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Peak Everything Else

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Peak Everything Else

Unread postby timbo » Wed 23 Apr 2008, 18:26:54

Opening this thread as a collection point for links and statistics on other resources that are reaching peak for example Helium.

http://www.energybulletin.net/34563.html
http://stickweld.com/interesting-stuff/ ... -industry/

To the moderator. We may already have a thread on this but I couldn't find it with a quick search.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby joeltrout » Wed 23 Apr 2008, 19:01:52

Run on Rice

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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby steam_cannon » Wed 23 Apr 2008, 21:02:50

Helium makes a great metaphor for oil prices.
Sometimes what goes up, doesn't come back down. :(

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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby cube » Wed 23 Apr 2008, 23:09:31

No peak yet but the price of lead is going through the roof. You don't hear about it too much because it's not as sexy as oil or rice. The nice thing about food shortages is you can post pictures of poor people in distress so it helps to sell a lot of newspapers. The mainstream media LOVES sensationalism, they thrive on it.

What's the main use for lead?
You've guessed it--->batteries for vehicles.
The most widespread example would probably be a car's lead acid battery.

Some people argue that the future is in EV cars. The EV1 car had a 1,310 pound lead-acid battery pack. I don't think there's enough lead to go around for all of us. 8)
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby 35Kas » Wed 23 Apr 2008, 23:25:28

I don't think enough of us will be driving EV cars for scarcity of materials to become a problem.

People tend to assume everyone in the planet will have/need/want/be-able-to-have a car. What percentage of people on the planet today own a car?
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby cube » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 00:25:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('35Kas', 'I') don't think enough of us will be driving EV cars for scarcity of materials to become a problem.
We haven't even switched over to an EV car based society yet and (IMHO we won't) already there has been a 4 fold increase in metal prices. The scarcity exists today. People are literally breaking into houses stealing scrap metal.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('35Kas', 'P')eople tend to assume everyone in the planet will have/need/want/be-able-to-have a car.
People may want it but most won't get it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('35Kas', 'W')hat percentage of people on the planet today own a car?
Enough to cause quite an environmental problem. :)
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 00:33:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('35Kas', 'W')hat percentage of people on the planet today own a car?
Enough to cause quite an environmental problem. :)


I think even if the entire planet lived like the average peasant in Bangladesh we'd be causing quite an environmental problem. There are just too many of us.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby catbox » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 00:38:06

I think even if the entire planet lived like the average peasant in Bangladesh we'd be causing quite an environmental problem. There are just too many of us.[/quote]

And you just don't hear that in the "mainstream...."
Too many people, the system was bound to snap at some point.

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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby Kylon » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 01:56:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', 'N')o peak yet but the price of lead is going through the roof. You don't hear about it too much because it's not as sexy as oil or rice. The nice thing about food shortages is you can post pictures of poor people in distress so it helps to sell a lot of newspapers. The mainstream media LOVES sensationalism, they thrive on it.

What's the main use for lead?
You've guessed it--->batteries for vehicles.
The most widespread example would probably be a car's lead acid battery.

Some people argue that the future is in EV cars. The EV1 car had a 1,310 pound lead-acid battery pack. I don't think there's enough lead to go around for all of us. 8)



Must be all those Chinese toys! lol
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby SpringCreekFarm » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 02:08:28

This is out of context of what you meant cube...but...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cube', 'I') don't think there's enough lead to go around for all of us.


I'll bet there is in some ways... 8O
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby hironegro » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 19:01:50

I don't think you should conflate a concept like peak-oil with reality of resource depletion.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby phaster » Thu 24 Apr 2008, 23:23:56

IHMO "Peak" also applies to the following human traits: greed, pride, ignorance and fear! Address these four basic human conditions failings, and it would be possible for the human race to use human ingenuity, logic and reason to find work arounds for problems like peak oil, etc...










$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timbo', 'O')pening this thread as a collection point for links and statistics on other resources that are reaching peak for example Helium.

http://www.energybulletin.net/34563.html
http://stickweld.com/interesting-stuff/ ... -industry/

To the moderator. We may already have a thread on this but I couldn't find it with a quick search.
truth is,...

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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby MrBill » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 05:48:29

Without greed, pride, ignorance and fear we could probably solve many manmade problems. Where's the fun in that? ; - ))
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby BrazilianPO » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 12:08:57

At the end the problem is not contained to Peak Oil, or Peak Energy. It is really peak everything.

This picture is just amazing and gives a clear idea of the limits of the planet in terms of resources.

The only solution I see for us is to find "free energy" somehow, and even then, we would have to climb the mountains of nanotechnology to create new materials to replace what we can not extract from earth. Replace steel, wood and cement, by something else synthetic, made from dirt or thin air, which will require monstrous amounts of energy to make; but if energy is free, it is free. Technology saving us again... :roll: A Star Trek Shangri-la scenario.

So, basically, there is no solution. We will reach stagnation soon and eventually decline. The crash will be hard, at least in most countries - for some it will be worse, for some better. Africa will be a goner. Zimbabwe in a continental scale - massive depopulation. And the rest? Have no idea, but there is an obvious clue. Whoever is priced out first, will suffer first and whoever has resources will survive longer. It will be ugly.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby dorlomin » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 13:15:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BrazilianPO', '[')url=http://www.science.org.au/nova/newscientist/ns_diagrams/027ns_005image2.jpg]This[/url] picture is just amazing and gives a clear idea of the limits of the planet in terms of resources.
Copper, zinc and tin catch the eye.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby vaseline2008 » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 22:35:04

Please forgive my "newness" to this site. Although I am new to this site, Peak Oil is not new to me...I have been contemplating it since 1987 when I was just a kid.

Since we can apply a bell shaped curve to everything in the universe...this web-site is fortelling the imminent event of "Peak Human Population". If this is the case, then we should embrace the idea, much like the idea of "we all die sometime".

If the idea that oil came from the biological remains of all past species who have roamed Earth and died (dinosaurs and company) then perhaps it will be the billions upon billions of human carcasses from the downslope side of the bell shaped curve that will create the next "oil boom" in another ump-teen million (or billion) years or so.

Evolution states that man evolved from another species. Then man will witness another such species evolve from the species homo sapien. This is the natural course of evolution and we will be replaced - like the dinosaurs - by a more intelligent species. I just hope they are smarter and do a better job of taking care of this planet than we did. Start writing in stone, who knows if there will be a means to retrieve data from all of our computer hard-drives once we re-enter the "dark ages", so that eons from now the "new species" will not make the same mistakes we did. Books probably won't be able to stand the test of time through tumultuous times (they never do...too many mad leaders like to make bonfires).

Remember, this world is a cruel and harsh place where innocent people including children are brutally mutilated and murdered (Sudan). We live in a world where we glory violence, profit, and self-indulgence. What I don't see anyone posting here is the will to educate their offspring to make the world a better place.

Sure we see a shift in the air, lawmaker requiring auto-makers to improve Miles Per Gallon, corn being grown for fuel, discussions being started, web-sites (like this one) formed and maintained. But will it be enough? It will take every homo sapien's (around 95% or so at least) contribution/effort to make any kind of a significant impact. Education is the only way. Anyone know of a way to get rid of greed? Is it any wonder why religion is such a best seller? A promise to provide you with eternal happiness (I think all religions include food and gold or some other desire/want/need in the after life). The promise of milk and honey with streets paved with gold...perhaps with the rise of food and gold prices God may need some more "offerings" in the collection plate.

To all those who contribute, read and maintain this site and sites like this, "Keep up all the good work."

- Devoted husband and father of two.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby bodigami » Mon 28 Apr 2008, 23:46:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vaseline2008', 'P')lease forgive my "newness" to this site. Although I am new to this site, Peak Oil is not new to me...I have been contemplating it since 1987 when I was just a kid.


welcome to this website, have some pie. :)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vaseline2008', '
')Since we can apply a bell shaped curve to everything that has an exponential growth in the universe...


fixed :)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vaseline2008', '
')Evolution states that man evolved from another species. Then man will witness another such species evolve from the species homo sapien. This is the natural course of evolution and we will be replaced - like the dinosaurs - by a more intelligent species. I just hope they are smarter and do a better job of taking care of this planet than we did.


indeed, and it's our choice if we're replaced by a direct descendant from us or not.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vaseline2008', '
')What I don't see anyone posting here is the will to educate their offspring to make the world a better place.


some of us talk about the possibility of not having offspring, while some others talk about how they're educating and taking care of their kids... for feedback I guess.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vaseline2008', '
') A promise to provide you with eternal happiness (I think all religions include food and gold or some other desire/want/need in the after life). The promise of milk and honey with streets paved with gold...perhaps with the rise of food and gold prices God may need some more "offerings" in the collection plate.


You're incorrect, there is at least 1 religion that actually states that desire/craving is the cause of suffering; therefore it should be eliminated for the cessation of suffering (Nirvana)... and that's Buddhism. Taoism makes a case for harmony with the natural environment that indirectly implies to stop craving, that's being/following/flowing (with) the Tao.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vaseline2008', '
')To all those who contribute, read and maintain this site and sites like this, "Keep up all the good work."

- Devoted husband and father of two.

thanks :)
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby phaster » Tue 29 Apr 2008, 03:19:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'W')ithout greed, pride, ignorance and fear we could probably solve many manmade problems. Where's the fun in that? ; - ))


I've always kinda marched to my own drummer, and personally I believe that constant vigilance and awareness of the pitfalls of pride, ignorance, greed and fear is the key to success. This is because avoiding major pitfalls greatly lessens the chance of making an inevitable small problem into a really big one.

I've always figured recognizing and avoiding the human pitfalls of pride, ignorance, greed and fear does not prevent an individual from achieving some lofty goal. Rather this simple management philosophy serves to improve ones chances of success and serves as a reality check to see if one's goal is achievable, sustainable or survivable. No matter if that goal is obtaining a degree from the right school, working and saving for a comfortable home or luxury car, starting a business or literally climbing a mountain peak in some far off land.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 29 Apr 2008, 03:35:14

phaster, life is a little like a ratchet for many of us. if we do not succumb to greed, pride, ignorance and fear then it is not that we achieve our own goals by being smarter than the next guy, but just by avoiding making obvious and quite often stupid mistakes. of course, learning to live with failure and moving on is part of the ratchet. two steps forward, one step back.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: Peak Everything Else

Unread postby phaster » Tue 29 Apr 2008, 04:12:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'p')haster, life is a little like a ratchet for many of us. if we do not succumb to greed, pride, ignorance and fear then it is not that we achieve our own goals by being smarter than the next guy, but just by avoiding making obvious and quite often stupid mistakes. of course, learning to live with failure and moving on is part of the ratchet. two steps forward, one step back.



Yeah I know there are many different types of personalities.

Back when I was in school I rememebr some people were really driven by trying to get the highest score on some physics exam, then there was one guy who was in my class and he really didn't give a damn what his score was on the exam, he just wanted to learn as much as possible on the topic and sit at the coffee house and ponder the subject. Ironically enuf his credo was "I don't want to peak too early" which referred to his class standings, but its an appropriate sentiment reguarding the topic of peak oil....
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