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Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Tue 27 May 2008, 21:32:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '-')- The oil industry is vastly over-compensated for its work
-- The nation can't afford to leave this immense amount of power in the hands of a few corporate chieftains
-- The stakes are too high to trust "the invisible hand" of free enterprise for a solutoin
-- The outflow of money from the U.S. to foreign countries is bankrupting the treasury and the economy
-- Our basic national security demands it


Actually the return on capital employed in the oil industry is much lower than most industries. For all that profit they turn they are expending vast amounts of dollars which create the trickle down economy. You also have to understand that most of the profit from gasoline sold at the pumps goes to gov't coffers through taxes, the oil companies get quite a small percentage.

What immense amount of power? The oil companies (with the exception of the few private ones like Koch) are owned by their shareholders. The Board members have a fiduciary duty to uphold shareholder value. The CEO of a company can't say "lets do such and such" without understanding the consequences of his actions are the Board could can him because his actions weren't in the best interest of the shareholders. A good example of this was when Boone Pickens made his run on Gulf Corporation back in the eighties. His claim as a major shareholder was that the Gulf Corp execs were paying themselves exhorbitant salaries but returning virtually no capital to the shareholder....eventual result Gulf Corp was sold to Chevron. The most power execs have these days is to pick what sandwich they want for lunch..

The "invisible hand"? I think the methods of free enterprise especially as they apply to oil and gas are very transparent, moreso than most industries. The SEC regulations around reporting are quite strict, more and more companies are now reporting "voluntary principles" (where their money is spent, what dealings with gov'ts they have etc.), oversight from gov't environmental bodies is quite large in most countries (look at the Norway example) and then there is the high level of scrutiny from the NGO's. On the other hand the gov't can decide what or even if it reports anything. There is really no true independent audit process that would apply to the gov't

The outflow of money from the US is bankrupting the country? What have you been smoking? These companies may spend dollars in E&P in other countries but that creates capital in corporate headquarters which pays taxes and salaries. Those salaries in turn pay the wages of service industry and those taxes help the gov't to have more money to spend on stupid things. You could argue that a company will deploy it's capital where it makes the best economic sense, a gov't restricted to working within its own boundaries will not do so and the potential for waste is tremendous.

National security....the trump card, brought out at any point in the US when you want your own way. For crist sakes you don't export oil and gas you import it. So if you exclude the very few companies that aren't US based out of the industry what do you think the retaliation will be like? If you made a law that said no Canadian company can operate on US soil how long do you think it would be before NAFTA was appealed?
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby tribalzendancer » Wed 28 May 2008, 10:22:21

It seems like nationalizing the oil industry would be a poor utilization of time and energy.

Oil is on the way out anyway. We don't need to be continuing to pump oil out of the ground, as this only exacerbates the climate change problem.

Advocating a nationalized solar-energy project, or CSP that's heavily subsidized by the public, to the point that energy becomes free, would on the other hand, seem like a wise investment in energy and focus.
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Economix » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:26:32

A brief note to RocDoc:

The debating points you so eagerly attack were preceded by a small phrase: "Supporters might say..." You omitted that portion of the text for some reason.

Again, these are not my positions. Rather, they are an invitation to a discussion. So I don't particularly appreciate your comments such as "what are you smoking..." Let's try to be honest here.

Also, as a Christian, I find the "crist sake" stuff to be really offensive. Let's focus on the topic at hand instead of name calling, if possible.

As Winston Churchill said: "Rather than raising your voice, why don't you reinforce your argument."

--------------------

My follow-up point in raising the question about nationalization is this (expressed differently above):

Do we need to nationalize the oil and gas industry in order to finance a large scale transition to new forms of energy?

I'd say the following in response to your comments:

1. If oil is peaking and on the way out, why do we need to provide massive incentives for private oil companies to find more of it? Isn't that circular logic? (There's no more, so we need to pay people to find more because there's no more.)

2. Is there some middle way between nationalization and private enterprise that would provide a source of funds for the multi-decade energy transition that is needed (e.g., a windfall profits tax on any funds not reinvested in exploration or refining, minus a reasonable rate of return for shareholders)?

3. Throughout U.S. history, true national emergencies almost always trump shareholder rights, whether it be specific government intervention on the supply side (WW II) or specific government intervention on the price side (e.g., Lincoln, Wilson, Roosevelt, Eisenhower, JFK and Nixon). Shareholder rights are ultimately at the mercy of the political system and greater historical context -- like it or not. Maybe that's good, maybe it's bad.

4. The proposal on the table mentions that shareholders would receive fair value for their investment. This is not an idea that would require a value grab by the government.

5. In terms of compensation, when the last CEO / Chairman of ExxonMobil retired, he received cash, stock and related benefits in the amount of about $400 million. For one person. I'd say that's pretty obscene and excessive by almost any reasonable measure. Maybe not by purist libertarian standards, but I'd guess that the vast majority of Americans would call it excessive.

So, again, is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry? If not, how would we pay for a massive project to transition our society away from fossil fuels?
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Specop_007 » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:42:42

Throughout history social systems, or socialized nations, have not kept up with capitalistic nations as a whole. There are of course exceptions though. As a whole when a system is in place that does not offer tiered compensation based upon your assumed level of skill you have a general slide to the bottom. Why should I work to become one of the best in my field if I get paid as the most imcompetent in my field?

Simply put, money is a powerful motivator. Generally nationalization of something removes the one true reason an individual has for working hard.

Whether this is good or bad is up to the individual to decide.
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby BigTex » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:43:46

A brief note about Rockdoc to new folks:

Rockdoc doesn't post here as often as we would like, but he is an amazing resource when it comes to the nuts and bolts of the energy industry.

For those who would like to learn a lot about the energy business, read his old posts. It's good stuff.

Economix, you may want to swap out your thin skin for one of the newer models in the medium to thick range. They are better suited to this climate as well.
:)
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby jlw61 » Wed 28 May 2008, 14:09:02

From time to time I like to take the opposite side just to see if I can create a decent argument. As a Libertarian I oppose any form of government nationalization, but as an exercise I'll take a stab at it. So without getting verbose, I submit for your approval the following reasons as to why the government should do this.

[/gag reflex]

Reasons to Nationalize the Energy Industry

How:
  • Using an eminent domain like justification and paying fair market value at time of take-over over a set period as listed in a previous post. This would be the most logical method.
Why:
  • Unify all sectors (Oil, gas, electric, nuclear) into one entity to eliminate redundancy in the industries.
  • Provide for better cooperation in exploration and recovery.
  • It will streamline the building of new facilities and infrastructure.
  • It will eliminate the need for state oversight.
  • It will eliminate "Enron" type scams and profit motives providing for a fairer and more unified cost to customers in all 50 states.
  • Provide a funding mechanism (increased taxes from sale of fuel replacing current profit margin) that would provide funding to revitalize infrastructures.
  • Cost of all energy would reflect true funding requirements and help eliminate hidden costs.
  • Carbon taxes could be quite easily calculated into the price.
  • Easier to insulate industry from lawsuits.
  • Easier to maintain oversight for pollution and standards.
  • Provide a direct avenue for the people to make decisions via the vote.
  • Provide a better face to the industry by eliminating the idea of "robber barons" and "evil corporations".
  • Provide for a better response to national needs in time of crisis.
  • Would provide more options to force states to impliment unfunded mandates.
  • Provide better energy security.
  • Because it needs to be done to guarantee the american lifestyle for future generations.
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby BigTex » Wed 28 May 2008, 14:31:36

jlw61, I enjoy doing the same thing--i.e., arguing both sides as best I can to understand the whole issue better.

There are undoubtedly some good national oil companies around the world. I am no expert, but Saudi Aramco seems to do a pretty good job of getting the oil to the surface.

The problem, to me, is not whether a government CAN run an oil company (though some probably do it better than others), but whether a government running an oil company is the BEST arrangement.

To me, the U.S. sort of has the best of both worlds. By having publicly traded companies make up most of the U.S. energy industry, any member of the public who would like to have a share of the earnings and profits of this industry may do so by purchasing the stock or bonds of these companies.

The government also participates in the industry through extensive regulation and oversight and by the confiscation of a portion of the companies' profits in the form of taxes.

So I think we may be a bit closer to collective ownership and control of the U.S. energy industry than it may at first appear.
:)
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Nickel » Wed 28 May 2008, 14:41:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Economix', '2'). Is there some middle way between nationalization and private enterprise that would provide a source of funds for the multi-decade energy transition that is needed (e.g., a windfall profits tax on any funds not reinvested in exploration or refining, minus a reasonable rate of return for shareholders)?


This is a good idea, based on the way things really run. That said, I'd like to point out that the problem in current system is the shareholder. If we could remove them from the equation, the process becomes less expensive because it removes an unnecessarily parasitic element from the mix. Let's face it, these days, there's no need to turn to private funds to produce energy, as if it were iPods or Nike sneakers. We NEED it. It could and should be largely a government enterprise.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Economix', '3'). Throughout U.S. history, true national emergencies almost always trump shareholder rights, whether it be specific government intervention on the supply side (WW II) or specific government intervention on the price side (e.g., Lincoln, Wilson, Roosevelt, Eisenhower, JFK and Nixon). Shareholder rights are ultimately at the mercy of the political system and greater historical context -- like it or not.


Strongly agree with this sentiment. It's very much in keeping with my point above.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Economix', '4'). The proposal on the table mentions that shareholders would receive fair value for their investment. This is not an idea that would require a value grab by the government.


The issue here is: define "fair". As the taxpayer, my definition is probably going to vary wildly from that of the aforementioned shareholders. Personally, I don't see why a society should agree to be held hostage to or pay a premium upon private money backing private interests, particularly when they're to the detriment of wider society. You paid ten bucks? Here's your ten bucks. Invest it somewhere else.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Economix', 'S')o, again, is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry? If not, how would we pay for a massive project to transition our society away from fossil fuels?


I think so, and especially when you frame it as you have in that last sentence. A measure to manage a transition that, left willy-nilly, could be disastrous.
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby BigTex » Wed 28 May 2008, 14:51:10

Can anyone point to a recent example where a country's energy industry was nationalized in which private property owners were fairly compensated and production increased following the takeover?

I assume that taxes in such a country would be cut following the nationalization, since the government coffers would now be the respository for the energy industry's profits.

I can't think of any. I'm sure there must be a few examples.

How about Venezuela? How has it gone down there?

What about the production and exploration currently done by the U.S. energy industry outside the U.S. borders? Would that be nationalized as well? On what basis?

That's private property that may be subject to the laws of another jurisdiction in which U.S. seizure laws are inapplicable. Would the U.S. maybe just threaten to attack that country unless it permitted the U.S. to seize those assets as well?
:)
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Nickel » Wed 28 May 2008, 14:55:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', 'S')imply put, money is a powerful motivator.


You can take it too far, though. The increasing hyper-affluence of a handful of people in Western civilization at the expense of billions who do the work and produce the labour, energy, and goods -- largely only because they had some extra money to begin with -- is plutocratic and as harmful to democracy as any other extreme, such as the blinkered micro-(mis)management of most of the East Bloc economies, notably that of the Soviet Union.

But speaking of the Soviet Union, let's remember that money is hardly the only motivation. It's them who really did the gruntwork of defeating Germany... we showed up at the end like Brutus stabbing Caesar the last time. The Soviets put the first satellite in orbit, the first animal in space, the first person in space, the first person in orbit, the first woman in space, the first multiple-man crew in space, sent the first probe to the moon, the first probe to another planet... about the only brass ring they didn't get was the moon landing. If their system had been more moderate, who knows how far it would have gone? Looks to me like Putin and Medvedev are going to show us. After all, they've nationalized their energy industry, and they're do a lot better economically than the United States is right now.
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Economix » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:25:04

I like the way this discussion is going, in terms of depth and honesty. In response to Tex, here are some thoughts:

1. There is no single "monolithic" definition of nationalization in the 21st or late 20th century. Airbus, for example, is a pretty successful consortium of European aerospace firms that combines aspects of private industry with government ownership. Is it nationalized or not? That depends on your definition. Same goes for British Telecom and Rukoil and Deutche Telecom. This model emphasizes private business management with a large government ownership stake.


2. Aramco is the result of a quasi-nationalization process that falls into this basket.

3. The old 1950-1979 type of nationalization is less and less common. Countries really want the benefit of foreign expertise along with a bigger share of the revenue stream. That means pursuing a new hybrid model of ownership and management.

4. Hugo Chavez is attempting to nationalize what's left of foreign-owned oil fields, but it's mired in a huge court case. I think Chavez realizes that his heavy crude is not refinable in most locations, so he's reluctant to cut off the U.S. cold turkey.

5. The Chilean takeover of its copper mining industry was pretty darn successful over time, in terms of money and jobs.

My point isn't to blast capitalism, which I believe in, but rather to suggest that we are facing a true national (international?) emergency. To get through this storm, we're going to need a massive investment in economically feasible alternatives to petroleum. That will take money, talent and a type of national leadership that isn't available in the current corporate-run approach to energy management in the U.S. today.

I think today's ExxonMobile shareholder meeting (read the news postings) demonstrates that certain corporate boards and executives are incredibly narrow-minded about the dangers we now face -- and how to address them.

When they say: "It's our job to ensure the energy supply," I think they're really saying "We've got a good thing going for us and our shareholders, so please butt out."

No corporation that I've worked for every pretended to be a public service agency. Self-interest is a powerful motivator, but not always enough to change systemic problems or overcome massive structural obstacles.

In all of this debate, I find it useful to refer to economic history instead of just economic theory or partisan ideology.

For a good example, I'd suggest reading "The Great Transformation" by Karl Polanyi. It's available in paperback. One of the topics he addresses is the collapse of the 19th century liberal economic model from 1917-1945, which was replaced by a new model of economic integration.

We may be headed for another "Great Transformation" right now that would replace the current economic model.

Earlier this year, I visited Haiti. If you want a pure vision what happens when society, economy, environment, agriculture and government collapse, just take a trip to Port au Prince -- or the countryside of Haiti. It's a vision of political hell on Earth. Here's hoping we never get that far down the sink as we try to find new sources of energy.
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby BigTex » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:36:11

Economix, great post. Thanks.
:)
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby vision-master » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:44:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'E')conomix, great post. Thanks.

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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:45:56

You use Aramco as an example of successful nationalization?

Good grief...
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Economix » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:51:39

Tyler,

Saudi Aramco may not be a good example of nationalization from the standpoint of the U.S., but it's certainly been successful in terms of its basic business metrics:

-- It's the largest oil corporation in the world and the world's largest in terms of proven crude oil reserves and production

-- It operates the world's largest single hydrocarbon network, the Master Gas System.

-- It produces about 3.4 billion barrels of crude per year and manages over 100 oil and gas fields in Saudi Arabia alone

-- Aramco even has it's own financial system and fleet of ships

I'd say that's at least "moderately" successful, wouldn't you? If not, why not? (From the perspective of the Saudi government...)
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby vision-master » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:52:42

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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby Denny » Wed 28 May 2008, 19:22:40

The U.S. government did nto nationalize the auto industry, it just limted them from the use of strategic materials required for the war effort top product consumer goods, whcih in turn forced them into bidding on defense work.

But, they were stil ownwed by their stock holders.

I think some model like that oculd be employed again, just think national emergency requring a massive rail and mass transit network to be built.

If you take the profit motive our of the economy, you'll end up like Russia of old. As one worker said under the Soviet regime: "They just pretend to pay us....but we get back at them...we just pretend to work!"
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Re: Is it time to nationalize the U.S. oil and gas industry?

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Thu 29 May 2008, 00:47:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f oil is peaking and on the way out, why do we need to provide massive incentives for private oil companies to find more of it? Isn't that circular logic? (There's no more, so we need to pay people to find more because there's no more.)


Hardly circular logic. Costs have gone up immensely. The amount of exploration has dropped off substantially over the past 10 years. It makes more sense for oil companies to buy reserves from other companies that are distressed for one reason or another than explore for it. The incentives are necessary to stimulate exploration in the country so that reserves are added. If I am oil company X I will spend my money where I see the greatest return on my investment, if I can do that in Trinidad or Brazil and I can’t in the Continental US I will do so. This is exactly why the North Sea saw a double peak…the taxes on oil companies were lowered, exploration increased and additional oil was found.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s there some middle way between nationalization and private enterprise that would provide a source of funds for the multi-decade energy transition that is needed (e.g., a windfall profits tax on any funds not reinvested in exploration or refining, minus a reasonable rate of return for shareholders)?


Absolutely not, simply because private enterprise has a reason to be efficient. Government run organizations do not. If you put any additional windfall profits tax on oil and gas companies they will take their capital elsewhere. You get the nationalization, everyone leaves ….now where would you come up with the capital to spend on oil and gas investment. The bulk of capital coming out of oil and gas gets reinvested to sustain itself…so where is the gov’t going to come up with money to fund this grand energy change scheme, pay for infrastructure, military etc. ?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hroughout U.S. history, true national emergencies almost always trump shareholder rights, whether it be specific government intervention on the supply side (WW II) or specific government intervention on the price side (e.g., Lincoln, Wilson, Roosevelt, Eisenhower, JFK and Nixon). Shareholder rights are ultimately at the mercy of the political system and greater historical context -- like it or not. Maybe that's good, maybe it's bad.


That’s complete and utter Leninist nonsense. If you want to live in this sort of system I suggest you move to the old Russia where capitalism wasn’t tolerated. You’ll have a truly amazing country, all the capitalists leave and go somewhere where they can make a buck and the country is left with big corrupt government and idiots…..not that there is much difference.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he proposal on the table mentions that shareholders would receive fair value for their investment. This is not an idea that would require a value grab by the government.


if you paid market fair value for gas companies in the US right now you would have spent more than they are worth. Market value is determined by shareprice and competition in the A&D environment which is almost always a 30% uplift on current share price when an acquisition happens. An analysis I saw just last week illustrated that the main shale gas players in the US already have a 40% uplift on their NAV because of the markets view of upside. So basically you would have the gov’t pay for the upside without any gurantee, pay an additional 30% because that’s what the shareholders would recognize as fair market compensation. Anything less is expropriation. So this makes economic sense somehow? Again where is this wild profit the gov't would suddenly have for investment in an energy change scheme?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n terms of compensation, when the last CEO / Chairman of ExxonMobil retired, he received cash, stock and related benefits in the amount of about $400 million. For one person. I'd say that's pretty obscene and excessive by almost any reasonable measure. Maybe not by purist libertarian standards, but I'd guess that the vast majority of Americans would call it excessive.

A man with one pair of trousers to his name would call the man who owns 3 suits excessive as well. I’ve posted here back when this was news the fact that during his term the CEO of Exxon added hundreds of billions of dollars of market cap to Exxon. As I remember it the calculation had him being compensated a couple of percent of this added value. The shareholders who walked away with massive profits see this as pretty fair compensation. The deal he had was struck for stock option grants, agreed to by the board, voted on by the shareholders at that time. I suspect there are a lot of people who think what I am compensated is obscene as well....they however can't do my job, when they can and are willing to do it for less it is fair comment, otherwise simple whining.

As to you being a Christian and me using the phrase “crist sakes” , grow up…..I couldn’t care less if you worshipped blow up dolls that looked like Ivana Trump, or bundles of sticks wrapped in cellophane, I’ll use the more than tame expletives which I often use whenever I feel necessary. If your sensitivities are somehow hurt by this I doubt very much you will be on this particular board for long cause, as a famous now overweight band once said...."Bububabeee you ain't seen nothing yet".
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