down locally until some sustainable level is reached in a given area. It HAS to go that way, the only other option here is species extinction by some form, either through enviromental degradation or thermonuclear war. It wll be a long time before the nation state redevelops, if it ever does.

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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Quinny » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 05:05:46

I think it would take a really organised revolution for the many individual groups to take on the established army.

The evidence I is that most people see defense as an individualistic thing and aren't looking at a common goal.

I personally cannot see the 'many' dispersed groups of individuals or factions defeatng the US army no matter what the odds.

The Army would control supply & communication lines and so you'd have a well fueled equipped army v under resourced populace. The factions/gangs would be at each others throats whilst the rest of population would probably view them as 'troublemakers' and support our boys/troops, till they themselves became the 'troublemakers'.

Leaders wouldn't need to emerge they are already there, running the show.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', 'I')n the Battle of the Many versus the Few, the Few ALWAYS lose long term, though short term the Few can create devastating losses among the Many. Remember the 300. 300 very well armed and well trained men were able to decimate a force of more than 10,000 simply by having better weapons and holding the high ground.

Long term however, the society of the 300 collapsed. Your society cannot succeed if it impoverishes many to the benefit of the few. Eventually, the impoverishment becomes so great that it becomes a better choice to fight than to willingly succumb to death. Such gorups self-organize, at the beginning its pure anarchy and the Few hold the advantage. But the Many just keep on coming, and they get organized. Leaders emerge, some Fascists, some Communists but they ALWAYS emerge. In the past the fighting brought down the population sufficiently and created enough demand destruction that the societies could once again start to rebuild, under some for of organization. Not this time.

This time, there is not enough resource left to rebuild such societies, they will shrink down locally until some sustainable level is reached in a given area. It HAS to go that way, the only other option here is species extinction by some form, either through enviromental degradation or thermonuclear war. It wll be a long time before the nation state redevelops, if it ever does.

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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 05:43:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I') think it would take a really organised revolution for the many individual groups to take on the established army.


The "organized" army lasts only so long as TPTB can afford to fund said army. Did you not notice TPTB, as well as ALL societies everywhere are BANKRUPT?

The military fractures once the funding source for the military fractures. It devolves into local armies. They fight it out amongst each other in their small territories. Happens all the time in third world countries, and military despots emerge from the carnage. Coming to a Theater Near You in the newest member of the community of Third World Nations States, the USA.

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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Quinny » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 05:56:26

but..

I personally think PO changes that, we're not just in a financial meltdown, but a cataclysmic change in society. The first stage will be rationing of oils where it's only to be used for 'essential' travel/industries/organisations. Which organisation will be top of the list? You're guess is as good as mine, but I bet we come to the same answer anywhere. How about a few candidates..

Medical
Food Production
Education
Finance :)
Entertainment
Energy supplies
Police
Military

can't see it being the last two can you ;)
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 06:33:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'b')ut.. I personally think PO changes that, we're not just in a financial meltdown, but a cataclysmic change in society. The first stage will be rationing of oils where it's only to be used for 'essential' travel/industries/organisations. Which organisation will be top of the list? You're guess is as good as mine, but I bet we come to the same answer anywhere. How about a few candidates:
Medical, Food Production, Education, Finance :) , Entertainment, Energy supplies, Police, Military. can't see it being the last two can you ;)

You will get a very quick answer to this question in the short term when they have bled the last gallon of gas out of the Colonial Pipeline.

How long can Nashville go without Gas before it EXPLODES? Maybe 2 weeks? Problem for the Police Dept is they ALSO need gas to move around in the squad cars, so the Gooberment will first get gas to them, probably in tanker trucks. Some of this gas also goes to emergency services vehicles, fire trucks, ambulances, etc.

The local cops unfortunately can only cover this so long, they are few and the problems are many. At this point they have to bring in the National Guard. Sustained with their vehicles by the central Military, but their supply line can only last so long when the actual infrastructure and production facilities for the gas are still offline for the most part.

The best example here is what already HAPPENNED in the direct aftermath of Ike, National Guardsmen were running out of food and water and begging the POPULATION to bring them supplies. this actually made it into the major news media, I was shocked by that. It indicates to me that there is no plan at all in place for logistical supply to the military forces needed to maintain control. Without the logistics, you are FINISHED. Think the supply line Germany tried to run to Moscow during WWII, this FINISHED them on the Russian Front. Basically the entire army froze or starved to death. You cannot run a good military operaton without good logistics, and sorry, Chertoff and Homeland Security are clueless in this regard. Massive failure of the military to hold order here is likely.

The soldiers they put in place with M-16 rifles are themselves weapons against the order. It gets ugly fast. You think the downspin in the financial markets played out rapidly? Wait until social disorder takes hold. Nightmare.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby TheDude » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 06:59:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', 'H')mmm, maybe the Army should try this in Iraq. A family member who returned this year from a 15 month deployment told me everybody there has an AK47 and a supply of ammo. Nothing seems to have made these people give up their guns and they have little more than their lives and their families.

The father of a friend of mine served in WWII, through the US occupation of Germany. He says standard op was top-to-bottom door-to-door confiscation of EVERY firearm. Didn't matter if it was an 18th century snaphaunce that had been hanging on the wall for 150 years, the GIs took it. Everything on the block would be piled up in the street and run over by a Sherman tank.

Why such measures are considered unacceptable now I couldn't tell you. Only recourse is to delve into various CTs regarding the neocons' objective. Or the circumstances/logistics prevent disarming the Iraqis now. Either way it's pretty disgusting.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 10:19:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'W')hy such measures are considered unacceptable now I couldn't tell you.

Simple. Germans, pre-war, had no guns. There's a big difference between disarming a society and re-disarming a society. Also germany was ethnically homogerous and not disposed to ethnic in fighting, so the population was much more disposable to being disarmed. Germany is a slightly smaller country than Iraq and the allies invaded Germany with about 1,000,000 soldiers. The Soviets were simultaneously invading the east of the country. At the peak of the US invasion of Iraq it had 130,000 soldiers there.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 13:47:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', 'I') sincerely hope you're right, but there's substantial evidence that contradicts you. I cite Greensburg, KS, Ruby Ridge, ID, Waco, TX (Yes, I went there), and the Stanford Prison Experiment evidence that they can and will engage in acts of brutality against anyone, and I further cite the Milgram experiment as evidence that not only will they follow whatever orders are handed down, but the people will accept domination without question, until such a time as their diets fall below approximately 1200 calories per day.
Again my example is Iraq. The people of that nation have been under extreme stress for what, the last 25 years? Since at least the start of the Iran-Iraq war, then the Desert Storm war in 1991, the embargo imposed on them by U.S. with the cooperation of the U.N. and NATO. And finally the American Invasion. All the while under the threat of attack from the air and a much diminished food supply. I'm sure the average calorie count has been much reduced even to this day.

But still this is a people who still resist being conquered, what the neocons thought would be easy to do. Everyone there still has a gun; they haven't by any assessment given them up. And while there is currently appears to be a lull in the fighting, any number of events (an American or Israeli attack on Iran) could bring it back full bore. And I for one do not think our small Army is the right size for anything but our own boarders. Let’s bring them back home. But don’t worry; they're still too small in number to do what some people here imagine (even if they were all willing to cooperate!)

I bolded the important part. The reason the Iraqis continue to resist, is precisely because their diets have been reduced to next to nothing. They literally have nothing to lose but their lives, which they are losing anyway, so they fight.

The situation in America isn't quite there yet. When the poor start dying of starvation, rather than diabetes, maybe they will fight. They aren't stressed enough to rebel yet, so they will sit back and be dominated.
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Re: US Army Prepares for SHTF in the States

Unread postby Pretorian » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 16:25:43

I'd like to repeat my old question to those who hope for armed populace to be a pillar for the remnants of American liberties.
You won't have soldiers marching around you. You will see same cop faces as you did before. All the difference will be 1 little car with 2 little men making 5-6 trips every night, ( that should suffice for a city like Nashville, I think ) and sometimes in the morning you'll hear that some redneck down teh road happened to be engaged in terroristic activities, so you won't see him ever again.
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