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Today Ive about had enough!

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby PrairieMule » Sat 24 May 2008, 21:28:30

I never openly discuss peak oil or my long term plans outside my family. Around the water cooler I'll wedge myself into rousing energy conversation by asking:

"Have you heard of this Kunstler guy? I saw him on Colbert Report the other night. He said some pretty sobering things"

"Do you really think we will have the infrastructure for a 100%switch to ethanol soon?"

"You know Hybrids have been out for 10 years now and I don't see one Prius in our parking lot"

That goes down smoother than low ball of 100 proof doom. Then I'll mention peakoil.com. If anyone starts looking at me funny I'll talk about the Dallas Stars or some tripe on the cover of People Magazine. It throws them off. Now it's just reckless to tell folks I'm going to retreat to cattle ranch when TSHF.

On the flip side, I'll occasionally run into someone "tuned-in" then well talk. I am finding I can spot these folk out. Kind of like Gay-dar for Doomers.
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby Jack » Sat 24 May 2008, 21:41:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', 'I')f the do-gooders among us pull too many of them into the boat, the boat goes down, and we will die too. This is overshoot, and that means we're in a leaky little lifeboat, not on a dock on the shore of Paradise.

It's a substantial risk. Hopefully, extensive privation will eradicate the do-gooders. That is one of the reasons I'm rather eager for peak.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby patience » Sat 24 May 2008, 22:33:46

I have begun to restrict my talk about peak oil to family and close neighbors. Out here in the sticks, neighbors mean something different than they did when I lived in or near a city. Here, they are much fewer in number, and are precisely the people I will continue to deal with on a day to day basis. Therefore, I want them to be as prepared as possible for the future.

Yesterday, I broached the subject with 2 neighbors who were in the shop on business. Both were listening, but it remains to be seen how much effect it had. Not much, I think, since both are avid consumers.

One, however, is a truck driver, and sees the effects right now. He seemed to take it in as explaining what he sees going on. He has a farm background, and a frame of reference for other ways to live. He asked, "How are people going to live with fuel getting so high?" I answered, not well at all, and that I expected we would be driving a lot less, and probably getting together to share trips to town, and carpooling to work. I suggested that he put in a garden, because food was getting expensive, and due to the selloff of beef cattle last year (he hauls livestock, so he knows about that), that the price of beef and pork would go sky high this next year. Maybe he should get a freezer? He'd thought about that, so I told him of a used one I knew about for sale.

I left him with websites for LATOC, and Peakoil. We'll see. I hope for the best for him. He'll make it. His folks own 2 farms. I want my whole community to make it, but I know some will not.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby bodigami » Sun 25 May 2008, 01:10:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', '(')...) The truth is that which does not change. (...)

kind of. Reality itself is an everchanging flow of energy and mind within space through time. The sense of permanency is an illusion, like the sense of "eternal progress" that this "global" civilization believes in.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby TreebeardsUncle » Sun 25 May 2008, 02:33:58

This is a little off-topic.

Am wondering if the often-repeated statistics that if all the US cropland were used to grow biofuels then that would meet only 20 to 25% of the current demand for gasoline in the US.

Also, how viable do people think biofuel-electric hybrids would be as an alternative to gasoline or diesel powered cars.

I am hoping that the automobile-exclusive detached-single-family house model of suburbia is going down and most people won't be able to drive cars in the US.

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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby Tristan » Sun 25 May 2008, 15:07:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', '.')..In the end you only have to please yourself with your actions...just be authentic with what you do and you can be at peace with whatever the outcome is.Link

I totally agree with this statement.

I'm in my 20s and I have spoken to my friends and family about this subject. They agree with what I'm saying but they refuse to take it to heart. This is especially true for my friends who are also in their 20s. They don't want to hear about their future being bleak. But I sense that they know I'm right, especially with the recent movements in gas prices. They're having problems coming to terms.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby Ex_MislTech » Sun 25 May 2008, 17:15:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'I') never openly discuss peak oil or my long term plans outside my family. Around the water cooler I'll wedge myself into rousing energy conversation by asking:
"Have you heard of this Kunstler guy? I saw him on Colbert Report the other night. He said some pretty sobering things"
"Do you really think we will have the infrastructure for a 100%switch to ethanol soon?"
"You know Hybrids have been out for 10 years now and I don't see one Prius in our parking lot"
That goes down smoother than low ball of 100 proof doom. Then I'll mention peakoil.com. If anyone starts looking at me funny I'll talk about the Dallas Stars or some tripe on the cover of People Magazine. It throws them off. Now it's just reckless to tell folks I'm going to retreat to cattle ranch when TSHF.
On the flip side, I'll occasionally run into someone "tuned-in" then well talk. I am finding I can spot these folk out. Kind of like Gay-dar for Doomers.

I have tried talking with most of my extended family.

What a mistake.

I tried presenting evidence, strike two for most, some came around to the evidence.

I am not going to try to convince the muleheaded ones any longer, and if ppl I talk to are not willing to listen then they can go back to their "positive attitude" fixes everything lifestyle.

It is going to take real work, and massive changes to feed, house, cloth and provide medical care for all ppl once the oil becomes very scarce.

Right now it is just starting to be scarce and is not even as bad as the 73' Embargo.

No lines of cars for miles yet trying to get gas to be turned away because they are out of gas.

I have friends and family working in the oilfield now.

Some of them are being paid to research title at the courthouses on wells that are HBP "held by production"

They look for old wells that used to produce and ... I kid you not .... re-drill them deeper.

Hoping to get a little more oil.

I know how that looks to me, and am guessing most of you feel the same.

That is expensive, and they know it will be limited results, so it tells me, " It is that bad ".
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby PrairieMule » Mon 26 May 2008, 13:24:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ex_MislTech', 'I') am not going to try to convince the muleheaded ones any longer.

Hey I resemble that remark!
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby cowuvula » Wed 28 May 2008, 23:05:12

Just tell them oil will forever go higher more quickly .
If this happens I am right
If gas gets cheaper, then you are right.
Lets wait and see.

in a year they will talk again.

As for the population, higher prices will make them angry and that opens the way for political shysters promising to fine the oil companies and whatnot.

They will never know what hit them, but everyon will be ready to go to war about it, makes for bad social situation.

No fix. Just stay out of the way and be quiet. best advice I have come up with for about two years on this site now.
Be ready...
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby joeltrout » Wed 28 May 2008, 23:12:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ex_MislTech', 'I') have friends and family working in the oilfield now.
Some of them are being paid to research title at the courthouses on wells that are HBP "held by production"
They look for old wells that used to produce and ... I kid you not .... re-drill them deeper.
Hoping to get a little more oil.
I know how that looks to me, and am guessing most of you feel the same.
That is expensive, and they know it will be limited results, so it tells me, " It is that bad ".

Thats not uncommon. Some of those wells can turn out to be quite productive especially with new technology.

I know several companies that have re-entered abandoned wells and now those wells are consistently producing over 60 barrels of oil a day with almost no overhead cost and little re-working cost.

At 60 bbls/day those wells are currently making $7,800 a day and over $2.8 million a year. I specific well I know is producing over 150 bbls/day.

Not bad for a little title search, well re-completion or workover, and prayers...

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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby Pablo2079 » Thu 29 May 2008, 15:40:57

I've given up on trying to inform people. It's just too frustrating for me. I have better things to do with my time.

Soon the issue will be self-evident and no longer a debatable point (to most here, it's well past that).

Good luck with spreading the word!
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Fri 30 May 2008, 09:55:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '[')b]To summarize: we could plant the entire US cropland in corn for ethanol. No more food for anyone and that would only account for 19% of our gasoline needs. No diesel to carry the bodies.

basically, it will end up with poor people working on farms to make fuel for rich people.

why not cut out the middle process & just hire 10 people to carry you around, the way royalty are transported in the movies ?

the amount of work it takes to make 1 gallon of ethanol is huge. i guess not everybody is going to mix up small batches of ethanol in 5 gallon buckets so as to understand that part of the process.

and not everybody is up to building a distillation column (or mastering the technology of the filters) so as to understand that part of the process.

small electric vehicles & bicycles are looking better & better as a transition technology.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby IgnoranceIsBliss » Fri 30 May 2008, 10:11:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('joeltrout', 'I') agree many people are getting worried whether it is specifically peak oil or just economic problems in general.
I order some Mountain House #10 cans last week and they are on standby because so many orders are being placed and they cannot keep up with demand.
joeltrout

I also ordered some #10 cans this week.
I talked to my parents about getting some basic food and water stored at their place in FL, and their answer was "We'll talk about that later. Why don't you wait to order anything until we can all talk about it?" Umm, because there is already a backorder on most food with a nice 25 year shelf life. I'm sick of the procrastination and denial!

They seem to think that in an emergency, we should drive down to their place to ride it out. I told them that I won't even consider going down there unless they have some food and water (and we probably wouldn't be able to get enough fuel to make it anyway). Every time I mention anything about current events to my mom, she quickly changes the subject. Heck, they have their entire life savings in the local BANK. (above FDIC insurance limits of course) I've been trying for years to get them to consult a fee-based financial advisor. (and we're talking about smart, college educated people who should be able to get it together!!)

So I am just about to give up on my own family!!!! It's rough when even they won't listen to you. I will just work on my husband for now so that at least he will be with me.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby burtonridr » Fri 30 May 2008, 16:42:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('IgnoranceIsBliss', 'I') also ordered some #10 cans this week.
I talked to my parents about getting some basic food and water stored at their place in FL, and their answer was "We'll talk about that later. Why don't you wait to order anything until we can all talk about it?" Umm, because there is already a backorder on most food with a nice 25 year shelf life. I'm sick of the procrastination and denial!
They seem to think that in an emergency, we should drive down to their place to ride it out. I told them that I won't even consider going down there unless they have some food and water (and we probably wouldn't be able to get enough fuel to make it anyway). Every time I mention anything about current events to my mom, she quickly changes the subject. Heck, they have their entire life savings in the local BANK. (above FDIC insurance limits of course) I've been trying for years to get them to consult a fee-based financial advisor. (and we're talking about smart, college educated people who should be able to get it together!!)
So I am just about to give up on my own family!!!! It's rough when even they won't listen to you. I will just work on my husband for now so that at least he will be with me.

My family does the same thing....
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby Ferretlover » Fri 30 May 2008, 18:51:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pedalling_faster', 'w')hy not cut out the middle process & just hire 10 people to carry you around, the way royalty are transported in the movies?

Because good help is sooooo hard to find. :)
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby bobaloo » Sat 31 May 2008, 13:41:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's more than that, Micki. Your comparison with saving drowning people is not complete. You must also suppose that prepped people were sharing a lifeboat, which is not able to carry the weight of all the drowning people. If the do-gooders among us pull too many of them into the boat, the boat goes down, and we will die too. This is overshoot, and that means we're in a leaky little lifeboat, not on a dock on the shore of Paradise.

Another scenario is a rowboat going down a rapids, the occupant rowing like made but not making progress as the boat approaches a waterfall. He pulls in a swimmer who grabs another oar and the boat is steered to safety.

Part of the difference in viewpoint IMHO is a rural / urban perspective. As a rural person I know darned well that despite a lifetime of learning self-sufficiency skills I'll never make it on my own and I'll need friend / neighbors to make it. Urbanites have more of a tendency to see neighbors as competitors while rural people are in less competition with their neighbors and tend to see them as more of a resource.

For the last four years I and others in my community have been working at raising awareness without ever using the term "peak oil". In that time we've established a community garden program, a community composting program, a local farmers' market, a local food buying coop and host a twice a month discussion forum to address food production and relocalization. We've brought in a key player, a large farmer. This summer he's starting to transition some of his land from cash crops to food, growing 160 acres of dried beans as an experiment to see which variety works best in our soils. All of this in a large area with a total population of less than 2500 people. I see building that extended support network as every bit as important as laying in my own personal preparations. By working to see that my friends and neighbors are as prepared as possible I'm minimizing the chance that they become a threat to me in the long run or may have the opportunity to show compassion to me if something should happen. As you get older you realize how tenuous health and strength are, an accident or sudden illness can hit any of us at any time.

While I'm wandering here as the coffee soaks into me, what I'm trying to get at is the fact that in a typical urban situation those around you are usually seen as competitors and it makes little sense to show compassion or charity towards them. In a situation where there are few people, they tend to become part of your extended tribe, even if they are not particularly friends or kin, and the books of "what goes around comes around" tend to be much more closely balanced, the analysis is different.
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Re: Today Ive about had enough!

Unread postby bodigami » Sun 01 Jun 2008, 01:41:15

bobaloo, I'm with the Compassion is great... but when I think of how that Compassion can extend towards 7 000 000 000 humans my mind halts... how to explain it... having Compassion towards all Humanity is great, but that Humanity has to wake the f**k up and be willing to make some serious sacrifices in comfort and letting go those that will die of sickness! As minds everyone can be saved, as organisms not so. For me, overshoot is a fact.
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