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OIL SELL-OFF: Possible indicator of "someone big in tro

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OIL SELL-OFF: Possible indicator of "someone big in tro

Unread postby NoWorries » Tue 05 Aug 2008, 13:04:04

5 August 2008, oil near $118:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he pullback is double the size of crude's recent slide. That has fed speculation on Wall Street that a large hedge fund or something like it may be near collapse and has dumped a vast amount of natural gas contracts to free up cash. Last month, SemGroup LP, based in Tulsa, Okla., folded after losing $2.4 billion in bad bets on oil futures. SemGroup's collapse came amid a massive sell off in the oil market.

"Anytime you get that kind of violent price action in a short amount of time, it reeks of someone big being in trouble," Schork said.



http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080805/oil_prices.html?.v=13

Interesting speculation. OF course, we've seen (heard) this before, but I don't know if this theory has ever been substantiated.

I guess we'll find out in the coming weeks.
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Re: OIL SELL-OFF: Possible indicator of "someone big in

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 05 Aug 2008, 19:23:56

Hasn't it been Peak Oil Gospel all along that large price spikes would cause trouble and financial panic that would lead to temporary large price falls, then as the pieces get picked up we run into even lesser supplies, so forth, repeat and rinse?
Turn those Machines back On! - Don Ameche in Trading Places
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Re: OIL SELL-OFF: Possible indicator of "someone big in

Unread postby dinopello » Tue 05 Aug 2008, 19:41:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'H')asn't it been Peak Oil Gospel all along that large price spikes would cause trouble and financial panic that would lead to temporary large price falls, then as the pieces get picked up we run into even lesser supplies, so forth, repeat and rinse?


You really have been paying attention! :)
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Re: OIL SELL-OFF: Possible indicator of "someone big in

Unread postby mattduke » Tue 05 Aug 2008, 20:55:28

That dynamic was described in "The Oil Factor" book.
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