by wisconsin_cur » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 09:06:27
In what I am calling the "Male Paramilitary Delusion" Big Tex observed a while ago in a post I thought insightful,
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'T')he drift of this discussion is toward one that I have had countless times and it is basically the "Male Paramilitary Fantasy" (MPF).
Under the MPF, typically there is a heroic but misunderstood male who was smart enough to purchase a semi-automatic assault rifle and one to two thousand rounds of ammunition before society fell apart. Once society falls apart, the hero of the MPF steps forward and through his superior marksmanship and survival skills is able to kill an astonishing number of would-be thieves, vandals, looters and zombies.
I love the MPF. I used to daydream about it all the time. But then I started thinking about the whole matter in a more critical way, and my understanding became more subtle and I realized that in every SHTF scenario through history the survivors were typically not the heroes of the MPF, but the people who had a wide and deep network of connections, wealth spread across many asset categories, a range of useful knowledge and skills (including leadership) and a very high degree of emotional and psychological flexibility.
Do all of those things guarantee survival? Of course not.
Would I rather have all of those things than an assault rifle and a can of ammo? Absolutely.
But bear in mind that these are just my opinions. I'm not trying to sell anyone else on them. I'm just sharing them.
I do think, however, that it is more useful to talk about the skills that may actually be useful in the future than getting carried away by the MPF and visions of the armchair sniper in some kind of zombie shooting gallery.
I would just add that the delusion depends upon the assaulting hoards being of sub-human intellegence. We assume that they will assault a fixed position just as we have planned, we assume they will do stupid things that we would never do. This is not new, of course, it is how we have convinced young men to go to war for centuries.
This is my favorite example,
Of course the refugee is not a zombie or an ape or a sheeple. they are a homo sapien. They also have guns, high powered rifles, night vision equipment. They have also read the art of war and are as capable of diversion and betrayal as any other homo sapien. They are also capable of sitting back and taking their time, eliminating your defenses one at a time. they are also capable of spite, burning your crops just so that you cannot have them either.
Taking collapse seriously requires taking people seriously. It does someone little good to take the geology of oil extraction seriously if one does not take people seriously.