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Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass stand

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby yesplease » Sat 26 Apr 2008, 23:32:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', ' ')"A recent study has found another Clostridium bacterium that seems to be twice as efficient in making ethanol from carbon monoxide as the one mentioned above."


"Seems to be" - not "is"


might be, seems to be, could be


maybe........
That's the thing with science, just about everything, except for laws, tends to be presented as you stated. For instance, according to what you've stated, as per the IPCC, a high probability of anthropomorphic climate change still isn't certainty of anthropomorphic climate change, it might be, seems to be, could be, maybe... Anthropomorphic climate change.

Along those lines, why haven't I seen you post something similar in anthropomorphic climate change topics stating what you just stated? Along the same lines, if you wish to address that claim why wouldn't you do so in a reasonable manner instead of mimicking someone whose only intention, at least in this case, is that of mischief?
Last edited by yesplease on Sat 26 Apr 2008, 23:48:21, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby yesplease » Sat 26 Apr 2008, 23:36:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sicophiliac', 'N')either side has won this argument, if we are all still here posting in 5 years after numerous cellulosic ethanol plants are scheduled to come online then we shall see how it pans out.


As a line editor with 27 years' experience, I've analyzed your statement, and it makes no sense. It says nothing. Zero.
Says you. I don't remember Spock using logical fallacies. :razz:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Completely illogical," as Spock might say.
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Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 27 Apr 2008, 14:00:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', ' ')if you wish to address that claim why wouldn't you do so in a reasonable manner instead of mimicking someone whose only intention, at least in this case, is that of mischief?


Because this is just so much more fun. :)

I would feel much more comforted by statements of fact ("is") about the processes mentioned above.


Re: global climate change, there are plenty of "is" statements presented. The arctic sea ice IS melting.


I'm not personally interested in the anthropogenic global warming debate these days, so I don't tend to get involved in those discussions.
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Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby yesplease » Sun 27 Apr 2008, 16:13:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', ' ')if you wish to address that claim why wouldn't you do so in a reasonable manner instead of mimicking someone whose only intention, at least in this case, is that of mischief?


Because this is just so much more fun. :)
I can't blame ya there. :-D$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') would feel much more comforted by statements of fact ("is") about the processes mentioned above.
IME, science, at least peer reviewed articles, tend not to work like that. The media runs with absolutes, since they sell, so even in scientific media, we may see absolutes, but not AFAIK in actual research. Unless of course something has been shown to be true consistently, etc... and is a law.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'R')e: global climate change, there are plenty of "is" statements presented. The arctic sea ice IS melting.
The Arctic sea ice always melts. ;)
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Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 27 Apr 2008, 17:34:16

I think you deliberately misunderstand me, yesplease. Maybe you don't, maybe it is accidental.

When I say I would be more comforted by statements of fact about processes, I mean I would be more comforted to know they DO ACTUALLY provide what they promise. It's not to do with scientific theories, it is to do with results.

By Arctic sea ice melting, I mean, of course, that it is being observed to be melting faster than previously. But maybe you just didn't know I meant that, or couldn't figure out what I was trying to say.


Anyway, I'm just trolling this thread. So who the fuck cares what I think?
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Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby dorlomin » Sun 27 Apr 2008, 17:50:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'R')e: global climate change, there are plenty of "is" statements presented. The arctic sea ice IS melting.
The Arctic sea ice always melts. ;)
Hmmm yes but not as far back as it appears to be melting now.
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Re: World's largest switchgrass stand planned

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 00:21:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') think you deliberately misunderstand me, yesplease. Maybe you don't, maybe it is accidental.

When I say I would be more comforted by statements of fact about processes, I mean I would be more comforted to know they DO ACTUALLY provide what they promise. It's not to do with scientific theories, it is to do with results.
That's not how science works, or at least science outside of media AFAIK. It's up to those who read/understand someone's findings to make their own decision based on what the writer's provide. Science will not provide comfortable facts, unless of course the subject matter has been validated thoroughly.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'B')y Arctic sea ice melting, I mean, of course, that it is being observed to be melting faster than previously. But maybe you just didn't know I meant that, or couldn't figure out what I was trying to say.
Well, I read what you stated literally, so perhaps you wouldn't have as much trouble conveying what you mean in a literal fashion, with me anyway?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'A')nyway, I'm just trolling this thread. So who the fuck cares what I think?
FTW1! :lol:
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 14:56:45

I said I wasn't talking about science. I was talking about results.

Anyway, never mind.
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 19:21:28

If yer looking for absolutes check out the media. If you're looking for rational claims based on probabilistic relationships, check out science papers and whatnot.
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 19:46:04

Stop that, pstarr. That's not "science."
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 19:54:59

:P
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 21:35:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'y')esplease, I got some science for ya :twisted:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pimentel and Patzek', 'T')able 3. Average Inputs and Energy Inputs Per Hectare Per Year
for Switchgrass Production
----Inputs----------------------------Quantity----kcalx1000
Labor----------------------------------5 hr-----------------20
Machinery---------------------------30 kg----------------555
Diesel------------------------------100 L ----------------1,000
Nitrogen---------------------------50 kg ----------------800
Seeds-----------------------------1.6 kg ----------------100
Herbicides------------------------3 kg ------------------300
Total 10,000 kg yield ----------------2,755
40 million input/ 1:14.4k
kcal yield output ratio

Table 4. Inputs Per 1000 l of 99.5% Ethanol Produced From U.S. Switchgrass
----Inputs----------------------------Quantities----kcal x 1000
Switchgrass------------------------2,500 kg---------694
Transport, switchgrass------------2,500 kg-------300
Water-------------------------------125,000 kg-------70
Stainless steel---------------------3 kg---------------45
Steel--------------------------------4 kg----------------46
Cement-----------------------------8 kg---------------15
Grind switchgrass------------------2,500 kg-------100
Sulfuric acid------------------------118 kg---------------0
Steam production------------------8.1 tons----- 4,404
Electricity---------------------------660 kWh------1,703
Ethanol conversion to 99.5%-----9 kcal/L-----------9
Sewage effluent-------------------20 kg (BOD)-----69
Total-------------------------------------------------7,455

Inputs per 1,000 l of ethanol: 7,455,000 kcals. Outputs per 1000 l of ethanol: 5,130,000 million kcal.

Therefore, in Pimentel’s words it: “requires 32% more fossil energy to produce 1 liter of ethanol using 2.5 kg switchgrass than the energy in a liter of ethanol."

Maybe you can refute it?
Maybe, maybe not. Need more info! Some have said Pimentel's figures were way off...$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')imentel has estimated the energy consumption for corn farming based upon yields and fertilizer inputs consistent with early 1990’s farming practice instead of current practice. He also assumes a substantially higher input for production of nitrogen fertilizer.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')imentel assumed that the energy embodied in corn seed is approximately 21 times his energy estimate for corn production or 58 times the energy from this estimate. Using data from the seed industry, the ratio is closer to 5 times the energy derived in this estimate.
Etc...

That being said, w/o Pimentel's paper, and sources, refuting or not refuting their assumptions is unpossible since their assumptions have little context. For instance, is the electricity input direct or not? Etc... Feel free to respond where ever, although it would be a bit more OT if you did so in the switchgrass thread. ;)
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 23:05:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'I') confused the two threads. Nathan Greene doesn't know what he is talking about. He is an embarrassment to the NRDC. The NRDC does not know what it is talkng about. I gotta go.
Ah yes, and neither do researchers at MIT and Berkley. Like I said in the other thread, post up the pertinent paper/s and we can see if the objections of that one guy/the NRDC/etc... And differences in the results of peeps from MIT/Berkley are valid. :)
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby yesplease » Tue 29 Apr 2008, 01:34:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he study by Tiffany Groode and John Heywood at MIT’s Laboratory for Energy and the Environment tackles the ethanol LCA problem by incorporating a Monte Carlo simulation of the numerous normally distributed inputs accounting for the wide range of agricultural and technological variability into the analysis.

This produces a probability density function (PDF) that represents a range of outcomes for the ethanol production systems fossil energy consumption and GHG emission values. This range of outcomes, rather than the single-value results provides new insights to the ongoing debate around ethanol’s energy security and GHG reduction potential as an alternative fuel.
blah blah blah. Just count and measure the inputs and compare them to the out.
As much as you may not like it, it doesn't work like that since different models have different assumptions. The best analysis is looking at what everyone has done in the field, since singular assumptions may not produce accurate representations of what's happening.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'I') really don't have the expertise or the interest in wading through this academia but my hunch is it is smoke and mirrors. Correct me if I am wrong, okay?
So you're going to take the analysis of one author at face value, but all the others who don't come to the same conclusions are smoke and mirrors? It's not about wrong or right, it's about accurate assumptions and hopefully predictions. Like I stated before, if you want to investigate Pimentel's paper/s, link it, so we can investigate it and compare it to other paper/s, as others have done, if you don't, as you have stated, enjoy "wading through this academia" then that's fine too. No one's holding a gun to your head, feel free to troll all you like instead of "wading through this academia". :)
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Re: Off-topic split from "World's largest switchgrass s

Unread postby yesplease » Tue 29 Apr 2008, 03:25:34

What who said? Double dog dare you! :razz:
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