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THE Oil Wells Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby Windmills » Tue 15 Jul 2008, 22:21:08

Another seed of truth that is distorted in these types of urban legends is that, yes, there is a lot of oil that companies are "sitting on": it's the oil left in a field that can't be extracted, which is usually about 70 to 80% of the amount originally in the ground, if I recall correctly. As a field is produced, the pressure drops too far for anymore oil to be pumped out.

The myth-makers take a fact like that and ignore the part where the oil can't be extracted and just say, "look at all that oil left in the ground! They're just sitting on it...because...because they hate our freedom!"
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby cynthia » Tue 15 Jul 2008, 22:44:23

My father is 75 years old and lived in California for the first 20 years of his life. He saw numerous oil wells capped and believes if only we opened them up we wouldn't be so dependent on ME oil thereby making gasoline affordable again.
Hmmm. I like to keep the family visits pleasant and have stopped discussing contrary viewpoints.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 15 Jul 2008, 23:49:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Windmills', 'A')nother seed of truth that is distorted in these types of urban legends is that, yes, there is a lot of oil that companies are "sitting on": it's the oil left in a field that can't be extracted, which is usually about 70 to 80% of the amount originally in the ground, if I recall correctly. As a field is produced, the pressure drops too far for anymore oil to be pumped out.

The myth-makers take a fact like that and ignore the part where the oil can't be extracted and just say, "look at all that oil left in the ground! They're just sitting on it...because...because they hate our freedom!"


Yes, on average, the extraction percentage is about 35%.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby Serial_Worrier » Tue 15 Jul 2008, 23:53:08

Let Freedom Ring baby! BTW, Rush Limbaugh needs more of your money, so please contribute:

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/menu/f ... guest.html
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby joeltrout » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 00:09:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cynthia', 'M')y father is 75 years old and lived in California for the first 20 years of his life. He saw numerous oil wells capped and
There are many wells "capped" all over the US. I just met with an oil company this morning outside of Bakersfield, California that are going to re-enter 9 wells that were abandoned in the 80s. The wells were never plugged and will produce oil HOWEVER the production will be small amounts. Definitely not going to help in increasing US production but there are thousands of stripper wells that were abandoned in the 80s and 90s because they were not economic. They can be re-entered and will produce small amounts.

Some can be re-completed and/or drilled deeper opening up new zones that could create a good well. This happened on one of our properties outside Fresno, CA. The wells had been abandoned again in the 80s and then a company re-entered the wells and now they are flowing 310+ barrels a day which is a decent well. But most aren't this productive and remain stripper wells for the remainder of their life.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cynthia', '
')believes if only we opened them up we wouldn't be so dependent on ME oil thereby making gasoline affordable again.
Hmmm. I like to keep the family visits pleasant and have stopped discussing contrary viewpoints.
cynthia


This won't happen.

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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby Snik » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 00:29:25

Total bunk Zeke. At $140 per BO there nobody is stupid enough to be "sitting" on any oil reserves, except for the federal government of course. :razz:
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby eastbay » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 00:31:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Snik', 'T')otal bunk Zeke. At $140 per BO there nobody is stupid enough to be "sitting" on any oil reserves, except for the federal government of course. :razz:



.... unless they think it'll be significantly more expensive in the not-too-distant future, maybe? :)
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby Snik » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 00:51:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Snik', 'T')otal bunk Zeke. At $140 per BO there nobody is stupid enough to be "sitting" on any oil reserves, except for the federal government of course. :razz:



.... unless they think it'll be significantly more expensive in the not-too-distant future, maybe? :)


Nobody I know of that's for sure. At least not in the US which is what I think he was referring to.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby zeke » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 01:19:02

I didn't know the average recoverable amount was in the neighborhood of 35%...lower than I thought...


well, the ppl I talk to who embrace this "lots of capped US wells" story are sort of losing their $#i* over what is becoming clearer and clearer to then...that PO isn't some fiction whipped up to cheat them out of driving happily ever after.

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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby katkinkate » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 07:09:26

There's a similar story here in Queensland. My Dad's convinced that there is oil in western Queensland. He said an oil exploration geologist went west decades ago and when he came back, he told several people (one of whom worked with my Da) that there was lots of oil out there and don't sell your shares in .. whatever the company it was.. I don't remember. And my Da took it to heart and is really angry that those wells aren't being pumped to bring the cost of fuel down. I can't convince him otherwise. I know we've got lots of coal and they are tapping into the coal gas now, but if there was any appreciable amount of oil out there, you'd think someone would be 'producing' it by now. Therefore, there probably isn't.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 07:30:13

From what I understand, the only place in the world that could be producing more right now is Saudi Arabia, and even there it's not certain. The jury's out on that one.

What we're seeing with all the going back to stripper wells is a misdirection of economic incentives: petroleum price increases is driving up the incentives to produce both petroleum itself and alternatives. Alternatives are more expensive, require more investment and bring a long-term prospective yield, whereas pumping left-overs from old wells brings short-term money, therefore people are going back for what was there.

Imagine a time of hunger: you eat absolutely everything in your plate, the fruit, the grains in the fruit and the leaves in the tree. You eat the grass. You eat things you wouldn't touch with a stick in times of plenty.

So, I believe that there's no economic reason to be sitting on untapped wells. There's probably not much more that could be extracted per time unit right now.

That's PO.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby JJ » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 07:39:35

I hear this all the time (I used to roughneck, and we capped off x number of wells, blah blah blah....)

and ate dinner at a seismologists house the other night and he said its not like we have any extra drilling rigs laying around...(I know this is off topic)
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby allenwrench » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 09:20:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zeke', 'I')'ve been hearing and reading lately what seems to be an urban legend among some folks that there are "hundreds and thousands" of oil wells which could be pumping sweet crude at this very moment, if not for...


and then the story has it that the oil companies are sitting on more sweet domestic crude than in 50 Ghawars, yadda yadda..

I'm wondering what, if any, the kernel of truth there is to this story which has vaulted it to full-on whopper status.

anyone know about this?

zeke


Same story from a gun shop owner and in-laws when I talked to them about PO.

As realists all we can do is go by 'what is' and not 'what ifs'.

We're doing something near to impossible, which is to predict the future. Tons of IF's, AND's and BUT's that could happen. We just don't know.

But as futurists we try to anticipate future events by current trends and the direction the world is headed in and as survivalists we try to prepare for those circumstances.

The facts show that we peaked in the 70's and it has been downhill ever since.

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/mcrfpus1a.htm

Time will tell, but I am not banking on vast untapped wells...I'm banking on prepping instead.

Without energy our country is open for takeover ... no jets...no tanks...no transport on the ground or in the air. Luckily we will still have nuclear powered submarines and aircraft carriers as long as the uranium holds out. But the jets on the flattop all use jet fuel. All the supplies for those subs and carriers petroleum dependent. So long before the crude dries up the government must 'secure a supply' of crude for it own needs.

Other countries such as Russia that have a good supply of crude may not be so kind to keep on selling it to us and we need a 'local and continual' source somewhat within our borders. You see, jet fuel as well as gasoline deteriorates and cannot be stored indefinitely. So we must always be producing some of it to replace the stale stuff to supply the military. But, that's why we elect politicians to deal with these troubles

Now as part of national security they may have sequestered some oil. But when we look at how those knuckleheads run things in DC, this scenario of planning ahead sounds as plausible as cars that run on water.

I guess when people start dying from PO and the US of A is in ruins they will still be clinging onto that dream of vast untapped oil just sitting there.

Also see:


http://www.worldoil.com/magazine/magazi ... aff_T2.htm
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 09:46:00

Yep...I think everyone has figured out the reality of all those "capped" oil wells. I actually specialize in going after old abandoned wells (once a well stops producing the oil company looses all right and the mineral owner is free to do what he likes with the well). It's usually a matter of spending $X to recover Y amount of oil. Lot's of wells aren't worth resurrecting at $40 but are at $140. But usually the flow rate is low...5....10....maybe 20 bbls per day. And every now and then a real barn burner of a few hundred bopd that the previous company unknowingly walked away from.

But don't let the low flow potential fool you. We produce 7 million bbl of oil per day but the average oil well in the US produces less than 10 bopd. We just have hundreds of thousands of them. I don't have a current number but 10 years or so ago the average Saudi well flowed 5000 bopd. Another little bit of oil patch trivia: All the major oil companies combined don't produce as much oil in the US as all the little independents including real ma and pa operators. It's these same operators that can make a good living producing 10 wells at 5 bopd each. ExxonMobil couldn't even afford to handle the paperwork on those wells.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby aahala2 » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 10:48:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zeke', 'I')'ve been hearing and reading lately what seems to be an urban legend among some folks that there are "hundreds and thousands" of oil wells which could be pumping sweet crude at this very moment, if not for...


and then the story has it that the oil companies are sitting on more sweet domestic crude than in 50 Ghawars, yadda yadda..

I'm wondering what, if any, the kernel of truth there is to this story which has vaulted it to full-on whopper status.

anyone know about this?

zeke

The Ghawar claim is completely off the mark.

The part that claims there are many US wells that could be producing and aren't is true, at least it was true before the runup in price the last year or so.

There seems to be fairly general consenus
the number of non-operating "stripper" wells are in the tens
of thousands, perhaps 200,000 or more.

Whether sweet or not, the cost of operating wells that can
only produce one or two barrells a day was not enough to
cover expenses. As the price of crude has risen, there's been
a boomlet is restarting the wells, largely by small firms or
individuals. The majors aren't that interested, and probably
no longer own a large percent of the rights to these wells.
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby zeke » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:05:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', '
')But don't let the low flow potential fool you. We produce 7 million bbl of oil per day but the average oil well in the US produces less than 10 bopd. We just have hundreds of thousands of them...


information like this against the backdrop of everything else just makes me crazy!

here we are, with some significant resource, and rather than smartening up, conserving, and re-directing resources in a way that will help our future, we're p|$$|ng it away like a 4-year-old tot let loose in a candy shop.

and wouldn't you know it...the responsible adults here are NOT in charge.


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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby Homesteader » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:15:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', '
')But don't let the low flow potential fool you. We produce 7 million bbl of oil per day


ROCK,

I've seen 5 million b/d up to the 7 million b/d you are using. I'm not questioning your figure, far from it, but would like to have a better understanding of where the disparity comes from.

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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby joeltrout » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:41:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', ' ')(once a well stops producing the oil company looses all right and the mineral owner is free to do what he likes with the well).


Mineral owners beware!!!!

If you claim ownership and/or work on a well after it has been abandoned by a company then you have the obligation to plug and abandon the well which can be costly. You are also liable if there is any environmental damage, injuries, etc... You claimed ownership so the liabilities are on you NOT the previous operator.

We do not claim any ownership of abandoned wells on our minerals in California. The State of California will claim ownership. If we claim ownership then the California Division of Oil and Gas will require us to pay for the plugging of the well, equipment removal, remediation of the surface, and other expenses which can total over $100,000 if there are several abadoned wells. Most of the time those costs are greater than any revenue that could have been received.

So check with your state oil and gas division before you do anything you don't understand.

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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:46:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zeke', '
')here we are, with some significant resource, and rather than smartening up, conserving, and re-directing resources in a way that will help our future, we're p|$$|ng it away like a 4-year-old tot let loose in a candy shop.


A nod of approval isn't enough. Someone give that man a cigar!

We should (better word than just could) be conserving and investing in alternatives. Development of said alternatives takes time and, more important, capital investment. There won't be time or capital when all hell breaks loose, if we go on like this.

Sometimes I wonder if world leaders shouldn't be help responsible for not confronting people with this kind of information. But then I remember: most people wouldn't listen/care/believe anyway!
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Re: Lots of "untapped" wells in US "just sitt

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 14:26:23

Pretty much the same rules in TX Joel.

Your number is probably better Homesteader. I just throw out the same stuff others do.

Clarification: a capped well usually means its been plugged and abandoned. Takes a new lease and some serois money to bring one of those back to life. A shutin well isn't P&A and is just sitting there not producing. An operaor won't spend the money to plug a S/I well until he has to so there are thousand of old wells with no production capability still being carried as S/I.

And don't scoff at 1 or 2 bbl per day. If I owned 10 wells doing 2 bopd each I could net around $150,000 per year. If i'm a one man company I've very happy because 90% of the time I can just sit under a tree with a cold one and watch those wells make my paycheck
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