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Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

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Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 11:45:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')conomy Sputters With 0.6 Percent Growth
Thursday March 27, 9:18 am ET
By Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer
Economy Nearly Sputtered Out at End of 2007, Probably Faring Worse Now

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The economy nearly sputtered out at the end of the year and is probably faring even worse now amid continuing housing, credit and financial crises.

The Commerce Department reported Thursday that gross domestic product increased at a feeble 0.6 percent annual rate in the October-to-December quarter. The reading -- unchanged from a previous estimate a month ago -- provided stark evidence of just how much the economy has weakened. In the prior quarter, the economy clocked in at a sizzling 4.9 percent growth rate.
...


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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby auscanman » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 12:07:47

And yet the stock markets appear to have pretty much just shrugged their shoulders in the face of this devastating news... I guess they're just anticipating the next fed rate cut :P
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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby gnm » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 12:19:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'A')nd yet the stock markets appear to have pretty much just shrugged their shoulders in the face of this devastating news... I guess they're just anticipating the next fed rate cut :P


Why should they worry - the Fed has guaranteed that you can run a business into the ground and they will bail you out to any level! WHOOHOO PARTY ON PIG-BANKERS!

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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 12:38:17

Apparently, many analysts were expecting negative, so ANY growth, even of the lethargic, sputtering kind, gives impetus to a rally.

Considering the 4+% drop from the quarter before, I wouldn't be surprised at all if we were 1-2% under right now.
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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby wxman » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 13:15:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'A')nd yet the stock markets appear to have pretty much just shrugged their shoulders in the face of this devastating news... I guess they're just anticipating the next fed rate cut :P


Actually, it is a shrug of the shoulders as this is the third release of the same number. The preliminary 4Q GDP estimate came out at the end of January, there was an update at the end of Feb, and this is the third and somewhat more final number.
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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 14:17:21

Only -13% when adjusted for inflation. Silicon Valley has still been bulletproof.
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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby KaiserCesar06 » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 23:02:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'A')nd yet the stock markets appear to have pretty much just shrugged their shoulders in the face of this devastating news... I guess they're just anticipating the next fed rate cut :P


The market already priced in the anticipated slowdown in growth. You need surprise bad news for things to really be affected.
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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 23:28:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserCesar06', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'A')nd yet the stock markets appear to have pretty much just shrugged their shoulders in the face of this devastating news... I guess they're just anticipating the next fed rate cut :P


The market already priced in the anticipated slowdown in growth. You need surprise bad news for things to really be affected.


Yeah, but you have to admit that last week's 700-pt rally after the Bear Stearns debacle disproves the myth about "rationality" in this particular market. Lately, we're rallying on slightly bad-to-neutral news, and only taking minor dips on the bad news. There is no good news anymore, or we'd be at Dow 16,000. :roll:
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Re: Q4 US GDP +0.6% (cough, cough)

Unread postby sjn » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 23:40:27

I've read that early estimates are that Q1 has been 0%! :roll:

GDP growth is whatever they say it is. They just present the highest number they think they can get away with given inflation expectations!
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