by DantesPeak » Tue 05 Aug 2008, 23:34:47
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nobodypanic', 's')o in other words speculation does affect the price of oil?
In the short run, in the long run it should have almost no effect - unless physical inventories were someone changed by speculators in a significant manner.
For the time being, it looks like most speculators are betting on the price to fall:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')roducers scramble to lock in oil prices
By Javier Blas in London
Published: August 5 2008 21:31 | Last updated: August 5 2008 21:31
Crude oil and natural gas producers are scrambling to “lock in” prices by buying insurance against further drops in prices, as oil on Tuesday hit a fresh three-month low of $118 a barrel.
Traders said strong buying of put options – contracts that give holders the right to sell crude oil at a predetermined price and date – might be exacerbating the fall in oil prices. The options’ originators, such as Wall Street banks, need to sell futures – pushing down prices – to hedge their option positions.
The number of financial bets providing insurance against a fall in prices below $100 a barrel before the end of the year has more than doubled in the past six weeks, according to the New York Mercantile Exchange.