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The two sides of the blade

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

The two sides of the blade

Unread postby PrairieMule » Thu 22 May 2008, 11:23:39

I probably just had the most serious conversation with my parents last night.

Both my father and stepmother are tuned into peak oil. I had the most doomerist conversation with both of them stating with oil rocketing upward we must prepare for a collapse. Yes I said the "C" word-collapse. I held nothing back. I talked about the most dire possibilities we discuss about here on this site. This was not a conversation you could have with a average person.

They agreed.

Not only that my parents want me to transition full time to the ranch with in the next few years.

Everyone here deals with the anxiety about relaying our deepest fears regarding the end of cheap abundant energy. We often get "Uh-huh" or "It' can't happen". To be honest, I am bit shaken to get back "We agree". It's almost like looking into a dark mirror and verbalizing you fear into an abyss. Then the mirror responds back "You are right". I mean I can talk to you folk on the net but its different when you talk about these things with the people that raised you.
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby BigTex » Thu 22 May 2008, 11:31:41

World events are shaking loose a lot of long-held views and assumptions about what is possible and what is impossible.

When these views get loosened up enough people start acting in strange ways, the whole thing gets momentum, and that's when things can happen that history will look at and say: "What must that have been like? What were people thinking right before it happened?"

What does a dam look like right before it bursts?

But then again, we are part of it, so we shouldn't fool ourselves into thinking that we are somehow seeing things objectively either.

It reminds me of the comment about keeping a clear head in battle: "No one is wise on horseback."
:)
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby charliebrownout » Thu 22 May 2008, 11:56:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'I') probably just had the most serious conversation with my parents last night.

Both my father and stepmother are tuned into peak oil. I had the most doomerist conversation with both of them stating with oil rocketing upward we must prepare for a collapse. Yes I said the "C" word-collapse. I held nothing back. I talked about the most dire possibilities we discuss about here on this site. This was not a conversation you could have with a average person.

They agreed.

Not only that my parents want me to transition full time to the ranch with in the next few years.

Everyone here deals with the anxiety about relaying our deepest fears regarding the end of cheap abundant energy. We often get "Uh-huh" or "It' can't happen". To be honest, I am bit shaken to get back "We agree". It's almost like looking into a dark mirror and verbalizing you fear into an abyss. Then the mirror responds back "You are right". I mean I can talk to you folk on the net but its different when you talk about these things with the people that raised you.


Congrats on having good parents. You're a lucky person. When you see them next, give them a huge hug and thank the universe for providing them--they're rare.

I wish I was in the same boat. As it stands, if ANY of the more doomerish scenarios take place I'm screwed and so are my kids.

So, alls I have to say is, hope things are nice on the other side of the die off. We won't be joining that party.
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby PrairieMule » Thu 22 May 2008, 12:06:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('charliebrownout', '
')
Congrats on having good parents. You're a lucky person. When you see them next, give them a huge hug and thank the universe for providing them--they're rare.

I wish I was in the same boat. As it stands, if ANY of the more doomerish scenarios take place I'm screwed and so are my kids.

So, alls I have to say is, hope things are nice on the other side of the die off. We won't be joining that party.


No doubt I consider myself fortunate yet nothing can be guaranteed. I have had Peak Oil preached to me since 1992. My father is a petroleum engineer.
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby BigTex » Thu 22 May 2008, 12:30:51

PM, can you share more of your Dad's thinking on the issue from way before anyone was talking or thinking about it?

What was he saying when oil was $15 a barrel?

Does he look at this forum?

Has he considered becoming a Nigerian tour guide?
:)
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby WildRose » Thu 22 May 2008, 13:53:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', ' ')I have had Peak Oil preached to me since 1992. My father is a petroleum engineer.


Holy cow! That's sobering.
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby PrairieMule » Thu 22 May 2008, 14:16:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'P')M, can you share more of your Dad's thinking on the issue from way before anyone was talking or thinking about it?

What was he saying when oil was $15 a barrel?

Does he look at this forum?

Has he considered becoming a Nigerian tour guide?


He has been a offshore petroleum engineer for about 41 years. Most of that time has been in Africa. Of all the spots he has been in (Angola, Gabon, Zaire, and a few other spots), Nigeria has been the most unstable. Much of what is blended in the Ask a Nigerian! thread are stories he has shared with me. He was on the Advisory commitee for several years at the Annual Offshore West Africa Confrence. He lectured a engineering classone semester at Texas A&M in 1991 for Vanco energy. Of all the stories, the most humorous one was when he was arrested and hauled in front of one of these guys:
Image
a Nigerian Magistrate. He was accused of being a spy for the Cental Intellegence Agency. No kidding. In Nigeria $200 will get you off the hook for being a spy. When in Nigeria, he carries two grand in his wallet just to get out of daily shakedowns. Up until last year he was a project manager at Shell-BP compound in Port Harcourt. He has not been back since Feb of 2007 because most operations are at a standstill.

Most of the stories are true. Ever since Nigeria broke away from England in 1960(?), civil services have broken down. There are no working street lights. Right of ways are setled by drivers exiting the car and having it out with two by fours. Also dead people are left in the street and the remains are flatened. In Nigeria the custom is if you touch a body, you are responsible for their burial. So Nigeria has a lot of organic speed bumps.

On the subject of Peak Oil, in the early 90's I would get calls at my dorm telling me "You will run out of oil in your lifetime". Ok Dad, whatever. Even in the early 90's, the writing was all over the wall. It did not sink in until about 5 years ago.

With one year away from retirement he is buying land like crazy.
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby DomusAlbion » Thu 22 May 2008, 14:42:22

PrairieMule wrote: "On the subject of Peak Oil, in the early 90's I would get calls at my dorm telling me "You will run out of oil in your lifetime". Ok Dad, whatever. Even in the early 90's, the writing was all over the wall. It did not sink in until about 5 years ago."

I had a similar experience in the early 90's. I have a cousin who is about 6 years older than me. He worked in management for Arco in Alaska his entire working life. In 1994 his father died and he was down in Washington for the funeral. At the time he mentioned that he was being "bought out" by Arco and was taking early retirement. He didn't say much but hinted that I should keep my eyes on the oil production situation. Within the year he had retired at 58 and bought several pieces of rural property north of Spokane, one to live in near a city, the other further out on the Pend Oreille river as a "retreat" as he called it.
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby Pops » Thu 22 May 2008, 14:59:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'I') mean I can talk to you folk on the net but its different when you talk about these things with the people that raised you.

Wow, Mule, I can only imagine how that would feel. I'm sure many wish their people were as awake.

Good luck keeping that fence in repair!
:)
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby TheDude » Fri 23 May 2008, 12:37:39

Sharon Astyk came up with the term Brother-In-Law Syndrome - the nightmare of having relatives move in out of desperation. I'd sooner face a zombie horde! :lol:

I've been waiting for the fuel cell cars for 30 frickin' years! :-x First heard about the inevitable extinction of oil when I was a little kid; but solutions would be easy to implement - they said. It's like you've lived your whole life believing in Santa Claus! Image
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Re: The two sides of the blade

Unread postby PrairieMule » Fri 23 May 2008, 13:38:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '[')url=http://sharonastyk.com/]Sharon Astyk[/url] came up with the term Brother-In-Law Syndrome - the nightmare of having relatives move in out of desperation. I'd sooner face a zombie horde! :lol:



We discussed that as well on Wed. No addition family(he specifically named my ex-wife) besides my self and my 2 daughters.
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