Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep decli

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby Ferretlover » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 10:32:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', ' ')And, like they say here, it ain’t bragging if it’s true: there are more guns in Texas then in the entire US or in the entire US military.

But sometimes it is just bragging (at least in regards to percetage of Texan households which have a gun... In absolute numbers it may be true but that would be a bit misleading wouldn't it).
Gun Ownership by state Texas = 35.9% And a number of states are over 50%

*giggle* WC and Vtsnowedin, I (a Texan by birth :) )am willing to bet that 35% of registered guns is a small fraction of the real number. :lol:
I have not lived in my home state for many years, but I remember the attitude from my childhood: 'Walk softly, but don't take any you-know-what from Anybody.'
"Open the gates of hell!" ~Morgan Freeman's character in the movie, Olympus Has Fallen.
Ferretlover
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 5852
Joined: Wed 13 Jun 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Hundreds of miles further inland

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 11:54:04

A good point about gun registration. We're not really big on such matters in Texas. I own over 10 weapons and I don't think more than 1 or 2 are registered with anyone. And no one has ever asked me in a poll if I owned a weapon. Thus, as far as the stats go, I may be one of those unarmed and helpless folks in the Lone Star state.

I have no problem believing that at least half the guns in Texas aren't registered. But, again, what I think is more important than the count is the attitude. Many folks, especially from up north, are shocked when they get to Texas and discover a rather casual attitude towards guns and their use. I'm sure that since we passed the concealed carry gun permit law there are a lot of folks just waiting for the chance to draw down on some bad guy. It happens a lot more than most folks realize. The press loves to cover school shootings and accidental gun deaths but you seldom hear about the many cases of guns being successfully used for self defense. It does happen quit a bit.

As far as myself, I’m well armed and do not lack capabilities in such matters. By I’m far from being one on the reactionary folks I’ve been chatting about. These are the ones I voiced concern over should we hit that worse case doomer scenario. In another life time I witnessed first hand how relatively sane and kind folks can quickly turn cold blooded in the right circumstances. And this is the seed for those dark thoughts that hit me sometimes.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby MadScientist » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 12:13:22

I live in a state with similar feelings and similar ownership stats.

I've heard the same sentiment voiced about other states too.

Every US citizen should have as part of their emergency preparation kit:

copious amounts of ammo. body armor. gas masks. Just in case we ever get attacked by the terrorists that Pres. Bush keeps warning us about. Chances are the terrorists will be really sneaky and wear Blackwater or UN peacekeeper uniforms to fool us.
"The future power is manpower"
User avatar
MadScientist
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 355
Joined: Wed 19 May 2004, 03:00:00

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 12:21:21

MS,

Yep...maybe terrorists could be a problem someday. Till then I'm more worried about some crack head knifing me for a few bucks. I really don't worry that muich about the zombie hords. Still a better chance of getting hit by a drunk driver on Saturday night then having to shoot my way out of the grocery with the last loaf of bread. But, then again, I do enjoy my carbs.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 15:09:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'W')ell snow...I am in Texas and that can lead to a bit of exaggeration you know.

”. If you’re interested in learning more of our rather odd mentality compared to the rest of the states research how TX became part of the US. I.


I'm well aware that Texas copied Vermonts example of being an Independant Republic for seveal years before applying for statehood. My ancesters had to Beech seal a few Yorkers to make um give up there phoney shingle claims on perfectly good Hampshire Grants.
There are no gun registration laws in Vermont other then federal Brady bill regs. 600,000 people and 90,000 licensed hunters plus land owners do not need a license on their own land. Pales to Penns. million license holders. opening day on public land in Potter county is a clockwork orange of saftey vests and rifle fire.
Having a case full of guns and having the mindset to take a human life are two very differnt things. The army has a devil of a job getting recruits to shoot to kill. A few have it naturally,some can be trained and disiplined into it but quite a few won't ,even if their life depends on it. Of course few will admit to such weakness so a soldier can go into combat not knowing the man beside him is infact useless. When the guys in the blue hats come to collect our guns to keep them out of the wrong hands we will see who has it and who has not.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 14897
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 16:06:01

so true vt. I recall reading a story long ago about the lack of killer instinct in many recruits at the beginning of WWII. If the story wasn't hyping a bit of reality, southerners where highly prized for their killing abilities. Not that they had a lot of human hunting skills but the woodsmanship abilities were much easier to cultivate along those lines.

I understand what you mean about the bravado BS. See it all the time at the hunting camps and rifle range. Almost without fail it's the quiet ones that know the real story. I guess it's just the smell of cordite or wood smoke that stirs up the testosterone.

On a personal note, I just got my first semi auto pistol last weekend at an auction. Just like Quigly said in that movie; "I've never had much use for pistols. But I didn't say I didn't know how to handle one."
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby gw » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 16:22:32

In the event of an energy emergency, The National Response Plan Emergency Support Function #12
establishes that "State and local governments have primary responsibility for prioritizing the restoration of energy facilities."

In California, the California Energy Commision has prepared an "ENERGY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN" which includes "Emergency Order #6." In the response plan there is a directive to "set-aside" fuel needed for police, fire, medical and for maintenance of other key infrastructure elements.

Emergency Order #6
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')mpowers the Energy Commission to “hold control of petroleum stocks needed to ensure the health, safety and welfare of the public.


In response to an energy emergency, state and local government will decide how to allocate available energy supplies, and how long the emergency order is to be in effect. For a longer term emergency, it is clear that military, state and local governments can retain control of the energy supply for indefinite periods of time.
"I eat the pretzel, it get stuck in the throat and I pass out..." - George W Bush
March 7, 2007 Remarks by the President to Political Appointees
User avatar
gw
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 179
Joined: Thu 20 Jul 2006, 03:00:00
Location: undisclosed

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby MadScientist » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 16:32:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gw', ' ')For a longer term emergency, it is clear that military, state and local governments can retain control of the energy supply for indefinite periods of time.



That's a pretty ballsy claim. I wouldn't bet my next meal on it.
"The future power is manpower"
User avatar
MadScientist
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 355
Joined: Wed 19 May 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 16:44:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'I') understand what you mean about the bravado BS. See it all the time at the hunting camps and rifle range. Almost without fail it's the quiet ones that know the real story. I guess it's just the smell of cordite or wood smoke that stirs up the testosterone.

On a personal note, I just got my first semi auto pistol last weekend at an auction. Just like Quigly said in that movie; "I've never had much use for pistols. But I didn't say I didn't know how to handle one."


Whats that old saying? Beware an old man with a beatup but well oiled gun, he probably knows how to use it.
I'm not a Vet myself. skipped my generation, but I've come to see that the more war stories a man tells the further from the fighting he actually was. The quiet fella that dosent like the sound of guns may have already heard more than enough. These are the people who will step up when the time for talking has passed. here's hoping enough people follow them and not the bragarts.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 14897
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby gw » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 17:13:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MadScientist', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gw', ' ')For a longer term emergency, it is clear that military, state and local governments can retain control of the energy supply for indefinite periods of time.



That's a pretty ballsy claim. I wouldn't bet my next meal on it.


In California, once an Emergency Order #6 is issued, it remains in effect until the Governor rescinds the order. No guidelines or rules are established as to how long the Emergency Order can remain in effect.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o impose mandatory programs, the Governor must first issue the Proclamation of a State of Emergency and file an Emergency Order with the Office of the Secretary of State. The Emergency Order takes effect immediately upon being filed. All mandatory programs automatically terminate when the Governor rescinds the emergency proclamation.
"I eat the pretzel, it get stuck in the throat and I pass out..." - George W Bush
March 7, 2007 Remarks by the President to Political Appointees
User avatar
gw
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 179
Joined: Thu 20 Jul 2006, 03:00:00
Location: undisclosed
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 19:18:41

Yep vt...even when it just a little shtf it gets easy to seperate the two halves. I use to get free hunts working in the oil patch but as I aged I became more particular who I wanted around me with a loaded weapon. Don't hunt too much anymore but when I do it's single handed...lots more relaxing that way.

I know a little bit about your part of the world. A lot of Texans would be surprised at the commonality of attitudes and ideas between the two regions. Most just classify anyone north of Dallas as just another damn Yankee.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby shortonoil » Fri 22 Aug 2008, 23:28:26

ROCK$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')AN said:

Most just classify anyone north of Dallas as just another damn Yankee.


I spent the first 43 years of my life in Vermont, and their attitude is that any one south of Bennington is a dam flat lander.

Of course, no one more than 15 miles from Rutland, has ever heard of Bennington!
User avatar
shortonoil
False ETP Prophet
False ETP Prophet
 
Posts: 7132
Joined: Thu 02 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: VA USA
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sat 23 Aug 2008, 02:22:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ferretlover', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', ' ')And, like they say here, it ain’t bragging if it’s true: there are more guns in Texas then in the entire US or in the entire US military.

But sometimes it is just bragging (at least in regards to percetage of Texan households which have a gun... In absolute numbers it may be true but that would be a bit misleading wouldn't it).
Gun Ownership by state Texas = 35.9% And a number of states are over 50%

*giggle* WC and Vtsnowedin, I (a Texan by birth :) )am willing to bet that 35% of registered guns is a small fraction of the real number. :lol:
I have not lived in my home state for many years, but I remember the attitude from my childhood: 'Walk softly, but don't take any you-know-what from Anybody.'


I thought that number was from a poll, but I digress.

Oh yeah! Well we have more drunk Deer Hunters driving snowmobiles between bars than Texas!!!

I take the point Rock but there are a lot of places like you described. Texans like to think of themselves as special but that does not make it so. Texans may talk a lot about pride about being from Texas but that does not mean that those things they think are special about Texas really are unique or even more prevelant in Texas than other parts of the country.

Here I am thinking about the Rural Midwest, Idaho, Dakotas, Wyoming, parts of Oklahoma etc etc... we are all different than what we see on the coasts, we probably have more in common with one another than with those on the coasts. So in reality what Texans love about Texas really can be found, if you know where to look through out the Louisiana Purchase and beyond.

My $.02 anyway.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
User avatar
wisconsin_cur
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4576
Joined: Thu 10 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: 45 degrees North. 883 feet above sealevel.
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 23 Aug 2008, 08:56:08

It looks like the military is taking a look at end of the world scenarios. They seem to be developing some kind of disaster protocols that will allow units to dissolve if certain key elements are wiped out and certain key areas become untenable. These protocols appear to be designed to give guidance to fragmented elements enabling them to reform into viable functional units under new command structures in safe zones. They are planning for Katrina and bird flu.

http://www.military.com/news/article/ar ... 6032369115
User avatar
Cloud9
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2961
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 23 Aug 2008, 09:00:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '
')I spent the first 43 years of my life in Vermont, and their attitude is that any one south of Bennington is a dam flat lander.

Of course, no one more than 15 miles from Rutland, has ever heard of Bennington!


They should have built that fence along the Vermont /Mass. border in the 30s but they built I-91 instead. Now the Blessed flatlanders are all over the place and own most of the lake front property. Oh well they bring cash into the state and people make good money putting up their "cottages" and plowing their driveways. Worst part is all the property values are now based on what the dumest kid in Boston with a trust fund is willing to pay. They pay the same for a pile of boulders as for tillable bottom land.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 14897
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby shortonoil » Sat 23 Aug 2008, 12:25:49

vtsnowedin said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hey should have built that fence along the Vermont /Mass. border in the 30s but they built I-91 instead.


I91 was a disaster, up old R22 the six, seven hour drive kept most of them in the city. Better yet, we should have implemented the plans that a bunch of us made back in the seventies when I was at UVM.

Blow the bridges!!

vtsnowedin, what part of VT you in. I came out of Poultney, in Rutland County.
User avatar
shortonoil
False ETP Prophet
False ETP Prophet
 
Posts: 7132
Joined: Thu 02 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: VA USA
Top

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby JohnConnor » Sat 23 Aug 2008, 13:36:17

Cloud9

The military is definitely looking at the possibility of chaos here in the homeland, ref: this article and some of the new defense systems being considered and projects involve using synthetically derived fuels, Air Force Times Article, they have been stalling on getting a COIN aircraft, counter insurgency aircraft, but eventually will have to get on board, they already are by default building a lower fuel intensive airforce by the rapid gain in UAV's, most requiring only 3900 lbs or less fuel to be fully loaded and fly their longest missions...

The Air Force during and after Peak Oil...


Image

3900 lbs of fuel

Image

1150 lbs of fuel

In turbine powered airplane terms, neither of those is a lot of fuel, but during the Long Emergency that may be too much, if it gets really really bad air transport and heavy armor systems may have no where near enough fuel to allow it, you'll still have to have some quick way to strike and defend your borders and remaining resources, airplanes will still be the only way to defend large geographical areas but only ones that are very fuel efficient...
No future but what we make.
User avatar
JohnConnor
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 35
Joined: Fri 08 Aug 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Southeastern USA

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 23 Aug 2008, 21:06:22

I recall seeing turbo props mated with P-51 air frames back in the sixties. They were sitting at the Sarasota air port.
User avatar
Cloud9
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2961
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby JohnConnor » Sun 24 Aug 2008, 03:10:04

Yeah - I think they did some turboprop conversions in an attempt to get the USAF interested in COIN airplanes in the 70's and with the war in Iraq, the interest in something with a light foot print and logistical support network has renewed interest - but nothing so far...

If oil just keeps on climbing in price - this along with a UAV fleet - could be the only manned options for the USAF, I am thinking 15 - 20 years in the future if things get really bad, that is we undertake no effort at conservation coupled with a MASSIVE effort to find a real biofuel alternative (algae, cellulostic ethanol, etc..) - I think that SAM systems would also fill in some roles for Homeland Air Defense... basically anything but what we fly today, burning thru easily 12,000 llbs. for 2 hours (or less) of flight...
No future but what we make.
User avatar
JohnConnor
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 35
Joined: Fri 08 Aug 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Southeastern USA

Re: National Security Preparation for Peak Oil & steep d

Unread postby jamaal » Sun 24 Aug 2008, 07:09:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnConnor', 'Y')eah - I think they did some turboprop conversions in an attempt to get the USAF interested in COIN airplanes in the 70's and with the war in Iraq, the interest in something with a light foot print and logistical support network has renewed interest - but nothing so far...

If oil just keeps on climbing in price - this along with a UAV fleet - could be the only manned options for the USAF, I am thinking 15 - 20 years in the future if things get really bad, that is we undertake no effort at conservation coupled with a MASSIVE effort to find a real biofuel alternative (algae, cellulostic ethanol, etc..) - I think that SAM systems would also fill in some roles for Homeland Air Defense... basically anything but what we fly today, burning thru easily 12,000 llbs. for 2 hours (or less) of flight...


No, the US will adopt network centric warfare- swarms of 1 metre
wingspan UAVs with sensors. The "bomb trucks" will be way out of
range, the swarm of UAVs will be dirt cheap, mesh networked
so that the loss of a high % makes no difference.

They will IR detect, jam defences, relay video via other UAVS
to AWACs and will pass GPS coords and/or lase the targets
for the glide and rocket assisted bombs to hit. The terminal
phase of the bombs will be vertical i.e. too diificult to intercept
and any attempt to do so will reveal another target.

Using strike planes with pilots is old hat, inefficient, generates
prisoners and SAR problems. Network centric warfare is cheap and uses the US strong
suite- technology. The main need for pilots will be for fighters
protecting the bomb trucks and other assets. Even here,
big loitering "missile trucks" slaved to the AWACs can be used
to saturate incoming fighters with long range missiles.

Last ditch might be tiny, hovering nukes acting as aerial mines
to take out a wave of incoming fighters or missiles.

But the days of low level piloted strike aircraft are numbered.
User avatar
jamaal
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 10
Joined: Sun 24 Aug 2008, 03:00:00
Top

PreviousNext

Return to North America Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests

cron