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PeakOil is You

100 years from now

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

100 years from now

Unread postby yeahbut » Mon 26 May 2008, 22:50:33

Things have been getting bit real out there lately. I need a little break- anyone else?

Arthur C Clarke, Isaac Asimov, Robert Heinlein, Philip K Dick and other classic sf writers have a lot to answer for, when it comes to where my mind wanders during idle moments. I read those guys all the time as a teenager, and I loved the ideas they came up with for where our species might be heading. They ranged from the extremely far-out and mad, to the (at least at the time of writing) quite plausible. As a consequence, I often find myself idly imagining what kind of world our descendants will find themselves in. Obviously I'm not alone in this, PO.com is full of people who think about just that. However, I guess most of us are thinking about the next 10-50 years. What about 100 years out from now? Many of the hypothetical scenarios discussed here will have been decided conclusively, one way or the other.

So where do you see things going?

AGW has heated the planet to a sticky malaria ridden swamp; the ocean conveyer belt faltered and plunged the earth into another ice age; AGW was arrested in time, ushering in a golden age of universal peace/sinister fascist world govt; AGW was actually a red herring devised by reptilian shapeshifters to distract humanity from their plot to take over the world via the U.N...

Did humanity recognise the problem of peak oil in time and 'power down'? Technology rescued us? Nanotech turned the world into gray goo? A collapse occurred that was so large that we are now hunter gatherers once more/disease ridden gimps sifting thru the detritus of the age of plenty/small groups of enlightened farmers who walk lightly on the earth?

Genetic engineering created a) a class of 'homo sapiens superiour' who have enslaved the masses b) oil cows that are milked for sweet light crude c) a zombie superbug a la "28 days later"...

Mass extinction caused by humans has reduced the biosphere to six species: Grass, corn, tuna, cows, humans and cane toads.

Jack, his life unnaturally extended by milking the bile ducts of third world children, is now the undisputed but benevolent(mostly) all powerful ruler of earth...etc etc.I've got a ton of em- how about you? The more detail the better.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby Jack » Mon 26 May 2008, 22:59:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yeahbut', '
')Jack, his life unnaturally extended by milking the bile ducts of third world children, is now the undisputed but benevolent(mostly) all powerful ruler of earth...etc etc.I've got a ton of em- how about you? The more detail the better.


(Chuckle) I like that. Let me see if I can find one of my scenarios...

8)
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby Novus » Mon 26 May 2008, 23:16:03

In 100 years the human race might be extinct along with 90% of the life on earth. Not worth thinking about when most of the hard science on the subject does not even include resource depletion in their models.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby Pops » Mon 26 May 2008, 23:28:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yeahbut', 'S')o where do you see things going?

I hope it is :
Thanks Pops.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby RedStateGreen » Tue 27 May 2008, 00:17:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yeahbut', '
')Arthur C Clarke, Isaac Asimov, Robert Heinlein, Philip K Dick and other classic sf writers have a lot to answer for

I just read The Parable of the Sower by Octavia Butler. Scary how accurate her predictions are becoming.

Anyways, I think that in 100 years we will back to hunter/gatherer with small villages. Kind of like the native peoples.

The advantage we will hopefully have is keeping track of the knowledge advances we've made: printing, sanitation, etc.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('efarmer', '&')quot;Taste the sizzling fury of fajita skillet death you marauding zombie goon!"

First thing to ask: Cui bono?
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby Ainan » Tue 27 May 2008, 19:56:19

Ever seen the British made for TV film, Threads? That.

Although I'd prefer no humans survived, but thats perhaps too unrealistic.
April 2008 Global Population: 6.8 billion
April 2010 Global Population: 7 billion
April 2012 Global Population: 7.2 billion
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby cowuvula » Wed 28 May 2008, 04:52:58

Threads scenario in 3 weeks,
5 years some survivers in deep bunkers running low on diesel.

several episodes of mutiny and a few survivors.

10 years, last humans die of cancer.

no life on planet earth except vegetation in 12 years.

in 100 years very little left recognizable of cities, large vast filde of green and trees sprouting, forests and glens but no animal life no bees no fruits and no vegetables, just deciduaous and evergreen that dont need polination .

900 years, planet looks like a large garden. no life. no insects.
the ozone depletion completed with nukular war sterilized the planet of insects.
Be ready...
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby yeahbut » Wed 28 May 2008, 07:11:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yeahbut', 'T')hings have been getting bit real out there lately. I need a little break- anyone else?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cowuvula', '1')0 years, last humans die of cancer.


Ah- kicking back, PO.com style :lol: :lol:
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby 3aidlillahi » Wed 28 May 2008, 07:43:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', 'I')n 100 years the human race might be extinct along with 90% of the life on earth. Not worth thinking about when most of the hard science on the subject does not even include resource depletion in their models.


Is that 90% starting from today? Or from the emergence of the industrial revolution? I thought we've already killed off a large percentage (10-20%) of all species since the 1800's or so, no?
Riches are not from abundance of worldly goods, but from a contented mind.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby FreddyH » Sat 31 May 2008, 00:40:55

The population will be just under 9-Billion ... and dropping. Annual net additions peaked in 1989 (78-million) and will attain zero growth in 2080 (according to most international pop'n models).

co2 atmospheic concentration will be 340-ppm after peaking at 408-ppm in 2025 (according to my analysis of gross fossil fuel contributions to co2 emissions). Temp shoud have stabilized at 2C above 1880.

38-mbd - All Liquids production (TrendLines 24-model Avg)

32-mbd - All Liquids production (My Scenario-2300 model)
0.4-mbd - Regular Conventional Oil (S-2300)
www.TrendLines.ca/scenarios.htm Home of the Real Peak Date ... set by geologists (not pundits)
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby auscanman » Sat 31 May 2008, 00:46:09

I'm not sure what will and won't be alive 100 years from now, but one species I'm certain will survive no matter what happens is the cockroach.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby SpringCreekFarm » Sat 31 May 2008, 01:35:34

I could rhyme off a dozen scenarios but I'm just grateful I won't be there.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby Roy » Sat 31 May 2008, 09:45:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') hope it is :
Thanks Pops.



Sometimes, less really is more. That just about says it all!

Nice post.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby evilgenius » Sat 31 May 2008, 12:21:16

I think in a hundred years man will have discovered how to live far longer, bordering on forever. Man's greatest goal will be to see if we can find out how to get a trace or a lock, if you will, on particle emissions from the past so that we can bring our dead back to life and explore the universe with them. Jesus, this is an optimistic prediction coming from a doomer, but I still believe.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby municipal » Mon 02 Jun 2008, 04:04:50

In a hundred years, the bigger granite tombstones that were made will still exist. Everything else will look like wilderness.
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby Peakjelly » Mon 02 Jun 2008, 11:37:18

Whole eco-systems will have collapsed. War, Famine, Disease, Extinctions and a myriad of unintended consequences due to the human assault on the biosphere.

But that may be a little to hopeful. I sometimes forget that we may be due for a comet/asteroid impact.
"Eggs cannot be unscrambled." ~American Proverb
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Re: 100 years from now

Unread postby vetusfirma » Mon 02 Jun 2008, 12:54:23

It just seem so sad that many of the posters here hint that they 'want' mankind to be wiped out. It makes me think many have such low esteem that they must believe that mankind is totally bad, especially since they are such poor examples themselves. Pointless lives, that have no reason to continue equals pointless humanity, that has no reason to continue.

Well, don't worry, your time will pass, and the pain that is your life will end.
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