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Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sun 11 May 2008, 20:36:00

Don't we know how this story ends?

Inflation is under-reported. Pension plans slowly vanish as each dollar gets worth less and less while the Cost of Living Adjustments fails to keep up.

The smart guy with the 401K is able to beat inflation while the pensioners falls further and further behind. The dumb guy loses everything in his 401K and ends up about as worse off as the pensioner.

Good luck!
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sun 11 May 2008, 20:40:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '
')How many people feel sorry for all the clueless who went over their head buying homes they couldn't afford? or is that a rhetorical question? :wink:


Nope. Its a very real question ---Congress is voting on it right now.

The house just voted through the Barney Frank bill (dem-Mass) which will spend billions in tax payer money to bail out all the clueless who went over their head buying homes they can't afford.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Heineken » Mon 12 May 2008, 00:03:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'N')ot many police out here, and not many barbarians either....


Oh, I disagree most sharply with that one, Ludi.

The barbarians are many, but even more numerous are the potential barbarians.

When the police disappear, or the threat of the police, they all come crawling out of the woodwork. Legions of roach-barbarians.

Civilization is the thinnest of veneers. A single coat that can be washed rapidly away when the chemistry is right.

Come to think of it, there are plenty of barbarians wearing expensive suits. One of them sits in the Oval Office.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby hubbertspeak7777777 » Mon 12 May 2008, 00:14:10

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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Cloud9 » Mon 12 May 2008, 07:52:42

The cops ran out of gas in central Florida during the 04 hurricanes. I saw one national guard soldier at a ruined gas station. We had no law enforcement. The natives remained quiet. The difference, that was a one time event that would be over as soon as we could make repairs and clean up the mess. This long emergency is a different matter. Most men will leave their homes looking for work. Some will leave to loot and will wind up on the county work gangs.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 12 May 2008, 10:08:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'N')ot many police out here, and not many barbarians either....


Oh, I disagree most sharply with that one, Ludi.


Oh I know you do. But you don't live here, do you?
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Heineken » Mon 12 May 2008, 14:02:47

Texas strikes me as a particularly rich potential source of barbarians, Ludi. And yes, I have lived there.

Ditto my own state.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby BigTex » Mon 12 May 2008, 14:19:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'T')exas strikes me as a particularly rich potential source of barbarians, Ludi.


It should be a quite vibrant ecosystem of barbarians and barbarian predators, as it has been for a couple hundred years.
:)
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby jlw61 » Mon 12 May 2008, 14:39:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'T')exas strikes me as a particularly rich potential source of barbarians, Ludi. And yes, I have lived there.

Ditto my own state.


Heiny! We're both Virginians and I'm wondering how can you say such a destructive thing about our wonderful state?

Just because we have the confederates.
And the rednecks.
And the hillbillies.
And the military bases.
And the feds by the thousands.
And the lots of unsustainable cities.

...never mind...
When somebody makes a statement you don't understand, don't tell him he's crazy. Ask him what he means. -- Otto Harkaman, Space Viking
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 12 May 2008, 15:09:16

I've never seen so much as a public argument during the ten years since I moved back here. :) They are the most polite barbarians in the world, I guess.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby BigTex » Mon 12 May 2008, 15:25:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'ve never seen so much as a public argument during the ten years since I moved back here. :) They are the most polite barbarians in the world, I guess.


They're just very SUBTLE barbarians.
:)
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Heineken » Mon 12 May 2008, 15:50:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'ve never seen so much as a public argument during the ten years since I moved back here. :) They are the most polite barbarians in the world, I guess.


Well, the test of this is yet to come. People's barbarian potential has barely been tapped.

That's my whole point. After collapse, loss of income and food and homes, etc., the veneer peels away and we see people as they really are without all the fine easy things cheap energy has provided. That fat life-surplus Tex was talking about.

Once they realize that soldiers and police won't be trucking in food and safety, that's when the fists and bullets and clubs start flying. It will be a death struggle.

Starvation kinda does that to you.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 12 May 2008, 17:49:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')Starvation kinda does that to you.


Yep, nothing like starvation to give you plenty of energy to rape and pillage.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby cube » Tue 13 May 2008, 01:50:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')Starvation kinda does that to you.


Yep, nothing like starvation to give you plenty of energy to rape and pillage.
*steps in like a referee*
Ludi scores 1 point
however......
I don't think I'll ever see Americans or anybody in the 1st world literally starving within my lifetime. There's so much "fat" that can be cut from the system: beer, cigarettes, porn, NASCAR, ETC... before we get down to basic foods like beans and rice.

But violence is a definite potential. All it takes is:
1) a hugely upset population
2) a manipulative politician with no scruples who knows how to capitalize on the situation
We're not that far away from it IMHO.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby catbox » Tue 13 May 2008, 02:22:31

I just want to see what massive unemployment will do for the system.
Pension?......that's my chickens out back. I'm gonna sell eggs when I'm 80 for 10 dollars a dozen!
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 13 May 2008, 10:04:32

Oh, there will be beer... and porn too for that matter! ; - ))
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby efarmer » Tue 13 May 2008, 12:41:09

We have come to depend on the various government and
corporate and union incomes for retirement and sustainable
life. I have a relative who has been a staunch union tradesman
all his life and who has a fat retirement pension. He is dismayed
because it is largely invested by his union in Chindia and other
emerging markets and so after being a Made in America fanatic
all his life, he is pulling for the emerging markets to keep working
hard while he retires.

If the good bankers and managers who run these funds are
out gunned by the thieves, as we witnessed with the recent
subprime and credit rating and strategy debacle in New York,
then much of this stuff is in the wind.

We largely abandoned community and barn raising and neighbors
pitching in to SAVE each other for things like corporate managed
charity funds and the like. The silver lining is that in America we
have people who may be a generation of experience past
the grass roots community, but they have the inherent goodness
in quantum, to get back to it if the government and corporate
"cheese makers" lose a wheel and shoot off into the weeds.

I will bet on the basic decency of much of everyday Americans
to make a radical adjustment much better than a swollen, rotten,
and bloated New York and Washington based power elite can
envision. But Kunstler's sage words still reign supreme here:

"We will do what we have done until we can't, and then we won't."
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Heineken » Tue 13 May 2008, 22:24:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')Starvation kinda does that to you.


Yep, nothing like starvation to give you plenty of energy to rape and pillage.
*steps in like a referee*
Ludi scores 1 point
however......
I don't think I'll ever see Americans or anybody in the 1st world literally starving within my lifetime. There's so much "fat" that can be cut from the system: beer, cigarettes, porn, NASCAR, ETC... before we get down to basic foods like beans and rice.


Actually, starvation can be amazingly motivating, until you pass a certain stage.

And . . . who's "we"? Many people are already down to beans and rice. Homeless people are being found dead, of malnutrition, exposure, and other bad things. Elderly people are having to decide between drug therapy and food. Sick people are dying because they don't have health insurance or can't get the drugs or treatments they need. You don't know much about what's really going on this country. You suffer from the myth that "it can't happen here; after all, this is America."
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Homesteader » Tue 13 May 2008, 22:27:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')Starvation kinda does that to you.


Yep, nothing like starvation to give you plenty of energy to rape and pillage.
*steps in like a referee*
Ludi scores 1 point
however......
I don't think I'll ever see Americans or anybody in the 1st world literally starving within my lifetime. There's so much "fat" that can be cut from the system: beer, cigarettes, porn, NASCAR, ETC... before we get down to basic foods like beans and rice.


Actually, starvation can be amazingly motivating, until you pass a certain stage.

And . . . who's "we"? Many people are already down to beans and rice. Homless people, elderly people, and sick people are being found dead, of malnutrition, exposure, and other bad things. Sick people are dying because they don't have health insurance or can't get the drugs or treatments they need. You don't know much about what's really going on this country. You suffer from the myth that "it can't happen here; after all, this is America."


It isn't honest to god actual starvation that gets people motivated, its missing that 2nd or 3rd meal in a row.

Kind of like marketing; its the sizzle not the steak.
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Re: Pensions of Millions Could Vanish

Unread postby Heineken » Tue 13 May 2008, 22:30:56

Starvation goes through well-defined phases, I believe.

One of the middle phases is that you try to eat anything. Dirt. Grass. Earthworms. Your neighbor's brain.
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"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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