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1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Oil-Finder » Fri 07 Mar 2008, 21:39:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '.').
Is oil extracted and used throughout the entire world? Or is it used just around Niagara Falls? Since it is extracted and used around the entire world, the entire world would be the relevant frame of reference.


Which brings us right back to this map, as I referenced up-thread.

In reference to your previous question, if only 1/4 of the sedimentary basins in a developed nation like Australia have ever been explored for oil, you can be sure that the majority of the basins on your map are not only not at peak oil production, but have also probably not even been explored for oil, or at best have only been lightly explored. Heck, they're even finding sedimentary basins filled with hydrocarbons which they had no idea held any resources at all until recently.


Good! Then why don't you please go right ahead and prepare the map! Show us our good news and skip the silliness!

Uh, there are hundreds of geologic basins on that map. I'm sorry, but I'm not going to go through and analyse each and every one.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Homesteader » Fri 07 Mar 2008, 22:37:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'M')ore trivia, which has no point whatsoever, except to demonstrate the power of the exponential function (excellently explained by Professor Albert Bartlett).

If we were using water like oil, over the last 150 years we'd have used only one tenth of Lake Ontario, leaving about 353 cubic miles left. How long would it take to use this remaining vast amount at, say, 1.5% growth per year? Well such a small percentage wouldn't have too much effect, surely? At present rates of consumption, we'd have 353 years of Lake Ontario left. But, at a rate that increases by 1.5% per year, it would be completely drained in 124 years, almost a third of the time that an R/P ratio indicates.


So that would mean we would be well past peak! (bold is mine for emphasis)
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby TonyPrep » Fri 07 Mar 2008, 23:05:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'M')ore trivia, which has no point whatsoever, except to demonstrate the power of the exponential function (excellently explained by Professor Albert Bartlett).

If we were using water like oil, over the last 150 years we'd have used only one tenth of Lake Ontario, leaving about 353 cubic miles left. How long would it take to use this remaining vast amount at, say, 1.5% growth per year? Well such a small percentage wouldn't have too much effect, surely? At present rates of consumption, we'd have 353 years of Lake Ontario left. But, at a rate that increases by 1.5% per year, it would be completely drained in 124 years, almost a third of the time that an R/P ratio indicates.
So that would mean we would be well past peak! (bold is mine for emphasis)
Nah, peak comes at the half way point; another 94 years. This is the trivia thread, remember? None of it makes any point at all.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Homesteader » Fri 07 Mar 2008, 23:11:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'M')ore trivia, which has no point whatsoever, except to demonstrate the power of the exponential function (excellently explained by Professor Albert Bartlett).

If we were using water like oil, over the last 150 years we'd have used only one tenth of Lake Ontario, leaving about 353 cubic miles left. How long would it take to use this remaining vast amount at, say, 1.5% growth per year? Well such a small percentage wouldn't have too much effect, surely? At present rates of consumption, we'd have 353 years of Lake Ontario left. But, at a rate that increases by 1.5% per year, it would be completely drained in 124 years, almost a third of the time that an R/P ratio indicates.
So that would mean we would be well past peak! (bold is mine for emphasis)
Nah, peak comes at the half way point; another 94 years. This is the trivia thread, remember? None of it makes any point at all.


your right of course. I got caught up in the years.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Oil-Finder » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 00:54:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'M')ore trivia, which has no point whatsoever, except to demonstrate the power of the exponential function (excellently explained by Professor Albert Bartlett).

If we were using water like oil, over the last 150 years we'd have used only one tenth of Lake Ontario, leaving about 353 cubic miles left. How long would it take to use this remaining vast amount at, say, 1.5% growth per year? Well such a small percentage wouldn't have too much effect, surely? At present rates of consumption, we'd have 353 years of Lake Ontario left. But, at a rate that increases by 1.5% per year, it would be completely drained in 124 years, almost a third of the time that an R/P ratio indicates.
So that would mean we would be well past peak! (bold is mine for emphasis)
Nah, peak comes at the half way point; another 94 years. This is the trivia thread, remember? None of it makes any point at all.

Peak, in 94 years? What the hell are you talking about? After we've sucked Lake Ontario dry, we've still got Lake Erie, Lake Huron, Lake Michigan, and Lake Superior to work on. Not to mention Lake Baikal and Lake Tanganyika. :twisted:
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby TonyPrep » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 00:57:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', 'P')eak, in 94 years? What the hell are you talking about? After we've sucked Lake Ontario dry, we've still got Lake Erie, Lake Huron, Lake Michigan, and Lake Superior to work on. Not to mention Lake Baikal and Lake Tanganyika. :twisted:
Ha ha ha ha!
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby KevO » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 06:34:36

??

To illustrate the comparison between oil and water mathematically, it would be this:-
We've burned well over half of the oil on the planet, so to use the correct comparison, we'd have evaportated over half of all the world's water - that's all the oceans, seas, rivers, lakes and ice in just 150 years.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Homesteader » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 09:17:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', 'P')eak, in 94 years? What the hell are you talking about? After we've sucked Lake Ontario dry, we've still got Lake Erie, Lake Huron, Lake Michigan, and Lake Superior to work on. Not to mention Lake Baikal and Lake Tanganyika. :twisted:
Ha ha ha ha!


Which of course would have no affect on the planet. After we blithely use up all that water we can move onto the other planets.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby MD » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 09:32:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '.').
Is oil extracted and used throughout the entire world? Or is it used just around Niagara Falls? Since it is extracted and used around the entire world, the entire world would be the relevant frame of reference.


Which brings us right back to this map, as I referenced up-thread.

In reference to your previous question, if only 1/4 of the sedimentary basins in a developed nation like Australia have ever been explored for oil, you can be sure that the majority of the basins on your map are not only not at peak oil production, but have also probably not even been explored for oil, or at best have only been lightly explored. Heck, they're even finding sedimentary basins filled with hydrocarbons which they had no idea held any resources at all until recently.


Good! Then why don't you please go right ahead and prepare the map! Show us our good news and skip the silliness!

Uh, there are hundreds of geologic basins on that map. I'm sorry, but I'm not going to go through and analyse each and every one.

Too bad. It would be a valuable and welcome exercise. Anyone else care to give it a shot? If not, I might have to make the time to do it myself.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Homesteader » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 09:56:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', '.').
Is oil extracted and used throughout the entire world? Or is it used just around Niagara Falls? Since it is extracted and used around the entire world, the entire world would be the relevant frame of reference.


Which brings us right back to this map, as I referenced up-thread.

In reference to your previous question, if only 1/4 of the sedimentary basins in a developed nation like Australia have ever been explored for oil, you can be sure that the majority of the basins on your map are not only not at peak oil production, but have also probably not even been explored for oil, or at best have only been lightly explored. Heck, they're even finding sedimentary basins filled with hydrocarbons which they had no idea held any resources at all until recently.


Good! Then why don't you please go right ahead and prepare the map! Show us our good news and skip the silliness!

Uh, there are hundreds of geologic basins on that map. I'm sorry, but I'm not going to go through and analyse each and every one.

Too bad. It would be a valuable and welcome exercise. Anyone else care to give it a shot? If not, I might have to make the time to do it myself.

Great! No doubt you will find all the big easy ones have been left for last, such is the wisdom and foresight of the oil majors.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Palkerss » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 16:24:57

For another comparison:

A 3-inch layer of all the oil mankind has used so far would cover a mind-boggling area of 805582 square miles.

Image

[spoil]Math:
1 gallon is 231 square inches (thus 3 in * 77)
42 000 000 000 000 gallons used.
42 000 000 000 000 * 77 = 3234000000000000 sq inches
There are 144 sq inches in 1 sq foot.
3234000000000000 / 144 = 22458333333333,4 sq feet.
There are 27,878,400 square feet in 1 square mile.
22458333333333,4 / 27,878,400 = 805582 square miles.

According to this site, combined area of Gulf of Mexico and Hudson Bay approximately equals my calculations.[/spoil]
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby TonyPrep » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 16:57:47

What a pointless exercise. All of these comparisons have absolutely no bearing on the problems we face. Even Oil-Finder admitted that there was no point (it was a piece of trivia, he said) and yet he uses it as his signature line. So he admits there was no point to make and then proceeds to imagine that there is enough of a point to use it as his signature line. Perhaps he'd like to explain why the fact that the volume of oil used thus far is 1/10 of the volume of water in Lake Ontario is so significant to him that he feels it warrants repeating every time he posts?

It could mean that he has no understanding of the issues, of course.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Oil-Finder » Sun 09 Mar 2008, 22:14:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'W')hat a pointless exercise. All of these comparisons have absolutely no bearing on the problems we face. Even Oil-Finder admitted that there was no point (it was a piece of trivia, he said) and yet he uses it as his signature line. So he admits there was no point to make and then proceeds to imagine that there is enough of a point to use it as his signature line. Perhaps he'd like to explain why the fact that the volume of oil used thus far is 1/10 of the volume of water in Lake Ontario is so significant to him that he feels it warrants repeating every time he posts?

It could mean that he has no understanding of the issues, of course.

As I've said multiple times so far, it's just an exercise to get an idea of the scale/size of the oil consumed thus far. It is "trivia," but I find it nonetheless "interesting." Don't you ever find "trivia" to be "interesting?" I sometimes do, and this is one of those times.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby TonyPrep » Mon 10 Mar 2008, 00:44:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', 'A')s I've said multiple times so far, it's just an exercise to get an idea of the scale/size of the oil consumed thus far. It is "trivia," but I find it nonetheless "interesting." Don't you ever find "trivia" to be "interesting?" I sometimes do, and this is one of those times.
Sometimes I do but, as trivia, it hardly bears repeating every time one posts. No matter; perhaps you are subconsciously trying to mark each of your posts as trivia.
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby nero » Fri 14 Mar 2008, 17:21:20

The comparison with niagara falls is apt but remember, it's only about 1/3 of the AMERICAN falls, The flow rate of the Canadian falls is 4 times as high.

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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby Doly » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 03:30:19

Comparisons are only useful when you are comparing two things you may want to compare. I don't think filling or covering water areas with oil gives you any sense of the scale of anything, because it's not comparing with anything that actually happens with oil in the real world.

A more interesting question is something like oil consumption per capita. How much is the amount of oil that the average American consumes in his lifetime? How does that compare with the average European or the average African?
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Re: 1/10th the volume of Lake Ontario

Postby copious.abundance » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 21:15:04

Arise thread, arise!
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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