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Today in Spain I got scared

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby virgincrude » Wed 11 Jun 2008, 13:03:23

pup55: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hen the Americans do something, it is always about 10 times more grandiose than the Euro version, and this will be no exception.


I'm wondering what you mean by 'grandiose'. I wish I could show you the photos of the violence that has been going on throughout Spain today, between strikers/protestors and the police. One guy has been run down dead, another half burned to death. Do you mean that should this kind of action were to happen in the State we'd be reading reports of more people dead?

Over here we have an image of the US as a supremely violent nation, so it's easy to think any similar strike action there would degenerate into more than just the street battles we've seen here (one really interesting photo shows a riot cop down, held by three truckers, his helmet off, and one of them reaching for his baton- can't imagine what they did with him after that, but I doubt they gave him back his baton and helmet and pattted him on the back......)

seriously, how do you think a civil action like a mass strike might carry out in US?
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Wed 11 Jun 2008, 14:02:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', 'I')t's heartbreaking to see the local plastic greenhouses all around here filled to the brim with ripe ready produce and nobody plucking it.


This was predicted. I can't remember who first said it, but it was said that "People will starve while food rots on the loading docks."

Well here it is, and it's only just warming up.
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby virgincrude » Wed 11 Jun 2008, 14:18:33

Dreamtwister: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his was predicted. I can't remember who first said it, but it was said that "People will starve while food rots on the loading docks."


Wow. If it's THAT easy for you to believe the outcome of predictions, no wonder you're a doomer.

Nobody is, nor will be starving. Come next week, everything will be back to normal. More expensive. But back to normal.

There, that's MY prediction.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Wed 11 Jun 2008, 14:21:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', 'N')obody is, nor will be starving.


This time.
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby NorseNomad » Wed 11 Jun 2008, 17:48:58

So far, everything is normal up here. Almost nobody is aware of high oil prices, as it's getting very little media coverage. Some have noticed increased gas prices and there have been some complaints about it, but mostly focusing on an upcoming 2 cent/litre tax increase on gas. Totally quiet this week, though. Nothing about the strikes in Europe on the news or online newspapers.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Karlos4 » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 02:41:09

Update.
Fish, fruits and fresh vegetables were only at 15% in the main distribution centres in Barcelona.
If you are interested, the first things to run out because of the strike are:
Milk.
Water.
Rice and pasta.
Lettucce
Fresh meat
Oil.
Canned vegetables.
Bakery products
Coffe
Diapers (ugly if you have a baby)
Car factories have been hit specially hard, as they can't make cars without spare parts. Nissan Spain is considering to send home 3.000 workers until the strike ends.
This situation is a good exercise to think about how could it be in the future a real oil shortage. Right now people are not desperate, just annoyed. The sad part, of course, is violence.
I guess a lot more people are going to get interested in Peak Oil from now on in this country.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 10:15:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Karlos4', 'W')ater.


You're talking bottled water yeah? The utilities are still working right?
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Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby virgincrude » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 11:05:19

Of course, SPG, you surely would have heard if Barcelona, or anywhere else in the 'developed' world was no longer able to keep the water treatment plants working. Just like most places in the US, Barcelona provides pure drinking water through the faucet, depending where you are, what it tastes like. Many people prefer spring water, besides the obvious panic buying which probably enhanced sales a great deal.

The knock on effects of the trucker's strike is impressive. Today the farmers were warning of cattle starving should supplies of feed not reach them by tomorrow. Many regions have started using police escorts to get vital supplies where they're needed. I suppose it sounds like the doomer scenario so many here dream of, but really, it's just another strike, admittedly a very timely and effective one. Just highlights how thoroughly dependent we all are on transport fuel.

In my local superstore this morning, there were a few empty shelves, no lettuce and the fruit and veg stocks extremely run down. But I bought onions, steaks. There was plenty of bottled water (I notice the booze section was well stocked, as usual) there was no UHT milk (fresh milk is really hard to buy all over Spain, it's all in tetrabricks, UHT treated) the shelves were bare of a few types of yoghurt and milk type deserts, and all chicken ran out on tuesday already.

So it depends where you are and where you shop. I got my eggs from a woman across the road who has chickens. Yesterday a woman in my gym was recounting her local fruit and veg guy was out of everything, including potatoes. Mine had everything this morning. The fruit and veg are piled up in the warehouses. The really annoying thing is that, rather than invite us in to buy direct, they'll throw the produce in the street in some dumb display of frustration. These stupid displays of "food arrogance" should be outlawed, and may well be as we move forward into a world of the starved and over fed.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Troyboy1208 » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 14:25:12

Karlos there is a really good article on the front page of Peak oil with some very disturbing pictures. Farmers are rioting in southern spain. It seems the situation there is quite fragile at the moment. I was in Barcelona two years ago and Madrid. Beautiful cities but man there are alot of mouths to feed. Stay safe and thanks for the awesome update. Look forward to hearing from you as often as you can manage
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby portuga » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 15:07:57

hey ppl, here in portugal everything is back to business at usual... the government caved in just a litte and threatened to call the army to the streets... i heard rumours that farmers are preparing similar protests, so stay tuned...
Now is time to calculate losses and for me to continue with the construction of my supplies stash....
hey carlos " This situation is a good exercise to think about how could it be in the future a real oil shortage. Right now people are not desperate, just annoyed. The sad part, of course, is violence.
I guess a lot more people are going to get interested in Peak Oil from now on in this country." that´s exactly how i feel except for the conclusion, this was still not enough to wake ppl up... oh and so much for the fantasy that europe is not as vulnerable to PO as the states.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Twilight » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 15:15:03

Oh look at this.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BBC', 'H')undreds of staff at BMW's car plant in Oxfordshire will be temporarily forced to cease production this weekend due to Spanish fuel protests.

Management at the plant, in Cowley, have told the BBC they cannot get hold of crucial parts as all airports and ports have effectively been blocked.


How's that for the interconnectedness of all things? A step up from the usual problems on the M20.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby ekaggata » Thu 12 Jun 2008, 23:40:00

How plausible is this? :
Due to severe strike action from hauliers all over Europe, itself due to the fact that their business model is collapsing at these diesel prices, European governments are forced to slash taxes on diesel fuel for these customers.
As a result, the already stretched global market for diesel goes apeshit, thus running up the price of the commodity so drastically that the effect of the tax rebates is nullified.
:shock:
Oops ...?

By the way, although I think the question was raised, in this thread and elsewhere, I never saw any answer as to why these hauliers can't just exert pricing power, and pass on the extra fuel cost to their end consumers..?
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby virgincrude » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 01:27:49

ekaggata: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')y the way, although I think the question was raised, in this thread and elsewhere, I never saw any answer as to why these hauliers can't just exert pricing power, and pass on the extra fuel cost to their end consumers..?


These hauliers are members of unions of self-employed workers. Not of large corporations with large fleets. They're mostly truck owners, working for small cooperatives/businesses. There are 'rules' (laws) governing their charges, which prevent them from passing the costs on to the consumer. Gas taxes in Europe are probably the highest in the world, they are striking to get a minimum haulier's charge established as they say they are losing contracts because of drivers willing to undercut their rates: basically they are hauling goods and their costs are not being covered, they're working at a loss.

The Spanish government has flatly said: no way, to this demand, as there are several laws in place governing the functioning of a competitive market making this minimum charge unlawful. The truckers have said; no way, we're staying on strike until we get what we want. that is: a change in the law. (This is all 'official speak, I don't know any truckers to get their first hand views, and there are NO independent news sources in Spain!)

To confound matters, the Spanish fishermen have been on strike until yesterday, over a period of two or three weeks, asking for a 'professional price' for diesel, since the costs of running their boats has cripppled them: the price of fish has not risen according to the price of diesel, and their wages have not risen either. So fishing has become too costly. The idea of a professional rate for diesel seems good to me, but then the next people to demand access to that flat rate, would be taxi drivers/farmers etc. and so all hell would break loose. So contrary to popular view, the truckers and fishermen have not actually been on strike (on the face of it) over the same thing. Although it boils down to the same thing: high priced diesel, in the public awareness, it looks like two different groups with two different beefs.

Zapatero and the socialist government are aware of Peak Oil, his speeches reflect this, although he never uses the term, and their energy policy in their programme for the elections in March makes some good noises: all concentrating on renewables. He shows more awareness for the causes behind the current price hikes than the opposition (although they may simply be callously using this crisis to gain supporters who are PO blind, and just blame it all on Zapatero.)
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 02:07:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', ' ')they are striking to get a minimum haulier's charge established as they say they are losing contracts because of drivers willing to undercut their rates: basically they are hauling goods and their costs are not being covered, they're working at a loss.


How does that make any sense? Why is anyone willing to haul for less than cost? As a loss leader? Seems like the basic issue here is high fuel prices->decreased demand for hauliers. Nobody wants to be the one to find other work.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')the price of fish has not risen according to the price of diesel, and their wages have not risen either. So fishing has become too costly.


Some of the fishermen need to go out of business then and the price of fish will rise. Trying to flail against this by giving people tax incentives to use more oil is NOT going to make it better. High oil prices is going to lead to disproportionate contractions in the economic sectors which are using it in the least efficient way. That's just life. Obviously we're not going to do away with hauliers or fishermen, but we may be quite surprised that we can do without large numbers of both.
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Sifting through the ashes every day
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby cube » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 02:40:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', ' ')they are striking to get a minimum haulier's charge established as they say they are losing contracts because of drivers willing to undercut their rates: basically they are hauling goods and their costs are not being covered, they're working at a loss.


How does that make any sense? Why is anyone willing to haul for less than cost? As a loss leader? Seems like the basic issue here is high fuel prices->decreased demand for hauliers. Nobody wants to be the one to find other work.
...
In today's economy who could blame them? There are no other jobs out there. If there was, they would of left by now.
However I agree with you, this "minimum haulier's charge" makes no economic sense. Besides if the government gave truck drivers minimum rates then guess how many people in other industries will be asking for the same thing-->everybody.
If prosperity could be achieved by everybody voting to give themselves a pay raise I say we should all make $100 / hour.
Problem solved! :roll:
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby ekaggata » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 03:51:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', 'e')kaggata: There are 'rules' (laws) governing their charges, which prevent them from passing the costs on to the consumer.

Wow, that's an eye-opener. What exactly do these laws say? That seems to me to be a crucial point.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Karlos4 » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 06:34:47

Each day seems to carry a bad new.
Now taxi drivers in Catalonia (where I live) and Valencia are going on strike. Expect caos at the airports. What do they want? the same as everybody, cheaper fuel.

The supply situation is beggining to look better, now that police has cleared the roads from some of the most radical truck drivers. There are still shortages of certain things, it depends of where you live. Anyway, still convoy trucks have to be escorted by police into the city.
It's not that easy to fill the car's tanks, but the blame here is not on the lack of gas itself, but on pepole's reaction: everybody is filling up their tanks at once! I'm lucky i go to work by bicycle.

(Note: of course I was talking about bottled water. The day there is no drinkable water from our taps, then there will be a problem.)
I gotta tell you that live goes on as usual. This is not doomsday, you can come to Spain and enjoy your holidays and the only thing you'll notice, maybe, are the long lines at the gas stations. But it brings the feeling of the change, gives you a real warning about something you only knew as paper theory or some numbers on a screen.
It all looks like the begining of an adjustment phase, where people still does not realize they are not going to get cheap diesel anymore. We are heading fast into a hig-prices, job destruction era. What amazes me is that here, today, there is no real talk about the real problem "how much oil is left?"
In a week I'm going on holiday to Canary islands with my wife and kids. I'm going by plane and will rent a car. Enjoy things as they are now.

Last night we were watching a very good Peak Oil report on catalan TV. They talked about Hubbert, US Peak Oil, alternative energy and, yes, doomsday scenarios.
My younger kid, 8 years old Lucas, told me: "This is not fair. You've lived all your life in a world with oil, and I won't".
"We'll see" is all I could tell him.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby grom » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 06:54:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'K')arlos there is a really good article on the front page of Peak oil with some very disturbing pictures. Farmers are rioting in southern spain. It seems the situation there is quite fragile at the moment

Troyboy,
The situation is pretty normal, I dont see "fragile" anywhere. People protesting, as usual.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')y the way, although I think the question was raised, in this thread and elsewhere, I never saw any answer as to why these hauliers can't just exert pricing power, and pass on the extra fuel cost to their end consumers..?

ekaggata,
I sort of answered your question a few post back. The truckers are affected by the housing bubble bursting, and their business is contracting. In this situation is very difficult to raise fares and remain competitive, and more so when you are competing against bigger companies (that are not in strike, by the way).
Regarding some other post, I am not aware of laws that not allow the raising of fares.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') gotta tell you that live goes on as usual. This is not doomsday, you can come to Spain and enjoy your holidays and the only thing you'll notice, maybe, are the long lines at the gas stations

I subscribe this totally. The situation never was bad. In fact, I live in Madrid and I have been not affected AT ALL (mind you, I dont use car to go to work). If I didnt watch the news, I wouldnt have noticed it.
I remember much more violent strikes, miners and shipyard workers amongst others.

The only remarkable thing about this strike is that one of the reasons for it is the price of oil.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby virgincrude » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 01:07:55

SPG: You're right, of course, but this is Europe. It's hard for you to imagine how fundamentally different are the mind sets of Americans and Europeans. The idea of letting fishermen or any other tradesman simply shrivel and lose business is so un-European, especially so un-Socialist.

As for those exact laws, I would not have neither the time nor the inclination to get into a translation of these pernickity 'normativas' and where and how they apply, in which different autonomous region and in which circumstances. Euro-beaurocracy is legendary for a reason! I'm just repeating what I've learned from a few news sources.

It is true that many new jobs were created by the housing boom, lots of small scale hauliers for example, and grom is right: the economic contraction means they literally don't have anything to haul, so what's the European response?: let's go on strike and demand the government do something. This turmoil across the country has been caused by a minority, would you believe, who's aggresive picketing has stunned the nation.
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Re: Today in Spain I got scared

Unread postby Hartmann » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 18:36:16

This could be considered the first peak oil simulation.

Shortages in the shops, petrol convoys scorted by the police, some little riots, big factories stopped by lack of supplies and spare parts, workers without work ( no work, no money, no consume and the circle is closed) and other weird effects.

What would happen when the things are real and worse ?? 8O
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