by Newfie » Sun 24 Aug 2008, 22:33:29
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'I') think I'm losing it too. Some days I feel like there is not much point to getting ready to live through the peak oil crisis. I prepare anyway, but it's hard to maintain my enthusiasm for it.
The crisis may be here next winter in Maine. The statewide average price for heating oil went down to around $4 a gallon, but that will still be a buck more than what people paid for it last winter. There are going to be a lot of people freezing here.
Preparation helps with the sinking feeling I get thinking about what's going to happen. A little...
Revi,
I just came back from 6 weeks in Newfoundland. Gas up there is $6/gallon and everyone who can already drives a small ass car. All the others are driving pickups. Fuel prices are really hurting the fisherman as that is a big part of their operating cost.
It looks to me like they are about a year ahead of us on the downward slope. And yet life goes on with no one freaking out.
Hermit, et al,
I think/hope that what we are into is a more or less slow downward spiral. The pattern will only be clear five or more years from now because there will be hills and valleys. Oil will go up but then too will corn. Right now we are focusing on the shortage of oil. But when things get tough then we (the West) will focus on water and its progeny - food. That will balance things out - a bit.
And there is so much inertia in the systems that they will tend to coast along for quite a long time slowly slowing, grinding down. I have seen that happen to companies. They just drag on and on well past their logical time and for no good reason.
My strategy, right or wrong, is to keep on keeping on where I am for the time being as things are OK on the home front. Still I'm keeping a weather eye out nasty squalls where ever they may come from. Peak Oil? Maybe. Or it could be Peak Water, or Peak Corn, or Avian Flu, or financial collapse or Iran getting antsy with the nukes or any number of other things I can't think of. You need to be flexible.
There is a saying in sailing that you should only ever step UP into a lifeboat, meaning that you stay with your main boat as long as possible. Once you make that commitment to move on then you have reduced you range of possibilities. If you WANT to be a subsistence farmer then go do it. But for me it would but torture. For one thing I'm too old.
So until TSHTF I'm pretty much here, milking the system, and building up my resources and trying to enjoy life. I enjoy sailing and that has a lot of self reliance skill involved. And it gives me a lot of mobility to get someplace else if I need to. If I need a gun for personal protection then I have over stayed in this place and I will move - taking my guns with me.