Pakistan, Argentina, Brazil, Iran, and India.
With all 5 having serious food issues by then.
And where is India/Pakistan getting this gas?
Alice In Shale Gas Wonderland
http://juliandarley.blogspot.com/See, that's the problem. These misinfo stories circle the world
before the serious stuff gets out of the gate:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut you ask, unlike Evans-Pritchard, if these wells are expensive, what happens if either the price of gas falls or drilling declines precipitously (the former of course being a likely trigger for the latter)? Very good question, because US natural gas has now sunk to roughly half the price of the median break-even price of shale gas. In a nice moment of symmetry, gas drilling has also fallen by half. Of course, drilling can and will increase, but only when the economics justify it. For the moment, it looks like US gas production may decline by up to 14% this year (according to Bernstein Research), which would actually leave the US supply a few percent short, though it will be easy to fill gap with gas in storage or imports.
There are least two key missing points which make the article so misleading. The first is that shale gas flow rates are always much lower than conventional gas, which in practical terms makes it an expensive and unlikely replacement either for conventional gas or for oil. The second and far more profound omission is that the geology of gas shale varies widely across both America and the world, so that to extrapolate from the best - Texas Barnett shale - to the world is like saying we should be able to grow bananas in Norway just because they grow in India.