by shady28 » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 01:11:58
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')b]China starts imploding - boasting $
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')eijing swells dollar reserves through stealth "During the first half of this year, about 67,000 small and medium-sized companies went bankrupt throughout China, leaving more than 20m people out of work," said the National Development and Reform Commission. "Bankruptcies of textile and spinning companies have numbered more than 10,000. Two thirds are on the brink of bankruptcy."
TelegraphChina is hitting the energy wall! It will become know as the largest mis-allocation of resources in the history of civilization. China’s gargantuan growth was based on a Ponzi scheme of unprecedented magnitude. Once China quits growing, it collapses. Once China collapses the insolvent Western economies will soon follow!
A vast supply of dollars, that will need repatriating, will flood back into a US economy hamstrung with a broken credit market. Those dollars will be demanding resources that we do not have!
I think you're wrong there and twisting what this means.
Not too long ago, many on peakoil were talking about how China, India, etc would keep on growing and jacking the price of oil up.
Now, we see that process unwinding. They are not going to continue to grow at past rates. They probably will shrink, as more businesses go bankrupt and demand for thir goods begins to fall.
As far as the Chinese spending their money in the USA - at this stage of the game that would be something we should want. If they start dumping hundreds of billions into our economy, it will kick start investment and expansion.
But, that is what the Fed has been doing isn't it? The Fed and ECB have been attempting to inject liquidity into the markets and kick start the economy again. They have been failing - and failing badly. Despite billions injected by purchasing worthless paper (junk bonds, MBAs, etc) M3 has begun to decline. The damage being done by the credit crisis is outpacing the Fed.
Cash is getting tight all over. It's getting harder to come by. Think supply and demand. More people are beginning to see the writing on the wall - see quote below. This guy is wrong about one thing though - it's not going to wait until late 2009.
"At the same time we have seen falling asset prices – both shares and property. This phenomenon is normally associated with periods of deflation, for example the 1930s in the US and Japan’s lost decade.
"Finally, the credit crunch will result in less money in circulation. Capital Economics published a report suggesting the amount of cash held on deposit by companies is falling rapidly.
"For all the above reasons, it seems that by the tail end of 2009, deflation, rather than inflation, will become the key concern of economists."
http://ftadviser.com/FinancialAdviser/P ... o-come.jsp