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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Shadow Government Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby sjn » Mon 26 May 2008, 12:59:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', ' ') It is certainly true people and groups conspire to shape world affairs, but nobody is in control. Rarely do things go as planned, you give them far too much credit.

Actually your view is overly simple. There are only a few ruling families, in the world, relatively speaking. Their spheres of influence, commercial ventures, and social networks overlap, at times and converge at other times --and compete, less often.
There are occasions when the majority of these groups and people you allude to, cooperate. It's like crime families. That is pretty much all you have to know. The old money elite operate like the Gambinos. The new elite are basically organized thugs with MBA's. Think a young guy making over a billion bucks a year as a hedge fun operator is on the straight and narrow? Anyone who dismisses the comparisons between the ruling class and rival crime families, and how they operate, simply misses the point and will always struggle to develop a proper model of social/economic reality.
I'm not disputing any of that. It's just human nature to believe that we (or any other actor - god? :roll: ) can have control over anything. It simply isn't true, although it can appear that way for a while. The more power you have, the more you can delude others and yourself.
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 26 May 2008, 14:10:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AlCzervik', 'T')he funny thing is, the foremost author on Bilderberg (Daniel Estulin) believes in peak oil and reports that at a recent meeting, Bilderbergers are trying to figure out how to deal with it.

They've worked for a long time to pin us in a corner with regards to oil and and energy independance. There always are tactical matters to address but the overall strategic vision has been around for a long time. For them it's all about increasing power, control and dependance. Enron was a small scale test version of their solution to peak oil. Basically they will cause peak oil to happen prematurely through manipulation of the markets. This way they can control the demand destruction and other aspects of peak oil before mother nature does...all while profiting off of it at the same time.
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby threadbear » Mon 26 May 2008, 14:37:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AlCzervik', 'T')he funny thing is, the foremost author on Bilderberg (Daniel Estulin) believes in peak oil and reports that at a recent meeting, Bilderbergers are trying to figure out how to deal with it.

They've worked for a long time to pin us in a corner with regards to oil and and energy independance. There always are tactical matters to address but the overall strategic vision has been around for a long time. For them it's all about increasing power, control and dependance. Enron was a small scale test version of their solution to peak oil. Basically they will cause peak oil to happen prematurely through manipulation of the markets. This way they can control the demand destruction and other aspects of peak oil before mother nature does...all while profiting off of it at the same time.

I think in this case, core elements are part of a pre-planned conspiracy between just a few players. Organized opportunism of hedge fund operators, pension funds, etc...help buttress the core plan. Enron provides a perfect example of how it works. The key here is the financial institutions are making money coming and going with their energy trading. As well as playing the OTC futures markets, like Goldman Sachs (they predicted 200.00 oil, and most people didn't bat an eye at the clear conflict of interest) they receive a lot of money from Saudi oil producers, that they depend on, in part, to keep them solvent after the sub-prime mess.

So, Enron was child's play compared to the growing dependance of pension funds, banks, private equity, on the energy sector, but it provides a really good model for understanding the essential piracy of the oil sector by outside interests.
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 26 May 2008, 16:06:39

It doesn't take a shadow government or a vast secret conspiracy to create a price bubble. All it takes is a bunch of investors speculating that something that has been going up in price will continue to go up in price. Look at the housing bubble. George Soros just said he thinks the current high oil price is a bubble, and predicted oil prices when drop as the US and UK go into recession.

George Soros think the current high oil prices are a bubble caused by speculators Most pricing models for the post-peak oil world show oil going through a series of price spikes and collapses, with the overall trend going ever higher. This could well be the first such price spike. :)
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby mercurygirl » Mon 26 May 2008, 16:25:27

It appears that "tin" may be the latest nickname in a long series used by just one poster. Just a guess.
Interesting news, though: South American Union
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby threadbear » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:11:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I')t doesn't take a shadow government or a vast secret conspiracy to create a price bubble. All it takes is a bunch of investors speculating that something that has been going up in price will continue to go up in price. Look at the housing bubble. George Soros just said he thinks the current high oil price is a bubble, and predicted oil prices when drop as the US and UK go into recession.
George Soros think the current high oil prices are a bubble caused by speculators Most pricing models for the post-peak oil world show oil going through a series of price spikes and collapses, with the overall trend going ever higher. This could well be the first such price spike. :)

There is nothing "vast" about the true conspiratorial elements. What is vast is the network of opportunists, that you describe, following the pheromone trail of money. Same as Enron. It was considered a great stock to buy into, or bet on, WHEN THE WESTERN STATES WERE EXPERIENCING WATER SHORTAGES that impacted generation of hydro electric power. That is precisely when they screwed over California, and nearly bankrupted the state. If that wasn't a conspiracy, what was? People eventually went to jail.

Now you get it? See any similarities? Shortages and manipulation and conspiratorial piracy work in tandem. One doesn't obviate the other. In order to believe your theory of the basic transparency of the oil market one would have to discredit the idea that over the counter derivatives are also transparent, which could only come about through regulation. They aren't regulated.

Also, one would have to believe that peak oil was an uncomtemplated unknown to people whose growing fortunes depend on being a lot sharper shrewder and more ruthless than you or me.
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:31:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I')t doesn't take a shadow government or a vast secret conspiracy to create a price bubble. All it takes is a bunch of investors speculating that something that has been going up in price will continue to go up in price. Look at the housing bubble. George Soros just said he thinks the current high oil price is a bubble, and predicted oil prices when drop as the US and UK go into recession.
George Soros think the current high oil prices are a bubble caused by speculators Most pricing models for the post-peak oil world show oil going through a series of price spikes and collapses, with the overall trend going ever higher. This could well be the first such price spike. :)
There is nothing "vast" about the true conspiratorial elements. What is vast is the network of opportunists, that you describe, following the pheromone trail of money. Same as Enron.

Actually no---Enron did not consist of a vast "network of opportunists." the global oil market is not the same as Enron being the middleman for electricity sales to California in 2000---there were only a dozen guys or so running the Enron electricity trading desks, and maybe several dozen electricity buyers from the California government and power companies.

The vast network of national oil companies, merchantile banks, and tens of thousands of individual speculators located across the world trading oil and other commodities now bears little resemblance to either the California government or to Enron. They even advertise oil speculation opportunities on this website and on the radio.

And, contrary to your claim, no one went to jail for Enron's power sales to California (although all the state government dopes should've been fired immediately---at least the idiot governor "Grey Davis" of California got sacked). The charges against a few of Enron's executives had to do with stock manipulation and sham corporations.
Last edited by Plantagenet on Mon 26 May 2008, 17:36:30, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:34:15

The peakoil and Enron situations are similar in that California had let their electricity infrastructure degrade to the point that they couldn't meet the demand for electricity with their own supplies and they HAD to buy electricity from other suppliers in areas as far away as Texas and Canada. Enron's traders had cornered the market on the electrical supplies, and California was more then willing willing to pay top dollar to get it, driving up electricity prices for people in California.

Who do you imagine has "cornered the market" on oil supplies today? Where are the hoarders with the extra oil supplies? :)
Last edited by Plantagenet on Mon 26 May 2008, 17:40:55, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby TWilliam » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:35:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GASMON', 'I')ncidentally, why will tin not be posting again?

Booted for thread spamming, methinks...
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby threadbear » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:40:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he peakoil and Enron situations are similar in that California had let their electricity infrastructure degrade to the point that they couldn't meet the demand for electricity with their own supplies and they HAD to buy electricity from other suppliers in areas as far away as Texas and Canada. And California was willing to pay top dollar to get it, driving up electricity prices for people in California.

Dude, people have been jailed over the California energy debacle for actively withholding generation during brownouts, not due to degraded infrastructure. What the *&^(**!! is with you? Don't you read much?
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:44:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he peakoil and Enron situations are similar in that California had let their electricity infrastructure degrade to the point that they couldn't meet the demand for electricity with their own supplies and they HAD to buy electricity from other suppliers in areas as far away as Texas and Canada. And California was willing to pay top dollar to get it, driving up electricity prices for people in California.
Dude, people have been jailed over the California energy debacle for actively withholding generation during brownouts, not due to degraded infrastructure. What the *&^(**!! is with you? Don't you read much?

Dudette, who do you imagine was jailed actively withholding generation? What the *&^(**!! is with you? Don't you read much? And are you again wearing the cute-bunny-in-drag costume you told me about as you type?
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 26 May 2008, 17:49:00

Dudette: Enron didn't generate power. No one was convicted at Enron for not generating power because Enron didn't generate power. Enron was the middleman.
There have been 3 or so convictions of Enron folks for "Wirefraud" related to the california energy dealings, but no one was convicted for not generating power. Cheers: Who's who at Enron
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby threadbear » Mon 26 May 2008, 18:03:24

S. David Freeman, who was appointed Chair of the California Power Authority in the midst of the crisis, made the following statements about Enron's involvement in testimony submitted before the Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs, Foreign Commerce and Tourism of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation on May 15, 2002:

**"There is one fundamental lesson we must learn from this experience: electricity is really different from everything else. It cannot be stored, it cannot be seen, and we cannot do without it, which makes opportunities to take advantage of a deregulated market endless. It is a public good that must be protected from private abuse. If Murphy’s Law were written for a market approach to electricity, then the law would state “any system that can be gamed, will be gamed, and at the worst possible time.” And a market approach for electricity is inherently gameable. Never again can we allow private interests to create artificial or even real shortages and to be in control." link
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby threadbear » Mon 26 May 2008, 18:09:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he peakoil and Enron situations are similar in that California had let their electricity infrastructure degrade to the point that they couldn't meet the demand for electricity with their own supplies and they HAD to buy electricity from other suppliers in areas as far away as Texas and Canada. And California was willing to pay top dollar to get it, driving up electricity prices for people in California.
Dude, people have been jailed over the California energy debacle for actively withholding generation during brownouts, not due to degraded infrastructure. What the *&^(**!! is with you? Don't you read much?
Dudette, who do you imagine was jailed actively withholding generation? What the *&^(**!! is with you? Don't you read much? And are you again wearing the cute-bunny-in-drag costume you told me about as you type?

Bullcrap: Enron--Bottlenecks.
Without the manipulation by energy companies, this bottleneck was not problematic, but the effects of the bottleneck compounded the price manipulation by hamstringing energy grid managers in their ability to transport electricity from one area to another. With a smaller pool of generators available to draw from in each area, managers were forced to work in two markets to buy energy, both of which were being manipulated by the energy companies: link
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 26 May 2008, 20:44:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')"Never again can we allow private interests to create artificial or even real shortages and to be in control."

How did private interests create energy shortages in California? And if the shortages within California were artificial, then why did California have to go hat-in-hand to Enron to try to buy more power from areas outside California? Of course it was the environmentalists and liberal democrats who controlled the state legislature that passed laws and instituted regulations that blocked all new power plants in California for 20 years.
If there hadn't been private interests willing to sell power to California in 2000, the power crisis would've been even worse then it was. :)
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 26 May 2008, 21:09:15

Makes you wonder if plantagenet is a hired disinformer doesn't it?
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby TWilliam » Mon 26 May 2008, 22:36:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'M')akes you wonder if plantagenet is a hired disinformer doesn't it?

You've been on this site longer than him MM and you're STILL wondering this?

:lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 26 May 2008, 23:01:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TWilliam', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'M')akes you wonder if plantagenet is a hired disinformer doesn't it?
You've been on this site longer than him MM and you're STILL wondering this? :lol: :lol: :lol:

Somebody has to clue in the new readers. ;)
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Re: oil prices and the shadow government the real reason

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 27 May 2008, 01:53:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '"')Never again can we allow private interests to create artificial or even real shortages and to be in control."

How do you imagine the government will prevent "real shortages" of oil as oil production drops to ever lower levels in the post peak-oil world? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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