by cube » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 08:43:45
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('venky', '.')..But on the other hand there are those who are really poor and I mean really poor who are desperately dependent on low cost kerosene for cooking. In this case eliminating the subsidies might cause starvation or atleast malnutrition. It will also almost definately lead to riots and a breakdown of law and order in poorer neighbourhoods. ...
Subsidies by definition do NOT sustain themselves. Like a parasite it must find a host to live on.
In theory a subsidy can exist for an indefinite amount of time so long as it meets two conditions:
1) it does NOT grow
2) it's "host" continues to produce an economic surplus equal to or greater then what is necessary to feed the subsidy.
Getting back to the cooking oil example unfortunately it fails on both points. As the cost of oil goes up:
1) the cost of providing this cooking oil subsidy will too
2) the middle class will contract and some of the people who once paid taxes to "give to" the system will now be on the "receiving end".
What can be done? Not much. If the government cuts these people off then there will be a French Revolution.
If instead the gov. continues with business as usual then there will be an easter island scenario. Take your pick.
