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Exact peak oil date known?

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Exact peak oil date known?

Unread postby Tuike » Fri 11 Mar 2005, 15:51:57

There seems to a new feature in peakoil.com. There's a scrolling text on the left that says how many days are left to peak oil. It's now 661 days away. I guess this number changes as violently as if Windows progress meter, if copying something for example.
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Unread postby Kaminyu » Fri 11 Mar 2005, 17:01:43

661 days.... That puts it at about June 19, 2006
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Unread postby leal » Fri 11 Mar 2005, 17:19:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kaminyu', '6')61 days.... That puts it at about June 19, 2006

??

Today Mars 11 is day 70 of this year. 661 days in the future is 70 + 661- 365 = 366 days into next year, that is Jan 1 2007 8O
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Unread postby Kaminyu » Fri 11 Mar 2005, 17:53:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('leal', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kaminyu', '6')61 days.... That puts it at about June 19, 2006

??

Today Mars 11 is day 70 of this year. 661 days in the future is 70 + 661- 365 = 366 days into next year, that is Jan 1 2007 8O


Yeah, you're right. I must've done the math wrong.

661 days is about 69 days short of 2 years. So, instead of counting 2 years from now, and subtracting 69 days, I counted 1 year from now, and added 69 days. :oops:
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Exact peak oil date not known

Unread postby Grasshopper » Tue 15 Mar 2005, 15:33:29

Today is March 15, 2005 (ides of March)

Today the scrolling sidebar says :

"There are 254 days until Deffeyes Peak Oil Date.
There are 637 days until WOCAP Peak Oil Date.
There are 1002 days until ASPO Peak Oil Date.
There are 9403 days until USGS Peak Oil Date."

I suspect that we will only know the peak oil year, maybe the month, and only sometime after it is passed.

Being now middle-aged, I am hoping to have 10,000 to 12,000 more healthy days. This is anticipating a gradual decline, and a well-organized response by society when enough people know about peak oil. If it's the USGS date, then it won't dawn on enough people in time to do us any good, then I probably only have 9500 days left, so the sooner the better :lol:

Food production is presently highly dependent on fossil fuels, so more labour-intensive farming methods will have to be re-introduced in the first world.
It is ironic that just as the last of the pre-industrial processes and skills are disappearing, they are going to have to be re-learned by baby-boomers and their offspring, who have all been coddled all their lives. It's going to be quite a learning curve.
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listen:
http://ubl.artistdirect.com/store/artis ... 03,00.html
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