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Think outside of the system

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: Think outside of the system

Postby Sideous » Tue 04 Sep 2007, 04:32:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'I') like your title for this forum. Think outside the system. I think that hydrogen is the darling of the Bush administration because it's in the system. The idea of running cars on hydrogen and having filling stations appeals to them.

The fact is that to think outside the system requires us to scrap most of the infrastructure we have built in the past 100 years.

Richard Komp, solar energy pioneer, said yesterday that the present system of delivering electricity is already obsolete. After thinking about it I had to agree. I would add that our transportation system is also obsolete.

People may have had a sentimental attachment to horses, but their numbers still dwindled into the middle of the 20th century.

This whole mess we've made won't be worth much very soon.

We won't be able to feed the electric grid, and maintenance will be an increasingly difficult problem. Will hydrogen save us from that? I don't think so. Fuel cells might be a great way to store energy, but they don't make any.

Our cars and SUV's will be useless if gas goes much above $5 a gallon. Right now a lot of them are selling for around the scrap metal price.

The car of the future weighs around 350 pounds, and has a range of around 30 miles between electric charges. The house of the future is around 500 square feet and is oriented to the sun, for heating and cooling. The house provides at least half of it's own energy, from passive and active solar. The person of the future will use far less of everything than us. If they are lucky!


I'm not so sure about this idea of a 'post electric grid future'. For one thing the grid is not nearly so innefficient as many people seem to assume. Energy losses in the UK grid are around 7.5% of the total generation, a loss that is reasonably tollerable. Nor is the grid so expensive that we will not be able to maintain it following peak oil. It was built and maintained affordably during the 1930s and 1940s, at a time when GDP was a fraction what it is today.

Also, I think most people tend to underestimate the cost of small-scale renewable energy systems and over-estimate the amount of power that they produce. These backyard windmills will not produce the amount of power needed to maintain a high-tech society. Without a high-tech society we would have no way to maintain our windmills. The grid is also extremely useful in balancing the power variations that are a natural fact of life with renewable energy sytems.

My guess is that the future energy base of the UK and US for the second half of the 21st century, will be based upon grid based electricity, fed by large nuclear reactors, with minor contributions from renewable energy sources and low-grade fossil fuels. For renewable electricity to work at all, systems need to be developed on a scale that allow them to achieve massive scale economy. They also need some form of load leveling to cancel out the effects of local variability. The grid is a prerequisite for both of these conditions.
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby Ming » Tue 04 Sep 2007, 18:57:58

Yes, on national levels, until PV prices drop some 6 to 8 times, and batteries become several times more cost-effective, distributed renewable energy will remain marginal...

In fact, the combination of large wind farms and mass storage (pumped hydro and eventually CAES), complemented by nuclear and 100% conventional hydro resource utilization, will probably guarantee that large scale production facilities and national-level grid distribution (or continent-level, in Europe and North America) will be the most efficient post-peak energy solution...
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby drunk » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 15:39:29

http://biopact.com/2008/02/eu-hyways-re ... omass.html

Ahead of a €940 million (US$1.4 billion) funding round for hydrogen development, the scientific project HyWays funded by the EU's 6th Framework Program has found that introducing hydrogen into the Union's energy system would reduce total oil consumption by the road transport sector by 40% between now and 2050. The study looked at 10 member states and found bio-hydrogen is preferred as the main renewable production pathway, having the largest potential even after taking into account alternative uses for biomass, such as biofuels and bioproducts; hydrogen based on biomass is also by far the most cost-effective of the non-fossil based production methods.

They are still very reluctant but they will speed up when things get really ugly.
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby BigTex » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 18:18:16

A techno-fix is not thinking outside the system.

Thinking outside the system is realizing that FAR less can be removed from the ecosystem without destroying the sustainability of the ecosystem.

It is not thinking outside the system to try to find another way of fueling the same lifestyle.

Thinking outside the system is realizing that a new lifestyle must be adopted before one is imposed on us.

The trouble is that a less comfortable lifestyle is rarely recognized as an improvement over a more comfortable one, even if the former is the one that is sustainable.
:)
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby Revi » Sat 01 Mar 2008, 08:39:15

I don't think we can really think outside the system, but we'll have to do it pretty soon. I have a feeling that what will actually happen will be more like the movie Brazil. The whole complicated system will slowly deteriorate. We won't be able to do much about it.

I intend to do what I can, but it seems like the rest of my culture will slowly realize that business as usual is over.

Heating oil at $5 a gallon makes it very difficult for people to heat their homes around here. People will put in wood stoves and try to keep their houses warm here in Maine, but the rest of the country can't do that.

Gas at $5 a gallon forces people to think outside of the system. Why have a car at all? Rent one when you need one. Get a bicycle or even an electric car:

www.sunnev.com

We are going to have to start thinking outside of the present system if we are going to survive.

The way we are doing things is not working.

Every American uses 3 gallons of petroleum a day. Only one comes from here. We need to live on that one gallon if we want to live within our budget.

That will take thinking outside the present system.
Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby hiperhiper » Wed 05 Mar 2008, 10:28:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olorin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he only way to increase the biomass share of primary energy use in the U.S. is to decrease the fossil fuel consumption.


That would be true, if you think about biofuels which need a lot of fossil fuels to create, like ethanol.


I suggest you read those links again.

How many more lifeforms should we deny food so we can continue "happy motoring"?


as many as needed. why not. survival of the fittest. Monte you probably wish that we all crawl up in caves and die. everything is not as black as you try to paint solutions will arise where you lease expect them
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby The_Toecutter » Wed 05 Mar 2008, 14:28:09

Mankind is heavily reliant upon other lifeforms. Further destruction of the biosphere will eventually lead to mankind's extinction.

Happy motoring is not so damaging to the planet if you remove the OIL involved in continuing it and decrease the energy associated with it to 1/5 of today. Food production is a much bigger culprit(especially factory famred meat), and war perhaps even a more substantial one(which, if oil is removed from the happy motoring equation, most wars would either lessen in severity or cease).


Think outside the system? How about destroy it and build a better one in its place? We need action on top of thinking.
The unnecessary felling of a tree, perhaps the old growth of centuries, seems to me a crime little short of murder. ~Thomas Jefferson
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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby gnm » Wed 05 Mar 2008, 15:06:23

Why even produce Hydrogen out of biomass, methane would be simpler. Hydrogen still suffers from difficulties in storage, transport, and energy density. Fool cells are pointless as well since Hydrogen can be burned in an ICE anyways.

I am afraid Monte is dead on about the real volumes involved. Its not scalable.

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Re: Think outside of the system

Postby The_Toecutter » Wed 05 Mar 2008, 15:24:45

There are even fuel cells that can run on biomass like ethanol or vegetable oil... much more efficient than making H2 from the biomass.
The unnecessary felling of a tree, perhaps the old growth of centuries, seems to me a crime little short of murder. ~Thomas Jefferson
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