by green_achers » Tue 02 Sep 2008, 00:22:31
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'W')ell Green Archers, it looks like your Mississippi instinct was off . . .
Nagin orders evacuation of New Orleans.
It's always foolish to do your told-ye-so's before the story's over. And I wouldn't exactly pin my case on Ray Nagin's actions.
Right now my friends on the Coast that stayed are feeling pretty unsilly. It's still too early for me to say one way or the other as far as NO is concerned, but no huge disaster so far.
Aren't too many people that understand the subject of probability and extreme events very well. Heck, I used to do it for a living, and it still warps my brain some times. Lets just say that when it was my call to make a judgment over whether a state of emergency existed, there was a much bigger downside from saying "no" and being wrong that in the reverse. The old saying was "No hydrologist was ever fired for overestimating a risk."
But taking actions that turn out to be unnecessary also have their risks, and their costs. Hate to tell you this Cash, my old friend, but your hard-earned dollars were spent in profusion during this whole dog-and-pony show that appears to be winding down. And more fed funds will be spent next time they evacuate.
It's part of living in a nation. Get over it.
Not to say there aren't places, flood plains and such, where construction ought to be prohibited. But making blanket statements about whole regions isn't a constructive addition to the discussion.