by MrBill » Fri 18 Jul 2008, 03:14:48
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('coyote', 'T')hank you for that, MrBill.
I have learned the basics of ecomomics in college courses in the past, but it's true that it has been a while since then. Perhaps I will go back to refresh and improve my knowledge on the subject. Although at this point I have my doubts about just how "useful" classical economics is to us. Those market mechanisms are proving far too slow to effectively meet the challenges that are piling on us. Ten times better than command economies have done, yes, at least - but still not nearly up to the job. As the polar cap melts, oil companies are fighting for the rights to drill there for more of the hydrocarbons that caused the melting. At the same time, our government is gearing up spend hundreds of billions of fake dollars on a housing bailout, instead of addressing the actual issues of our time. Capitalism? Command? If there is no third way, then that's effectively the end of our story. I hope that's not true.
Once I was presenting at The Midwest Economic Forum in Chicago. I was evaluating some foreign exchange modeling done by three PhD students as part of their peer review process. I was evaluating strictly from a practitioner's point of view. I am sure their calculations were in order, I was more concerned with their methodology and underlying assumptions. Needless to say they did not much appreciate my constructive criticism. C'est la vie! ; - ))
But while I was there I sat in on some other seminars. There was this one university professor - an economist - who proudly claimed that in twenty years he had never made a prediction about the future! That surprised me. Usually economists in banks do nothing but make predictions about interest rates, exchange rates, growth projections, etc., and then get hung-out to dry when their predictions fall wide of the mark. Here was this full professor with tenure that never stuck his neck out once.
He was more interested in evaluating what had happened rather than what will happen. I have zero idea about his grasp on classical economics, but my guess is he can give a good textbook argument. However, I am not sure he would have the intellectual skills to tackle post peak oil resource depletion either. Anymore than a house framer could produce fine cabinet work. Sure, he is a carpenter, but they are two different skill sets, slapping up a house in a hurry, and the painstaking detail of finishing cabinets.
Refering to canuk's post above he gives some good examples of how externalities are not reflected in the cost of production nor the final price the consumer pays. He also details how costs to the environment, etc. are borne by society at large and not by the consumer. This is absolutely true. But in a social-democracy with a market economy it is the government, and ultimately voters and consumers, that decide under which parameters business can (legally) operate, and what fines and penalties they shall pay if they do not operate under the rule of the law.
The market reacts to scarcity and higher costs of production by raising prices and looking for alternatives. That is what markets are supposed to do. That consumers want lower prices is also normal. However, it is political interference in the economy when governments start to distort pricing signals by subsidizing. Then prices lose all meaning. In order to be effective you need transparency. Consumers and voters need to know what things really cost, and what their effect is on the environment. Then they can make informed decisions.
The present system that we (collectively) have is so convoluted by subsidies, taxes, corporate welfare, bailouts, etc. is that we almost have the worst of all possible outcomes. Business is producing the cheap products that consumers desire without factoring in their externalities like pollution or disposal. Where consumers and voters resist paying the taxes to address those communal costs. The government wants to create jobs, raise taxes and get re-elected, so they are constantly pandering to short-termism instead of taking a longer view. I hardly call that a free market. Its SNAFU!
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')A social-democracy with a market economy is simply the best system we have ever invented. It is the pinnacle of our evolution. However, it is not perfect. Because we are not perfect. Therefore,
good government is often selling unpopular policies by making constituents see that it is in their own best long-term interest to change their behavior.
You can only do that with good science, hard arguments and an objective view of economics. Feelings and emotions are best left-out of the equation.
And if you cannot do that then it really does not matter whether you have a market economy, a command and control economy or some mix of the two because it will always end badly as consumption outstrips supply and growth becomes unsustainable. As chrispi says,