by allenwrench » Wed 23 Apr 2008, 12:57:03
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kpeavey', 'D')rudge is Peak Oil aware, has been for some time. Rather than come out of the closet as a doomer, he simply adds links to his site.
Peak Oil is not a theory, it is a projection. One which is coming to fruition. At this point, the effects are presenting on a global scale and can no longer be hidden. While the MSM continues to report on the effects in the form of crises worldwide, they have yet to put 2 and 2 together. If the MSM were to report to the world in a manner that the common man could understand, and to a wide enough audience such that it can not be missed, there would be mass hysteria: food hoarding, panic, fuel hoarding, weapons purchasing, hostility, upheaval in the stock and commodity markets, civil disorder, runs on the banks. It is better that the sheeple be left in the dark lest it all come tumbling down.
While there is still time and the economy is still functioning, use it to prepare.
Yes, good reminder to get to work....Semper Paratus!
We should be glad that PO is not mainstream. The panic that would ensue would put a damper on our own preparedness efforts.
No one knows the exact peak date for world oil production, but we do know that time will come in the not so distant future. But finding the peak is not hard problem once we can look back on it by a few years....but we need some time to do it...again, only time will settle this debate
The fact that 'we have to estimate' reserves or useful life of anything says that the item in question does not have an infinite supply or life span.
Now with the useful life of the sun, the end is so far off few give it any thought...except the astro brainiacs.
http://www.cnn.com/TECH/9701/15/end.universe/
With crud oil, NG, coal and uranium the end is right around the corner.
The World Coal Institute estimates world energy reserves as follows:
"At current production levels coal will be available for at least the next 155 years compared to 41 years for oil and 65 years for gas."
http://www.worldcoal.org/pages/content/ ... ?PageID=21
Even though this was written a few years ago and it is based on 'current production and consumption' and is biassed from the coal producers point of view, it gives the same haunting message to the generations to come.
We may not see the end of our free flowing energy as we know it - but some of our descendants will in the not so distant future. This is the legacy they will inherit from us.
Now when decisions have to be made mistakes can and will happen. This is the nature of imperfect humans. But we still must give it an honest effort at finding truth the best we can if we wish to be at peace with the subject.
I never argue with persons claiming that we have peaked already or others that cliam the peak is 20 years away. To me they are both on the same page, just looking at different sentences.
But the person that thinks that we can go on forever and ever and never have to pay the bill with the eventual depletion of fossil fuels is just plain wrong.
"If the public does think briefly about future oil supplies, the question usually asked is, "How long will oil last?" This is the wrong question. Oil will be extracted in some insignificant quantity perhaps 200 years from now. The critical question is: When does the peak of world oil production occur?" ~ Richard C. Duncan