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Canadian General Election

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby Nickel » Sat 06 Sep 2008, 22:22:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Fishman', 'N')o liberal coalitions can exist. They tear each other apart.


The Liberal minority government in 1972 ran with the support of the NDP for two years before the 1974 election. Similarly, a minority Liberal government in Ontario ran in coalition with the NDP in the 1980s, breaking an uninterrupted 43-year string of Progressive Conservative governments in the province. It's not par for the course in this system, but it does happen.

It would be considered illegitimate, though, for a coalition of two parties to attempt form a government when neither had the plurality of seats in a legislature. That is, if party A had 75 seats (out of 160, say), and B and C had 65 and 20 respectively, a minority government would be formed by party A, even if B and C were amenable to a coalition, since A is the single party with the largest number of seats.
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby auscanman » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 00:15:20

This election will be totally pointless. The outcome seems certain to be more or less the same minority situation there currently is. Harper won't reach the sort of numbers he needs for a majority, and Dion is perhaps the most pathetic leader politics in any country has ever known. The best outcome conceivably possible IMO would be a thinner Conservative minority, with the Liberals bleeding a lot of seats to the Greens and NDP, and the Conservatives bleeding some support to the Greens.

Both the Conservatives and Liberals seem to be rotten to the core, so neither of them will be getting my vote. I'll probably vote Green, depending on who their candidate is in my riding (although I'm not a fan of Elizabeth May and her strategic alliance with the Liberals).
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby Nickel » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 07:52:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'T')his election will be totally pointless.


Well, I dunno. The Globe and Mail reported that a poll indicated the Tories stand at 37%, and in a multiparty election, that's fringe majority territory. If nothing else, it represents a much stronger minority government.

What I find particularly bothersome, though, is that that Tories, having gone and passed legislation to give us regular elections in October every four years, are cynically considering resigning the government and forcing an election a year in advance simply because the polls are sweet.
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby drew » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 09:01:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('venky', 'W')hy is there never an NDP-Liberal coalition (both left of center parties) instead of a minority Conservative government?


Liberals being left of centre??

You've got to be kidding, right?

They are the same pro business bunch as the Tories.

You should look at how Paul Martin ran Finance before he became PM.

The business community LOVED him.

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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby DaleFromCalgary » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 09:08:42

"Doesn't the media determine the president & the voters do what they're told?"

Setting aside the fact that Canada doesn't have a president, the problem is that the media are regionalized, and so are the politics. Western Canada will go Tory, and outside the cappucino-drinking urban areas in eastern Canada and Vancouver, few Canucks will trust the NDP with the keys to the Royal Canadian Mint. Bloc Quebecois will be the spoilers in Quebec, and the Liberals have a leader who is incoherent in both official languages.

One reason the Tories seem ready to call an election now is that oil prices are in a lull, so Canadians indignant about how much it costs to fill up their SUV have sunk back into complacency. Gasoline is a rough average of about $1.30 per litre, which converts to about $6 per gallon. That is why I don't have any sympathy for Americans whining about $4 gas.
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby drew » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 09:30:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DaleFromCalgary', 'G')asoline is a rough average of about $1.30 per litre, which converts to about $6 per gallon. That is why I don't have any sympathy for Americans whining about $4 gas.




Well said my Trudeau hating friend!

(hey that even rhymes)
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby Maddog78 » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 10:22:20

3.785 * $C1.30 * $US0.94 = more like $US4.63/US gal but yeah I get your point.
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby gampy » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 10:44:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('venky', 'W')hy is there never an NDP-Liberal coalition (both left of center parties) instead of a minority Conservative government?


I would say that the liberals (and consevatives) are too large at the moment to make that appealing to them. They still are the dominant parties. It's not quite like it is in Italy, or other parts of Europe.

The NDP , and the Liberals do tend to vote together, but I don't think they have all that much love for one another.

I have a feeling that the Liberals will be gutted, and they will have another leadership convention after the election. Poor Dion. How he ever became the leader is a mystery to me.

I imagine Ignatieff will get the nod next time around.
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby Nickel » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 11:07:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gampy', 'I') imagine Ignatieff will get the nod next time around.


Ignatieff shouldn't even be running the Tories, never mind the Grits. The man spent virtually my entire lifetime in the United States, and lectured us about joining in the war in Iraq. Then he comes "home", changes his tune, and gets cynically elected to the Commons. What business does this man have even sitting as an MP, let alone aspiring to run the country? Let him spend a couple of decades getting to know the place again and then we'll see. Till then, he would do better to go back to school. Literally.
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Re: Canada under Threat? Gangsters in Govt upper levels?

Unread postby americandream » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 18:23:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('deMolay', 'G')lobalization, whether via the UN or the major corporations is the same thing. Homogenization of the human race. The idea is to make us faceless, uniform slaves who will always work and pay exorbitant taxes. The taxes inturn are used to further enslave. You will get enough to stay enslaved, but will be unable to decouple from the system. There are no gypsy's wandering the roadways anymore free to do as they please. There are laws and rules and regulations to ensure your place at the Oars of the Slaveship.


Agreed.

But voting in corporate welfare scum hiding under the banner of crude tribalism does not free me from corporations. Volkswagen flourished under Hitler who professed to be for the people yet suppressed labour empowerment. Franco, Mussolini, The Emperor..no better.

It is no surprise that the USSR was and today Russia is feared by the corporate scumbag whereas that sham of a communist state (Chinese fascism) was hobnobbing with these neo-con wastebags going bag to the early 70's and is the golden boy of robber barons.

Real labour power, even the less than perfect version we saw in the USSR, was and is sufficient to spook these buggers to the degree that modern day Russia, which is no longer any risk to these cockroaches, is still viewed with suspicion. And let us not forget that perennial punchbag, Cuba.

That says a lot to me in terms of where my power as a member of the labour classes lies. Within ME!
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby gampy » Sun 07 Sep 2008, 21:49:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nickel', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gampy', 'I') imagine Ignatieff will get the nod next time around.


Ignatieff shouldn't even be running the Tories, never mind the Grits. The man spent virtually my entire lifetime in the United States, and lectured us about joining in the war in Iraq. Then he comes "home", changes his tune, and gets cynically elected to the Commons. What business does this man have even sitting as an MP, let alone aspiring to run the country? Let him spend a couple of decades getting to know the place again and then we'll see. Till then, he would do better to go back to school. Literally.


I didn't say I agreed with Mr. Ignatieff. Just opining that he will probably be the next leader. I can't see any other real contenders that might survive a general election.

I think the Liberal party wishes to straddle the centre. Or a large portion of them do. Hence Dion's troubles. He is too lefty for a large contingent of the Liberal Party.
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Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby Snowrunner » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 02:02:57

With all the election buzz going on in the US most people have no clue that Canada just called an election yesterday.

Which is remarkable in a few ways.

1. Harper (aka Bush Light) broke one of his own laws by asking the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and get Canadians to the polls again (the third time ni four years).
2. In contrast to established election law the Conservative Party of Canada ran "election ads" weeks before the Parliament was dissolved and signs started going up in some ridings last week. Both in breach of the Election Laws in Canada.
3. And this is the most disturbing thing of all. The Green Party was refused a spot in the two Leader Debates that are being held i the first week of October. They were denied last time claiming that the party didn't had any sitting member in the house of commons, this time around they do though (an independent joined the Green's last week) and promptly three of the four (major) parties declared that they wouldn't come to the debate when the Greens are there, so the networks caved, claiming that Canadian's are interested in the first place.

The reason I am posting this here is that I think it's a sign of times, the ones that are in power (regardless of how much or little they hold) are afraid of anything that is outside of their sphere of influence. If that means Democracy needs to be sacrificed they seem all to willing to do so.

Unlike the US, the PM has quite a bit of power and Harper clearly has been frustrated that he didn't win a majority last time, so now he's trying it with all his might. Meanwhile the Bloc and the NDP (the other two opposing parties) are afraid that the Greens will steal their seats, so they are opposing it too.

It is ironic that the only party who seems to be in support of Democracy right now are the Liberals, who have had anything but a stellar track record the last four years or so (though in contrast to Canada's conservatives they at least only stole money, not the entire country).

Having said this, if you're in Canada and you haven't heard / participated yet, check this out:

http://www.demanddemocraticdebates.ca/

And lend your support, even if you don't like their platform or their attitude.

Thanks.
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby RdSnt » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 09:21:04

I fully agree that the Green party leader should be part of the leaders debate. I'm not supportive of the Green party, which is really a Libertarian group painted green.
Hopefully the issue will be kept alive for a while because I think Harper has miscalculated on this one and suffer for it. The other party and leader that has miscalculated is the NDP and Jack Layton. He's attempting to run a US Democratic style campaign, which I'm offended by, and that along with the non-support of Ms. May, are going to hurt.
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby Nickel » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 09:56:45

The Green Party might not be huge, yet, but it has a message that speaks to millions of Canadians, and to people elsewhere who suppose similar parties. Its ideas have a place in our society, and its candidates have a place on the stage in our debates. I'm actually extremely surprised it's the long-entrenched Liberals, who probably have the most to lose in diluting the electoral waters, who are supporting the Greens having a spot, and I'm really disappointed in the NDP for not being the first to speak up. As perennial also-rans, they should know better than anyone else what it's like to be the outsiders looking in. They should ask themselves: would Tommy Douglas have refused to let the Greens on the stage?
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 10:29:00

The last election was decided by how many votes the green party siphoned away from the Liberal candidates. The Liberals lost 22 seats because of the Green vote, and 14 of those seats went to their Conservative opponents. That's the difference between a Conservative minority, and a Liberal one.

The Green party can play kingmaker without ever taking a seat. They have that many votes.

The problem here is "flocking". If enough MP's flock together (by shutting the Greens out of the debate), none of them lose a seat to a minority party.
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby DaleFromCalgary » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 12:29:39

"signs started going up in some ridings last week. Both in breach of the Election Laws in Canada."

In Calgary, the Greens had their signs up two days before the election was called.

The Liberals haven't a hope in Alberta because of their carbon tax plan (Green Shift) but everyone knew before the election was called that Alberta will remain solid Tory. The fighting for swing ridings will be in southern Ontario, Vancouver, and a few miscellaneous urban centres.

Can anyone from Newfoundland advise what the mood is? Will the Liberals lose votes because of the offshore oil rigs?
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby Snowrunner » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 12:36:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DaleFromCalgary', 'T')he Liberals haven't a hope in Alberta because of their carbon tax plan (Green Shift) but everyone knew before the election was called that Alberta will remain solid Tory. The fighting for swing ridings will be in southern Ontario, Vancouver, and a few miscellaneous urban centres.


You know, I looked at the "Green Shift" plan and it makes a hell of a lot more sense in the long term than Harpers promise to cut even more taxes on Diesel fuel.

The problem, I think, for both the Greens and Liberals is that they cannot package their plan into a one liner. Bluntly put the Conservatives are using the simplest message possible to literally buy votes.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')an anyone from Newfoundland advise what the mood is? Will the Liberals lose votes because of the offshore oil rigs?


I am curious about that one too.
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Re: Looks like Canada is going into a general election

Unread postby Nickel » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 13:27:10

Moved from a thread about the US in Geopolitics...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'T')his has been demonstrated wonderfully in the last two quarters, with Canada already leading the charge into recession, which is being 99% caused by U.S. economic idiocy.


Actually, according to Statcan, the first quarter was the only negative quarter we've had in the past 4 years. The second quarter registered modest growth. They also report: The current account surplus with the rest of the world (on a seasonally adjusted basis) expanded further to $6.8 billion in the second quarter of 2008, led by exports of goods. These gains were mainly attributable to higher prices for several exported commodities, which pushed the goods surplus to $16.4 billion.

"99%", huh? Sure, if you want to claim the glory, Caz, I'll take a "US-led Canadian recession" that puts $17 billion in my country's pocket in six months any old day. But of course, a lot of that money came from other countries picking up the slack yours is dropping, I'm afraid.
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby strider3700 » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 14:36:42

I'm very unlikely to ever vote green due to their views on firearms but I'm royally pissed that they aren't allowed in the debate. I can understand last years excuse even if I don't agree with it. This years is just a slap in the face.


My biggest fear is that Canada slowly kills off the small party's until we're left with a 2 party US system.
shame on us, doomed from the start
god have mercy on our dirty little hearts
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Re: Canada: How National Parties show their true colours

Unread postby Nickel » Tue 09 Sep 2008, 14:41:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('strider3700', 'M')y biggest fear is that Canada slowly kills off the small party's until we're left with a 2 party US system.


With sovereigntists in Quebec and a hard left edge? Don't worry, you're looking at at least four parties for the foreseeable future.
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