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I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything...

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby dohboi » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 16:20:06

Who exactly are the crack pots you intend here? Those calling for massive new un-sequestering of safely-buried carbon to further drive the planet toward total extinction of complex life, or those pointing out the absurdity of considering such inanity.

Oh, never mind, I just noticed this was SW posting, and he's always on the side of inanity.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby Dezakin » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 17:24:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FrankRichards', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '
')Oh no! If I could only synthesize that stuff from CO and H in some sort of reactor with some sort of catalysts! Sounds like strange Nazi science that some evil regime in South Africa would persue though, and everyone knows that thats science fiction.


And to get back to oil shale, there was a link yesterday on The Oildrum about just that. Shell did a presentation at the Colorado School of Mines about the bazillions of tons of coal they would burn to extract the kerogen. Somebody asked them if it wouldn't just be better to use Fischer-Tropsche to make coal into oil. Answer: "Yes"

This from Shell's own engineers.

Yeah, thats what pretty much sinks shale unless brand new economic models are developed. Maybe if nuclear reactors heating the shale somehow become much more affordable and coal becomes much more expensive. So, maybe in 2030.

Or maybe never.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby VMarcHart » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 21:52:31

And here's the PO.com screenplay.

An innocent hopeful joins the site. He's amazed by the thousands of postings. He reads some and a light goes on; "Hey, I know something I can share!"
He shares it. Poor bastard.

Two or three self-proclaimed know-everything experts thrash the newbie. Then someone apologizes for the bad behavior. Then a dick contest between 2-3 I-know-more-than-you self-proclaimed experts. Then other people chime in, and soon, no one talks about the idea --good or bad-- that the newbie shared.

That's the way it goes here. And that's some way not to solve the problem.

SoberGoose, brother/sister, welcome. Whereas I too think oil-shale is DOA, however, thanks for sharing, and keep on trucking. Don't listen to these dickhead doomers. I'm with you; I too think we can make a big step towards fixing everything. Call me a dreamer, a non-scientific, a hippie, whatever you want, but please make sure you call me hopeful. On this site, I've been called everything.

Want to start fixing it? Only half a child per adult after the age of 35, no more resuscitation after age of 70. Radical, isn't it? Let's hear what the experts say.

Be good!
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 22:05:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', 'C')all me a dreamer, a non-scientific, a hippie, whatever you want, but please make sure you call me hopeful. On this site, I've been called everything.

Want to start fixing it? Only half a child per adult after the age of 35, no more resuscitation after age of 70. Radical, isn't it? Let's hear what the experts say.

Be good!


A few years ago I had to replace 1/4 of my roof. I was glad to have the help of my dad. We did the math and figured out how many shingles would be needed. He said, "That seems like too much" lets get x amount instead."
"Ok," I said nervously.

Three trips to town later we ended up buying exactly as many shingles as the original math informed us originally.

Lesson, if given a choice between hope and math, I will trust the math. Hopes and dreams that keep you from undertaking the steps dictated by the math waste your time and, if the stakes are high enough, cost you the game.

If that makes me, or anyone else, a "di--head doomer" then so be it. Although I do find it interesting that you feel the need to resort to name calling I would hope you might come up with a secular argument that might change our minds.

But if you don't have an argument and want to write some people off with negative names and support your position with positive descriptions "hopeful" etc. Than so be it... just don't act surprised if no one believes you until you make an argument that is believable.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby MonteQuest » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 23:18:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', ' ')An innocent hopeful joins the site. He's amazed by the thousands of postings. He reads some and a light goes on; "Hey, I know something I can share!"
He shares it. Poor bastard.

Two or three self-proclaimed know-everything experts thrash the newbie. Then someone apologizes for the bad behavior. Then a dick contest between 2-3 I-know-more-than-you self-proclaimed experts. Then other people chime in, and soon, no one talks about the idea --good or bad-- that the newbie shared.

That's the way it goes here. And that's some way not to solve the problem.


Many of us have been here almost 4 years. We have hashed and rehashed mos to of this to death.

When I first came to this site, I spent two full weeks reading everything I could in every forum before posting this, my first post:

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic1514.html+storm

44,000 views and it was on the front page for over two years.

Do your homework before posting anything.

Most of newbies I see posting haven't even cracked a book.

We are a tough crowd for nonsense postings. :)
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby MonteQuest » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 23:31:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', ' ')I'm with you; I too think we can make a big step towards fixing everything. Call me a dreamer, a non-scientific, a hippie, whatever you want, but please make sure you call me hopeful.


You hope that an unsustainable paradigm doomed to failure will persist?

There is no techno-"fix" for this.

Read this by Sharon Astyk

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')I tend to be an optimist, at least by the standards of peak oil activists (which isn't very hard). By that I mean that I believe in individual action and I believe that we could overturn the system that we live within and make better choices. But I also think this is less likely than that we'll do the wrong thing, and part of it is that our brains are trying to kill us (or at least our kids). That is, we've gotten into habits of thought so destructive and so automatic that we don't even recognize their basic failures. And if we don't recognize the failures in our own heads and overturn them, we're in big trouble. One of those problems is that we can't stop looking for a quick fix.
I liked this essay by James Kunstler quite a bit, and I recommend it to you, because he has a useful grasp of essentials,

" It only made me more nervous, because this longing for "solutions," strikes me as a free-floating wish for magical rescue remedies, for techno-fixes that will allow us to make a hassle-free switch from fossil hydrocarbon power to something less likely to destroy the Earth's ecosystems (and human civilization with it). And I think such a wish is, in itself, at the root of our problem -- certainly at the bottom of our incapacity to think clearly about these things.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') would suggest that the "find a short term solution solution" even if it were feasible (probably not) is morally bankrupt, ugly, inelegant and in part responsible that each generation's children seem to want less to do with their parents than the last one. The notion that there's a techno solution out there is probably wrong, but even if we could find one, Kunstler's right, would we want it? Would we want to be people who said, "Let's just put it off a little longer so that someone else has to deal?" Would we want to be the opposite of the generations who made huge personal sacrifices so their kids wouldn't have to?

The thing is, there is a solution, and like most good solutions is really, really simple, and equally elegant. Stop being rich...You take a lot of wealth from poorer people (ie, you buy cheap things manufactured by virtual slaves that are cheap because of that), also like lords in castles.

The answer is really simple. Get off your ass, and dump the castle, or at least move a few more people into it. Get rid of most of the servants. Start doing for yourself without using power. Stop buying anything you want and eating like a king. Live like a peasant. Wear peasant clothes. Do peasant work. Eat peasant food. Get comfortable with it.


In other words, powerdown all aspects of your life.

Read the whole thing; it will humble you withyour solution obession.

Casaubon's Book
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby mos6507 » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 23:38:54

She's wrong. The solution is not powerdown. Powerdown is just another kick-the-can-down-the-road temporary solution. It is just the "conservation" approach to extending carrying capacity. Sure, we should pursue this in the interim, but the longterm solution is to not have any kids and reduce the human population to match carrying capacity better so that future generations won't HAVE to live like paupers when all they can count on is renewable energy.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby MonteQuest » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 23:49:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'S')he's wrong. The solution is not powerdown. Powerdown is just another kick-the-can-down-the-road temporary solution. It is just the "conservation" approach to extending carrying capacity. Sure, we should pursue this in the interim, but the longterm solution is to not have any kids and reduce the human population to match carrying capacity better so that future generations won't HAVE to live like paupers when all they can count on is renewable energy.


Of course. I agree.

I take it that you haven't read much of her writings. She is far more astute thatn you are givign her credit for.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby Judgie » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 02:34:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SoberGoose', '
')In the western United States (Colorado, Utah, Wyoming) we hvae ENORMOUS deposits of oil-shale...which is for the most part, solid oil.


Yes, just invest enough money and we'll get the oil out. It's exactly that kind of thinking that got us into this mess.

The most recent news I heard regarding oil shale production was some company (Shell?) was testing a process of heating up the oil shale using electricity so that the kerogen could be extracted. I don't think that the energy return was very good, but the dollars were there because electricity can be generated from sources cheaper than oil.

Repeating myself... This wont take off because turning coal into liquid fuels will be cheaper for decades. If big capital starts dumping money into oil alternatives, CTL is where its going, not shale unless the economics seriously change.


Don't listen to these genocidal crackpots. They have an agenda, which is promoting the extinction of humanity.


The genuine crackpots would be those who in the promotion of their own selfish agenda, would allow the continued growth of their own species to the point of over-crowding, war, famine, and the extinction of most of the other species on this (your's, our's, everyone's) planet leading to greatly diminished biodiversity and carrying capacity, while burning everything they can until eventually there's nothing left, to continue their "unegotiable way of life".

Ever read "The People of Sand and Slag"?

You should. Then ask yourself if that's the future you want.
"That the cream cannot help but always rise up to the top, well I say, <censored by peakoil.com> floats"

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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby Dezakin » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 02:47:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'W')e are a tough crowd for nonsense postings. :)

That can't be right. You keep telling me how popular your posts are. You never show anything in your die-off scenarios. You just tell everyone how learned you are and how ignorant everyone else is.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby mos6507 » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 03:23:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Judgie', '
')Ever read "The People of Sand and Slag"?

You should. Then ask yourself if that's the future you want.


What I envision is the "real" world of The Matrix, in which the planet has become one big toxic sewer.

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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby cube » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 04:23:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'W')e are a tough crowd for nonsense postings. :)

That can't be right. You keep telling me how popular your posts are. You never show anything in your die-off scenarios. You just tell everyone how learned you are and how ignorant everyone else is.
MonteQuest is actually one of the more respectable members on this forum.

If you find him "below your standard" you might as well pack your bags and leave because seriously, I doubt you'll find anything here on this forum worth your time.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby turner » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 11:20:15

I'm a 'newbie' and I am unsure by what you people are trying to achieve in this forum. Some of you have clearly been around for a long time and have debated all the issues. What's left for you to discuss other than some new information that comes on line infrequently? Why wouldn't you want to educate people?

I really have to wonder whether some of the questions posed are not purposefully controversial to get a debate going. Perhaps some people have more than one log in....

I have read all the books, seen the DVDs, watched the growth lectures but I wouldn't bother posting here. It seems the agenda is a point scoring, intellectual 'bonfire of the vanities'. Sad really.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby evilgenius » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 13:21:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e should continue to develop hydrogen, nuclear, and other renewable sources of energy.


Sorry, hydrogen is not a source of energy nor is it renewable. Nuclear is not renewable either. Uranium is a finite resource.

The hydrogen is not a source of energy is almost strawman. It is a fuel and chemical component for producing synthetic fuels. Hydrogen production via thermochemical and high temperature electrolysis should be developed. Mix it with CO2 over the right catalysts and you have diesel fuel. Do it with all the CO2 from limeburning from cement plants around the world and you have 10-20 million barrels per day of diesel fuel.

As for uranium being a finite resource: Meaningless.

With 120 trillion tons of thorium and uranium and 1 ton of thorium capable of producing 2 GW thermal, you would deplete the earths supply sometime in the next 16 million years if you burn it as fast as you can without exceeding the raw heat dissapation capacity of the earth, or some 1000 times the current energy consumption of all of global civilization. Its finite. So's sunlight.


Be careful when committing to hydrogen. It has the potential to cause a problem worse than global warming if not sourced properly, global oxygen depletion. Extract it from the sea and you are fine because you become part of a cycle. Extract it from anywhere else and over time you combine with oxygen that not being included in a cycle can suffer depletion. It doesn't have to be the case, but it is worth considering before the investment in infrastructure that is necessary takes place.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby dohboi » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 16:11:11

turner, I agree with your point about tiresome one-ups-man-ship. But I find few other places where I can have discussions in which at least some of the participants have some glimmering notion of the enormity of the situation we are in.

As things continue to unravel, there may begin to be mor people with a clue around to chat with.

Thanks for your contributions here, few though they be.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby MonteQuest » Sat 14 Jun 2008, 22:56:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('turner', ' ')I have read all the books, seen the DVDs, watched the growth lectures but I wouldn't bother posting here. It seems the agenda is a point scoring, intellectual 'bonfire of the vanities'. Sad really.


Yes, sadly the professionalism here has been lacking except for a few very astute members. You will soon learn who they are. Engage them and put the ego trippers on ignore.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby Dezakin » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 00:34:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('evilgenius', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e should continue to develop hydrogen, nuclear, and other renewable sources of energy.


Sorry, hydrogen is not a source of energy nor is it renewable. Nuclear is not renewable either. Uranium is a finite resource.

The hydrogen is not a source of energy is almost strawman. It is a fuel and chemical component for producing synthetic fuels. Hydrogen production via thermochemical and high temperature electrolysis should be developed. Mix it with CO2 over the right catalysts and you have diesel fuel. Do it with all the CO2 from limeburning from cement plants around the world and you have 10-20 million barrels per day of diesel fuel.

As for uranium being a finite resource: Meaningless.

With 120 trillion tons of thorium and uranium and 1 ton of thorium capable of producing 2 GW thermal, you would deplete the earths supply sometime in the next 16 million years if you burn it as fast as you can without exceeding the raw heat dissapation capacity of the earth, or some 1000 times the current energy consumption of all of global civilization. Its finite. So's sunlight.


Be careful when committing to hydrogen. It has the potential to cause a problem worse than global warming if not sourced properly, global oxygen depletion. Extract it from the sea and you are fine because you become part of a cycle. Extract it from anywhere else and over time you combine with oxygen that not being included in a cycle can suffer depletion. It doesn't have to be the case, but it is worth considering before the investment in infrastructure that is necessary takes place.

Any long term strategy for hydrogen generation involves splitting water.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby TonyPrep » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 08:39:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 't')he longterm solution is to not have any kids and reduce the human population to match carrying capacity better so that future generations won't HAVE to live like paupers when all they can count on is renewable energy.
At what point do you think reproduction should be allowed again?
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby TonyPrep » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 08:43:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', 'T')hen other people chime in, and soon, no one talks about the idea --good or bad-- that the newbie shared.
Maybe the newbie is not interested in discussing the idea, after putting it out there. He posted it more than two days ago and hasn't made another post since.
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Re: I think we can make a big step toward fixing everything.

Postby Homesteader » Sun 15 Jun 2008, 09:14:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('turner', 'I')'m a 'newbie' and I am unsure by what you people are trying to achieve in this forum. Some of you have clearly been around for a long time and have debated all the issues. What's left for you to discuss other than some new information that comes on line infrequently? Why wouldn't you want to educate people?

I really have to wonder whether some of the questions posed are not purposefully controversial to get a debate going. Perhaps some people have more than one log in....

I have read all the books, seen the DVDs, watched the growth lectures but I wouldn't bother posting here. It seems the agenda is a point scoring, intellectual 'bonfire of the vanities'. Sad really.


Good for you, keep posting. The ongoing debates on several of the "hot topics" should be characterized as the Galileans vs. the Geocentrists.

All great truths are first seen as great heresies.
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