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Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 16:20:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', 'I') think it is just fear of poorer people in general that you get in the suburbs.
Why else would they have the gates? They want to keep out us animal-like lower class. lol


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i live in a 4 unit apartment building. i have Hispanic neighbors in 2 of the apartments, a family in one, and a single father in the other. in the apartment that has the family, neither parent speaks much English.

the single father has a lanscape business. so, between the 2 of them, there are plenty of "illegals". they're good neighbors. the guy with the landscape business is a "hiring manager"; he's one of the best-organized & hardest working people i've ever met.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby Muckingfess » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 16:32:41

It's easy-2 steps

1> Any vehicle on the road must be lien free

2> Only legal citizens can drive

Done deal!
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby Farknight » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 17:02:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') liked your "even the city," like this is some absolutely scary, radical idea. Many, many of us have been living happily in inner cities all of our lives, not contributing massively to the problem like you good folks in the god-forsaken, car-dependent suburbs and exurbs.


The issue increasingly for city dwellers will be how to deal with the facts:

1. All necessities from food, energy, clothing, and virtually all commodities must be brought into the city at an increasing cost;

2. Any disruption in supply will cause potential unrest very quickly (think Rodney King or the MLK murder aftermath). Folks do not take bad news very well and heaven help them if it transpires in the middle of a HOT summer;

3. It is basically impossible to properly garden at a truly subsistence level and add non-grid dependent back-up heating in urban areas. Gardens may invade public parks but the very fact of being inside the urban area and public means any and everyone will have access to them.


Exurban areas can provide acreage for subsistence gardening, potable water and fuel for wood stoves, etc. In addition, as population density is low, it will be easier to protect the private plots, keep out invaders (especially if you know the region well and have made plans including armaments). The key is to locate the best available acreage and planning for all the possibilities.

The city basically becomes disposable if one works on his own property or nearby in a small town in a fairly safe job like the local government. Oh, it is nice to visit, mix with all the sweaty crowds, pay through the nose for food and drink and entertainment, worry about where to park, avoid the weird stares from the homeless and wandering youth, etc. But the escape to the country always refreshes the soul.

The massive build-up in human population based on cheap fossil energy has been an urban affair. The unwinding of the same will make the urban areas increasingly desperate areas. Perhaps not at $5 a gallon or even $8. But I would imagine that at $10 a gallon the prices of everything would become so untenable long term that the urban unraveling would begin.

For the sake of humanity I hope we can unravel from fossil fuel to sustainable technology in an orderly transition. Transitions in the past never went down peacefully but maybe this time will be different.

Whether we realize it or not, with each passing day we are betting WE and our families are in the RIGHT place. Only time will tell.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 17:12:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', 'P')eople simply commute too far for their jobs. The solution is to move closer in to the inner-ring suburbs or even the city. People don't want to do it because of the crime situation. So I suggest a combination of huge carbon taxes + depopulate the inner ring of criminal elements = massive reduction in oil usage.



=massive unemployment and business failures.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 18:40:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '
')I'm not a big fan of telecommuting, I just don't see it becoming popular. Most corporate managers like to be physically near their staff. There's a psychological factor.


There aren't any barriers to outsourcing service jobs to India. I think they will eventually realize how hypocritical they are being and lose the resistance.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 18:46:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ki11ercane', '
')Sorry everyone, but no matter what direction you're pointing in, you're still surrounded by an ocean of dead end solutions.


Why focus on extremes? Peak oil doesn't mean the oil is going to be gone tomorrow. Changes that work for NOW will be pursued. You have to walk before you can run. If we have enough fossil fuels to make the initial fleet of plugins and EVs, I say we go ahead with it instead of just worrying about what happens when all fossil fuel is gone.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby cube » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 19:03:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '.')...
The majority of our employment, shopping and services are located in the suburbs, hence why I mentioned shopping malls, super centers, businesses, homes, housing developments, hospitals, professional buildings, hotels and industrial parks were built outside the cities.

Big industry, small scale manufacturing, cottage industry, small businesses, mom & pop stores and downtown businesses in many areas died many decades ago. Many people that live in the cities travel to the suburbs or other cities to work, shop, bank etc. The majority of all my tenants and our employees that live in the cities travel to the suburbs or other cities to work.

If city properties were high in demand, myself, family, friends and other developers, builders and investors would be demolishing/rebuilding/renovating/reselling. At the county property tax auctions, there are tons of city properties for sale, but no decent suburban building lots, acreage or farmland since they're grabbed up by investors like myself. We picked all the low hanging fruit years ago.

My most rent-able homes and apartments are in the suburban and village areas on or near the lakes. Before a tenant moves, I have dozens of people hammering me about renting.
I'm not talking about the past, I'm talking about what will happen in the future. Ten years ago gasoline was $1 / gallon. What you just described makes perfect economic sense........in the past and maybe to a certain extent the present. However that's changing right before our eyes.

What may have made economic sense when gas was $1 isn't going to make sense when it hits $10.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby hope_full » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 19:31:28

People are already leaving the suburbs. McMansions experienced their great build-up in the 1990s and early 2000s. Now that gas is getting pricey, their value is falling quite dramatically.

The city is the place to be.

I think of myself as quite the optimist but I think the suburbs (30 miles out and more) are going to become ghost towns or *maybe* they'll be cut into apartments. The people are voting with their pocketbooks and it seems that 15 miles is the breaking point. Anything more than 15 miles out is bad, bad, bad.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0521/p01s ... tml?page=2

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')lthough America's housing downturn has rippled nationwide, its impact varies greatly by geography – right down to individual streets, developments, and ZIP Codes. In many metro areas, far-flung suburbs and exurbs face sharper price declines than neighborhoods closer to city centers.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby Aaron » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 19:33:34

Conservation & efficiency efforts are never effective.

And here's why... link
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby cube » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 19:54:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Farknight', '1'). All necessities from food, energy, clothing, and virtually all commodities must be brought into the city at an increasing cost;
....
In the early 1900's steam powered trains were already making agricultural deliveries from California to New York city. Even before the advent of food delivery via ICE engines (being a serious contender), the city had already reached 5 million population.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Farknight', '2'). Any disruption in supply will cause potential unrest very quickly (think Rodney King or the MLK murder aftermath). Folks do not take bad news very well and heaven help them if it transpires in the middle of a HOT summer;
....
There will be a die-off.......In the 3rd world.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Farknight', '3'). It is basically impossible to properly garden at a truly subsistence level and add non-grid dependent back-up heating in urban areas.
True, but history has shown that "big" cities can exist.
In ancient Rome, food was delivered in daily from North Africa.
There's an interesting story of a "strategist" who became the emperor of Rome not through war but instead cutting off the city's food supply. In a matter of few days the ruler elites capitulated without a single drop of blood being spilled. Clever huh?
//
*question?*
Why do so many people on this forum have a "Escape from New York" ---> we're ALL going to run out of the city mentality???
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby Revi » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 19:56:14

For the individual conservation and efficiency are really effective. The only reason you have extra energy to expand your lifestyle is because you conserved and pushed efficiency.

I know a guy who just put a couple of extra solar panels in to power his plasma TV. Why not? He has the extra power now.

I agree that it may not help out the overall picture, but each individual now has a powerful incentive to conserve and make efficiency happen.

It has worked for us. We're thinking of getting an LCD TV (uses the same amount of power, but a much bigger picture).

Jevons be damned!
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby MrBill » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 05:37:58

Changing consumer habits:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nother report Thursday from Scotia Economics said record-high gas prices are leading to a big change in purchasing habits.

"With Americans abandoning their gas-guzzling SUVs and pickup trucks for small, more fuel-efficient vehicles, we estimate that the average fuel-efficiency of this year's fleet has climbed by nearly 20 per cent from the previous model year," said auto industry specialist Carlos Gomes.

Small cars now account for one-quarter of overall U.S. sales, up from 16 per cent last year, the Scotia report said.

"In fact, small cars and fuel-efficient crossover utility vehicles now account for 42 per cent of the U.S. market, up from 30 per cent in 2006 and double their sheared as recently as 2001," Gomes said.

One the other hand, sales of pickups and SUVs are down to only 19 per cent of U.S. volumes, compared to 36 per cent in 2001.


source: Gas prices to take 10 million cars off the road
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 08:21:17

the stay-at-home vacation is one idea that we talked about in an earlier thread.

it's since been given the term "staycation".

one week, every 3 months, maybe with some energy counseling at work.

this is something for big corporations to sink their teeth into, when they roll out an expanded van-pool etc. to help employees deal with rising fuel costs.

of course it may result in a lot of divorces. Single people can go to Club Med in Cleveland & get there via Amtrak.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby MrBill » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 08:26:54

Club Med in Cleveland? I had to read it twice to figure out whether you were joking or not? ; - ))
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he plunge in the value of large SUVs and trucks has prompted some dealers to stop taking them at trade-in.

"It has been unlike anything I've seen in my career," Tom Folliard, chief executive of CarMax Inc, the largest U.S. used car retailer, said last week, noting the large vehicle depreciation had been especially dramatic since April.

"People just can't afford to write a multi-thousand-dollar check to get out of their sport utility to get into a car that gets better gas mileage," he added. "The math doesn't work."

Used-car prices are a closely watched barometer for new vehicle sales as a majority of purchases involve a trade-in model and better prices tend to spur more trade-ins.

The average wholesale price of used, large SUVs fell 24 percent last month. Prices for used pickup trucks were down 21 percent in May, according to Manheim, a firm that provides auction pricing benchmarks for dealers.

The collapse in demand for large vehicles has automakers and analysts cutting forecasts for U.S. auto sales this year.

Sales in the world's single largest market for new cars and trucks are expected to drop to about 15 million units in 2008, down from 16.1 million for 2007. Few see a recovery in 2009.



source: Pain is all around as Americans shun SUVs
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby joelcolorado » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 11:49:08

I giggle every day I read the paper and see ppl trying to sell used SUV's for premium prices. There was a 2001 in there last night for ONLY $20,000. What fool will buy that? Come on ppl Wake up. If you dont want it neither does anyone else. duh
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby JoeW » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 13:28:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '
')
The majority of our employment, shopping and services are located in the suburbs, hence why I mentioned shopping malls, super centers, businesses, homes, housing developments, hospitals, professional buildings, hotels and industrial parks were built outside the cities.

MarkJ, I just have to pause here to inform you that you are the KING of commas! I don't which is larger--the number of commas in a MarkJ post, or the number of doomsters on peakoil.com!
I love it.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby MarkJ » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 13:42:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '
')
The majority of our employment, shopping and services are located in the suburbs, hence why I mentioned shopping malls, super centers, businesses, homes, housing developments, hospitals, professional buildings, hotels and industrial parks were built outside the cities.

MarkJ, I just have to pause here to inform you that you are the KING of commas! I don't which is larger--the number of commas in a MarkJ post, or the number of doomsters on peakoil.com!
I love it.


Many of my friends in the building industry call me the *King of Overkill* due to my tendency to overbuild. Now I can add the King of Commas to my list of titles,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :twisted:

It's good to be The King.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Sat 28 Jun 2008, 13:13:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'C')lub Med in Cleveland? I had to read it twice to figure out whether you were joking or not? ; - ))


yeah, i was joking. BUT, i wouldn't be surprised to see them open up more domestic vacation spots.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Farknight', '3'). It is basically impossible to properly garden at a truly subsistence level and add non-grid dependent back-up heating in urban areas. Gardens may invade public parks but the very fact of being inside the urban area and public means any and everyone will have access to them.


maybe you could join our community garden in Sonoma County Calif. ?

i raised this question, having had a garden plot vandalized in SF, at a planning meeting in Sonoma County ... the garden in Sonoma also had some food stolen last year.

i think part of the trick is to grow crops that nobody knows what they are.

i wanted to put some big hedges to hide the garden. the 2 "alpha" people that basically run the garden said, "we're not going to worry about vandalism, and we're not going to do anything about it."

the garden is in an urban area about a mile from the epicenter of the local Norteno gang (1500 members).

so i just figure i'm growing tomatoes for the general public & will try not to get too attached to anything i have in the ground.
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 28 Jun 2008, 13:22:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pedalling_faster', '
')i think part of the trick is to grow crops that nobody knows what they are.


I try to post frequently about this idea in the Planning Forum, and am researching (and growing) these kinds of edible plants that don't look like food. :)
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Re: Suggestion for reducing oil usage

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Sat 28 Jun 2008, 13:43:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pedalling_faster', '
')i think part of the trick is to grow crops that nobody knows what they are.


I try to post frequently about this idea in the Planning Forum, and am researching (and growing) these kinds of edible plants that don't look like food. :)


one good candidate is Walking Stick Cabbage, which i have also heard referred to as tree chard.

it's an extremely high yielder, and nobody knows what it is.

it tastes about like spinach, but with much thicker leaves. it also makes a good trellis for pea plants and other climbing plants.
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