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Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby hope_full » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 10:14:53

This is a serious question. I consider myself to be quite the optimist in every way and yet I hear folks on these forums using the word "doomers" to describe themselves.

I'm not a doomer. In fact, I'm one of the most optimistic people I know, but as a student of history, the most optimistic bend I can put on this Peak Oil problem is that we'll have a soft landing.

I've done a lot of reading on the topic and I don't know how any well-read, independent thinker can think that we're not going to run out of oil - at some point in the not-so-terribly distant future.

So, am I the only starry-eyed optimist here? Generally speaking, do your friends tell you you're an optimist or a pessimist? Or maybe you're an optimist on everything *but* peak oil???

HF
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby vision-master » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 10:17:38

Both - at the same time.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby kellan1776 » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 10:25:40

I am an optimist and believe in the resilancy of the planet and of human kind. However I also believe that history is cyclical, and as a result I hope not to find myself on the downward slope like many individuals have had to live through in the past 3k years.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby dunewalker » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 10:37:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hope_full', 'I')'ve done a lot of reading on the topic and I don't know how any well-read, independent thinker can think that we're not going to run out of oil - at some point in the not-so-terribly distant future.

I've done a fair amount of reading on the subject of peak oil, both here for 3 years or so and on the OilDrum, plus other literature, videos, etc. and consider myself to be somewhat of an independent thinker, yet none of this has caused me to believe that the world is going to run out of oil, neither soon, nor ever. In fact, from what I gather, most serious students of peak oil think that most of the problems will occur in the era of almost maximum production, where we are now. I'm typing this just to set the record straight, as the media constantly gets it wrong: peak oil IS NOT about running out of oil.

To answer your question, I consider myself to be, and always have, an optimist about life and its challenges. Also, a realist. On the topic of peak oil and its consequences I am optimistic that my doomerism will be vindicated. As it is now, friends and family think I'm absolutely nuts.
"Wilderness is another civilization apart from our own." - H.D. Thoreau
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Kingcoal » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 11:09:05

Will we survive? Yes. Will we have to change? Yes. Will change come easily? NO. Does that make me an optimist or doomer?

IMO, I'm an optimist because I think that we will survive. However, the realist in me understands that there will be a lot of strife. Things will get bad, very bad, before they turn around. For one, I don't see how we can maintain a population of 6.7 billion people when unemployment is the norm. The only way we can maintain this population level is with a vastly reduced standard of living. Eating a good meal everyday, staying warm and dry, will become the new standard of luxury. Employment will be a luxury also. Without the feedstock for our economy (oil), employment will become directly tied to the effort of providing necessities. I'm not say that everyone will be working in the fields producing grain, I'm just saying that your sales job at Penny's or your lawn care business or your managerial job at xyz widget company probably wont exist in the future. Shopping malls will be deserted as the consumer based economy evaporates. Consumerism will die as we know it, returning to what it once was; an activity reserved for the rich and powerful. The worldwide jobs program we currently have courtesy of cheap oil will die. There is no other outcome, IMO. Right now, millions around the world are put to work manufacturing stuff that we buy with borrowed money. That borrowed money is based on cheap oil. As oil skyrockets, that machine grinds to a halt, no matter how cheap the labor is - the raw material will simply be to expensive and precious to waste on anything else but providing necessities. The common Joe will probably be receiving government aid just to stay alive and that aid will come with a huge price in terms of personal freedom.

That's my optimistic assessment.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby grampybone » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 11:14:19

Things that I have control over makes me optimistic in the outcome.

Things like peakoil, and the stupidity of alot of Americans, lead me to be pessimistic. We are doomed.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby dinopello » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 11:15:51

I'm an optimist, but I'm not an idiot.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby hope_full » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 11:19:38

I phrased my statement poorly. Let me try that again. I agree that running OUT of oil is not the biggest problem in our immediate future. but I believe that the ever-increasing cost of oil is going to wreak havoc with our "house of cards" American economy.

However, the primary question on this post is, do you - generally - consider yourself to be an optimist or a pessimist? Because this board seems like a curious place for an optimist (is the oil tank half full or half empty??), yet here I am, reading everything I can get my eyeballs on and trying to figure out how to prepare for whatever lies ahead. That doesn't sound like optimistic behavior!

HF
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Aaron » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 11:23:51

The center cannot hold.

Things fall apart.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Ludi » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 14:30:46

I'm a happy doomer! :)
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby taizy8 » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 14:46:49

I can be both.....

to be productive I need optimism and hope .... so I try to keep pessimism in control .....being aware and knowledgeable without freaking out too much.
Last edited by taizy8 on Tue 03 Jun 2008, 19:53:10, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby mos6507 » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 16:09:59

I think living with the knowledge of peakoil (or environmental collapse on top) is kind of like knowing you have cancer. There is always a chance you can beat it, but the odds are heavily stacked against you. Meanwhile, you have to make the most of the time you have left before the symptoms start to kick in. So a certain amount of active denial is necessary just to keep functioning.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby AnIowan » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 17:15:06

Between Mos and Dinopello, that about sums it up for me.

I know things will happen, bad things, things I really have not want to imagine, but have to because I need those images to stay focused on what needs to happen.

However, I have a beautiful wife, two incredible daughters, and cannot get need to be the best husband/father I can for them. Part of that, is working on helping all of them understand what will be happening, and how we as a family can plan for it together.

My daughters will help with the gardens, with picking veggies, chores with animals. Wife and I will work together to build some movable chicken coops, fencing in various parts of our land, and keeping ourselves grounded.

I'm pessimistic as to where humans will eventually land, however, I'm optimistic (as one can be I guess) on how preps will make my family better over all.

We all die, but it's how we've lived that makes all the difference.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Daniel_Plainview » Tue 03 Jun 2008, 17:54:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hope_full', 'H')owever, the primary question on this post is, do you - generally - consider yourself to be an optimist or a pessimist? Because this board seems like a curious place for an optimist (is the oil tank half full or half empty??), yet here I am, reading everything I can get my eyeballs on and trying to figure out how to prepare for whatever lies ahead. That doesn't sound like optimistic behavior!
HF

I'm an optimist, and a realist.
Realistically, it's far too late to save the global economy from utter collapse.
Realistically, we can't change human nature, and, apparently, it's our very nature to maximize short-term gratification at the expense of long-term survival. Thus, we'll deplete our precious oil supplies as we turn our atmosphere into a furnace.

Realistically, scientists have been trying to find a substitute for oil since the 1970's, and as time runs out, what began as a bleak picture has turned into a nightmare of doom.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Golgo13 » Mon 09 Jun 2008, 07:57:44

I think that billions of people will have to pursue alternative options as costs of living become physically/economically impossible and the earth will return to a sustable carrying capacity for humans.

Is that optimistic or pessimistic?
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Hagakure_Leofman » Mon 09 Jun 2008, 09:41:16

I'm optimistic that 'consumerism' is over. Pessimistic that I'll see the dust completely settle on the other side of collapse.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby Lumpy » Mon 09 Jun 2008, 09:54:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hope_full', 'T')his is a serious question. I consider myself to be quite the optimist in every way and yet I hear folks on these forums using the word "doomers" to describe themselves.

I'm not a doomer. In fact, I'm one of the most optimistic people I know, but as a student of history, the most optimistic bend I can put on this Peak Oil problem is that we'll have a soft landing.

I've done a lot of reading on the topic and I don't know how any well-read, independent thinker can think that we're not going to run out of oil - at some point in the not-so-terribly distant future.

So, am I the only starry-eyed optimist here? Generally speaking, do your friends tell you you're an optimist or a pessimist? Or maybe you're an optimist on everything *but* peak oil???

HF


Hi, HF -
As you can see from the date by my name, I haven't been on the PO boards very long compared to many people here. One of the first things I posted was about the long running "nun study" (you can google search that from the column on the left and come up with my post) which concludes that people with positive outlooks live longer.

Boy did I get zinged big time on that thread!

No matter, I still believe that looking at things from a positive point of view (not ostrich head in the sand, though) is the most productive approach.

Having said that, it took me a while to realize that I am, in fact, a doomer. Being a doomer does not mean that one is negative (necessarily). It means that I believe that, because of peak oil and its fall out -- rising food costs, etc -- we are, in fact, "doomed" to the future that is coming at us like a speeding freight train.

In spite of the fact that I believe that the end of the world as we know it (TEOWAWKI) is on its way -- sooner than most people on these boards think -- I see it as a positive thing.

Yes, many will suffer and many will die. I am not rejoicing in that. But I am rejoicing in the fact that we are being given no choice but to re-learn hard work, the value of taking care of and working the soil, the coming together of "clans" (whether that be blood families, or by some other definition) to the mutual support of all in the clan/tribe. I am rejoicing that we are having to go back to a time in which our little childrens' self-esteem was not a question that we grappled with -- because, being integral to the work of keeping the family going (by collecting the eggs, etc), they automatically recognized their worth.

I could go on for a long time here ... but bottom line. I am an optimist who is also a doomer. I hope this makes some sense to you. If not -- please let me know, and I will try to explain more clearly.

Glad you have joined us here. :-)

Lumpy
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby vision-master » Mon 09 Jun 2008, 10:36:01

Tell that to the single Mom just maken ends meet right now. What in God's Earth do they have to be optimistic about? For those with "means" being optimist is a heck of a lot easier, huh.
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby biofuel13 » Mon 09 Jun 2008, 10:36:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'m a happy doomer! :)


+1
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Re: Are you an optimist or a pessimist?

Postby MD » Mon 09 Jun 2008, 10:43:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('biofuel13', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'m a happy doomer! :)


+1


See my sig 8)
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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