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Oil Speech

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Oil Speech

Unread postby MAD_ELE » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 03:46:58

Oil Speech

While we were at home in our living rooms, watching via satellite the immense spectacle of the opening of the 29th Olympic Games; something much more subtle was occurring.
While the celebration of peace was capturing the world’s attention, the world has shifted back to the brink of nuclear extinction, where we have not been for forty years.
While we watched in agony as New Zealand lost medal after medal, Russia was deploying short range nuclear weapons in the newly occupied country of Georgia, ready to respond with absolute force to any foreign intervention.


Why is Russia ready to destroy the over the small territory of Georgia?
Why does America throw away trillions of dollars every year occupying Iraq?
Why does your $2.00 decaf now cost $2.50?
Why do you care?


On August 28th 1859, Colonel Edwin Drake drilled the first commercial oil well, on a quiet farm in Titusville, Pennsylvania, sealing the fate of humanity.
In 1956, geologist M King Hubbert predicted oil production would peak, thirty years after discovery peaked .He was first proved right when America’s oil production peaked in 1970 creating an oil crisis in America.
He was proved right again in May 2005 when Global oil production peaked at 86.9 billion barrels a day. Ever since then global oil production has been going down, while demand for oil continues to rise creating our current crisis.
As soon as demand begins to exceed our production, we will begin to see shortages.

India and China are only just beginning to use oil, they have billions of people aspiring to live the “American dream”. They currently use 1.6 barrels per person, per year. To achieve the “American dream” they have to use 24 barrels per person, per year. Where will all this oil come from?
They will bid with us for a declining resource, first with money then with force.


So why don’t we just stop using oil and switch to replacements?
The problem with most replacements, Nuclear, Solar and Wind is that they create electricity. Very little oil is used to create electricity, Rather it is used in manufacturing. Where it’s used for transportation it is difficult to replace. For example, neither large ships nor aircraft can run on batteries.
Without oil we can’t make plastics, computers, cosmetics or fertilizers. Vast amounts of oil-based products are used on farms and cannot be replaced……..

Without these products that we depend on heavily, we can only produce enough food to feed about 2 billion people, leaving 5 billion people to starve or fight. Because of our abuse of oil we are in a condition biologists call “overshoot”. There are more people alive than the earth can naturally support.


Because the governments of the world are aware of this, they have begun to position themselves, so that they starve last and are in control of oil.
The main territory of untapped oil is Iraq, a close second is Iran.
Georgia has a pipeline across it supplying oil to Europe. This pipeline is now in Russia’s hands leaving Europe at their mercy.
So when you’re watching the closing ceremony at the Olympics, as the torch is being extinguished, think of the torch of humanity also moving closer to being extinguished. With the end of the Olympics China will be free to make its move either for an oil territory or against another country………..



If you still think there’s a solution, you haven’t understood the problem.






Hello , I am new to Peak Oil.
I am a 15 year old girl from New Zealand and I presented this speech to my English class at school.
Some of the kids in my class didn't understand it (Not enough attention span and brains). But the brighter kids thought I did a pretty good speech and started a discussion about it.
I left them quite depressed.
My brother idiom drones on about oil all the time, so I decided to get involved.
I would love to hear your thoughts about my speech and would like to say a big hello to everyone.

MAD_ELE :)
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby Micki » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 04:00:22

Great, another one who completely missed that Georgia started shelling, killing civilans and Russian peacekeepers before Russia responded 24 hours later. If Russia had wanted to destroy Georgia they would have continued in to Tblisi They were only an hour away and Georgia couldn't put up much resistance.
Georgia, an aspiring NATO member, would not have attacked without clearance from major NATO mambers like USA.

Furthermore, the Baku pipeline is not in Russian hands.
It is still in Georgia.

Given that oil production still is in a plateau and that there has only been marginal variance, I would also be careful with saying that it has been going down since 2005.
My understanding is also that it is light seet crude that peaked 2005, not all oil.

Anyway, good speech, but if you want to use specifics you need to make sure it is 100% accurate. Otherwise, generalise a bit more if you just want to get the message through.

You might also reasearch and include statements on the finite supply of good quality coal and natural gas etc.
Last edited by Micki on Sun 31 Aug 2008, 04:47:15, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby Carlhole » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 04:12:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MAD_ELE', 'O')il Speech

Hello , I am new to Peak Oil.
I am a 15 year old girl from New Zealand and I presented this speech to my English class at school.
Some of the kids in my class didn't understand it (Not enough attention span and brains). But the brighter kids thought I did a pretty good speech and started a discussion about it.
I left them quite depressed.
My brother idiom drones on about oil all the time, so I decided to get involved.
I would love to hear your thoughts about my speech and would like to say a big hello to everyone.

MAD_ELE :)


Hi, I'm a 50 year old crusty old curmudgeon who shakes his fist at the fates.

If you are a curious, inquisitive person, you will discover throughout your life just how short people's attention spans really are, how little they know, and how utterly un-curious they are about anything new.

If you're smart enough to do well in school and in university, work your little ass off to go as high as possible because it's always better to be surrounded by smart people than the run-of-the-mill ignoramuses that life usually dishes out.

Assignment

Read over this thread and write to the people at the Oxford Global Catastrophic Risks Conference. Tell them you're a 15 year old girl from New Zealand doing a research project on Peak Oil and ask them why it is they are not including this very dire subject in their presentations of potential catastrophes at the Singularity Summit 2008.

Also, read about the Singularity for your general information. It's interesting.
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby Southpaw » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 09:13:34

Nice Oil speech MAD_ELE but Micki is right about Georgia.
and Oil Production hasn't peaked in 2005 according to data we are still on a plateau with a record production in the beginning of 2008 end 2007. Not sure if i'm right hehe but i think it is

but that isn't really a problem the data really isn't that easy too find if you wanna know more about the scientific facts visit
www.theoildrum.com it's a great place to find all the best data there is for oil.
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby Micki » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 09:22:54

Your sending her to the competition???!!! :shock:
She is not going to learn about olduvian cliffs and 57 octave vibrations over there!
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby Southpaw » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 10:13:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Micki', 'Y')our sending her to the competition???!!! :shock:
She is not going to learn about olduvian cliffs and 57 octave vibrations over there!


lol i tought you guys are partners of eachother.
well yeah i'm sure you find the great scientific data on this site also hehe.

I always come too this site to read the news because it's nicely done here. and too read the forums sometimes
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby MadScientist » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 11:38:27

That is an excellent speech ele.

I hope you make yourself a regular on our forum. We need all the fresh new minds we can get. It's not easy coming up with increasingly effiicient ways to kill zombies.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s soon as demand begins to exceed our production, we will begin to see demand destruction.


edited that one sentence for ya :)


As far as the Georgian conflict, I thought your speech was neutral regarding the reasons Russia occupied Georgia. Many people argue Georgia started it. Many retort that Russia was the aggressor. What was going on in S. Ossetia in the months before the Georgian army attacked? Anyone who looks for the answers to that will find that Russia is not as innocent as she claims. In the end, it all depends on how far back in time you want to go. Imo, it's not a simple answer, which makes it such a perfect Flashpoint for WWIII.

Welcome :)
"The future power is manpower"
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Re: Oil Speech

Unread postby Quinny » Sun 31 Aug 2008, 15:42:58

Agree with many of the previous comments, but excellent speech.

I only wish my 15 year old daughter was as willing to learn as you are. Despite best efforts her main train of thought is celebrities and make-up. Thank goodness the rest of the family are more willing to listen/learn.
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