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The Oil Drilling/Extraction Tech Thread (merged)

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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby jbeckton » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 02:00:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '
')But you are very wrong if you think the great depression compares to the Soviet Collapse. Think about it this way, our government didn't fold during the great depression.


Tell that to the residents of "Hooverville".

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '
')Maybe you don't think the life of my family members in the soviet union was bad enough for me to call it doom.


Where did I say it wasn't your definition of doom? I said it wasn't the boards’ consensus of doom. You misstated my position, work on that.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '
') But I'm familiar with the history of the great depression and the soviet collapse. And for many reasons they are a bad comparison.


As far as the average Joe in Hooverville was concerned, how so? The conditions you describe:

-Losing all your money (and house)
-Food lines
-Paying people with bottles of vodka or other goods
-Being forced to grow your own vegetables
-Frequently dealing with the mob (or other criminals)

are all pretty much synonymous with the Great Depression you claim to know so much about.

You are far off topic, I made reference to the fact that Russia is an example of a modern nation that has willingly allowed its economy and population to deplete while there is a solution, hence willingly .

You can go on and on about the Russians plight which I acknowledge, but you can't convince me that Russia is the “Armageddon” we hear so much about on PO.com.

Where is the massive die-off?
Where are the zombies?
Where are the resource wars?
Why are the people with bunkers not the only ones left standing?
Those that cannot do..... teach. Those that cannot teach......teach gym.-Jack black
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby peripato » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 08:31:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', '
')no nation would ever willingly allow its population or economic activity to cease


No?

Perhaps you failed to look into the example I provided before: Russia

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')ussia is facing a demographic crisis so dire that its population could shrink by half within 50 years. The only obvious solution – to encourage youthful immigrants from overpopulated Asian neighbors such as China – is so politically sensitive that Russian leaders refuse to even discuss it.
http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/0418/p06s02-woeu.html


There you have it, a developed nation with declining population and economic activity, AND and obvious solution that they refuse to accept.

Again, what is your definition of willing?


The definition of willing => doing something voluntarily, as in; "No developed nation has ever voluntarily agreed to end population or economic growth."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he crisis and government measures to halt it was a key subject of Vladimir Putin's 2006 state of the nation address.[4]. As a result, a national programme was developed to reverse the trend by 2020. Already a new study published in 2007 shows that, on the whole, the rate of population decrease has slowed: thus, if the net decrease in January-Agust 2006 was 408,200 people, this year in the same period it was 196,600. The death rate accounted for 357,000 of these, which is 137,000 less than in 2006. At the same time in the 2007 period, there were just over 1 million births in Russia (981,600 in the 2006 period), whilst deaths decreased from 1,475,000 to 1,402,300. In all the death:birth ratio dropped from 1.5 to 1.3. Eighteen of the 83 provinces showed a natural growth of population (in 2006: 16). The Russian Ministry of Economic Development hopes that by 2020 the population will stabilize at 138-139 million, and by 2025, to increase again to its present day status of 143-145, raising the life expectancy to 75 years. [5]

Reference

So, as mentioned, Russia, as a developed country, will do whatever it can to continue with population growth. Immigration is not the only solution to that problem, although it certainly provides an immediate stimulus. A third child policy and better health facilities (to lower the death rate), fiscal incentives for repatriation (immigration) of Russians from outside the old Soviet Union are other strategies that could be applied, and have been similarly applied by other countries (e.g. Israel, Australia) to boost their populations.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby jbeckton » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 11:46:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', '
')Again, what is your definition of willing?


The definition of willing => doing something voluntarily, as in; "No developed nation has ever voluntarily agreed to end population or economic growth."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Russian Ministry of Economic Development hopes that by 2020 the population will stabilize at 138-139 million


So, as mentioned, Russia, as a developed country, will do whatever it can to continue with population growth.


You defined willing as voluntarily allowing the population and economic activity to decline.

News flash, while Russia can hope their population stabilizes by 2020 (That’s another 12 years of voluntarily DECLINE by the way!); it could immediately address this issue with immigration reform.

Please explain how waiting 12 years for "hope" to pay off is not voluntarily decline for 12 years while an immediate solution remains at the door step.

You can't because Russia is VOLINTERILY allowing their population and economic activity to decline.

So much for:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', 'N')o developed nation has ever voluntarily agreed to end population or economic growth.
Those that cannot do..... teach. Those that cannot teach......teach gym.-Jack black
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby peripato » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 20:56:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', '
')Again, what is your definition of willing?


The definition of willing => doing something voluntarily, as in; "No developed nation has ever voluntarily agreed to end population or economic growth."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Russian Ministry of Economic Development hopes that by 2020 the population will stabilize at 138-139 million


So, as mentioned, Russia, as a developed country, will do whatever it can to continue with population growth.


You defined willing as voluntarily allowing the population and economic activity to decline.

News flash, while Russia can hope their population stabilizes by 2020 (That’s another 12 years of voluntarily DECLINE by the way!); it could immediately address this issue with immigration reform.

Please explain how waiting 12 years for "hope" to pay off is not voluntarily decline for 12 years while an immediate solution remains at the door step.

You can't because Russia is VOLINTERILY allowing their population and economic activity to decline.

So much for:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', 'N')o developed nation has ever voluntarily agreed to end population or economic growth.

True, immigration is not being considered at the moment. However the Russian authorities are not prepared to tolerate a slide indefinitely, are they? Which is why they are discussing other measures to prevent it. These things will take time to turn around then, especially in a country that went through the turmoil that Russia did during the 1990's, but the upwards path will resume, if it can, as it did after the revolutionary purges and WWII. Mark my words even formal immigration will be considered someday, so long as it's within the government's power to enact it, if the alternative means possible Russian territorial and economic disintegration.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby azreal60 » Mon 04 Feb 2008, 22:44:35

Ok, seriously guys, cut it.

I haven't seen more than shouting over each over for pages now. Please don't make me break out the editing tools, because frankly, I don't have the time tonight, and I'd actually like to post something of substance rather than just name calling.

Pstar, if this was the hall of flames, you could name call away. It's not. Can it. Post all you want, but save the bitch and punk fest for HOF.

Oilfinder and jbeck, my criticism of you guys is less serious but no less moderatable. You guys go off topic like no one's business. A bit provoked, but still.

Now, my post.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f the Green Revolution had not arrived, millions of people would have starved.


Incorrect. If animals(including humans) do not have a food supply, they do not reproduce. They simply do not do it. Hence, the population supply would have stayed steady. A suggested book is "the story of B" by Daniel Quinn. The arguments are compelling and easy to understand.

I wish the green revolution had not happened not because it means millions would have starved, but because it means that millions more people than this earth can support easily where produced. I can't think of anyone who doesn't agree that this many people stresses the life systems that keep humans alive and well.

Gotta go, wife wants a word.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Wed 06 Feb 2008, 15:50:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', '
')True, immigration is not being considered at the moment. However the Russian authorities are not prepared to tolerate a slide indefinitely, are they? Which is why they are discussing other measures to prevent it. These things will take time to turn around then, especially in a country that went through the turmoil that Russia did during the 1990's, but the upwards path will resume, if it can, as it did after the revolutionary purges and WWII. Mark my words even formal immigration will be considered someday, so long as it's within the government's power to enact it, if the alternative means possible Russian territorial and economic disintegration.

Russian situation with population decline is not as serious or intractable as one might perceive it.

All what they need for population to stabilize and start growing again are abortion bans/restrictions.
More babies are now aborted in Russia then born.
So it is easy to deal with that problem and offically permitted immigration is not necessary.
And if contraception bans or restrictions are also implemmented they will have a real baby boom very soon.

With current Russian setup such policy is easy to implemment there.
It is enough for Mr Putin to declare that women must have more children... and they will.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby steam_cannon » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 21:53:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'A')ll what they need for population to stabilize and start growing again are abortion bans/restrictions.
That's an interesting opinion and I disagree with it.

I love Eastern Europe, but my experience in Ukraine (and what I know about Russia) was that having children was very expensive, so much so that parents were often looked on as heroes. The thing is if a family can't afford a child and they don't have an abortion, if they have family to move in with they move in with them (two room apartments with 5 or more people sucks pretty bad...) If they don't have someone to move in with they simply live much shorter lives seeking shelter in sewer pipes or live homeless in outlying forest. Honestly, most Americans don't have to make choices like that so I'm sure it's hard to understand.

When already 60% of a person's income goes to food and food prices are doubling, what can people do? Russia already has a big problem with homeless children. And very simply banning abortions doesn't mean these children will have homes. A nearby example Ukraine, Russia's breadbasket. Their climate is changing stressing farms, meanwhile demand is up and food prices are rising, production problems and international competition for natural gas is limiting industry. And what effect does this all have? Population grows in response to resources. Ultimately if the resources aren't there the people won't be, one way or another. By abortion or by dying of pneumonia in a sewer.

Image
Children enjoying free geothermal heating provided by the wealthy Russian government.

I've met homeless children. I've had them chase our rowboat trying to steal "anything" off it. I've been challenged by groups on the street and though none caused me "too much" trouble, my wife has been injured and accosted a number of times. If these children are lucky and some space opens up in an orphanage, maybe they will end up in one. But it's hardly a solution for families.

Putin simply ordering women pregnant would mean more homeless children with knives on the streets. That's not something that I would like to see or something that most Russians would like either. And as a side note, politically most European women would resent being ordered to be pregnant and revolution has happened in CIS countries over lesser things.

How many are homeless? Russia has a population around 141 million and 4 million homeless children. 141 / 4 = 35.25, so about 1 out of 35 people in Russia is a homeless child. Think about that and about where you think Russia is going to stuff more children. Maybe they could dig deeper sewers? Maybe Putin could do things the African way, promise a mud hut for every family? I suspect that might not go over very well.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here are more than 4 million Russian orphans and homeless children. Most of them live on the streets or in underground sewers...
http://www.russianorphan.org/
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 05:31:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '
')I love Eastern Europe, but my experience in Ukraine (and what I know about Russia) was that having children was very expensive, so much so that parents were often looked on as heroes.

Incidentally I live in Poland.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he thing is if a family can't afford a child and they don't have an abortion, if they have family to move in with they move in with them (two room apartments with 5 or more people sucks pretty bad...)

I think, you are confusing Russian reality with western standards.
It is normal in Russia (and until 1960-ties was also normal on the West) that parents were living with children under one roof.
Once they died children with their families were staying in etc.
Only some proportion of offspring had to look for new housing.
Those who have failed to secure it were usually dying young and childless...
Such situation was sustainable in entire past history of humanity and there is no reason, why should it fail now.
However I must admit that it is very uncomfortable, unless your property is reasonably large and preferably in countryside.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f they don't have someone to move in with they simply live much shorter lives seeking shelter in sewer pipes or live homeless in outlying forest. Honestly, most Americans don't have to make choices like that so I'm sure it's hard to understand.

Not being an American I can understand it, believe me.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')ussia already has a big problem with homeless children.

This is intractable Russian problem, also present at the beginning of XX century.
Do you understand word bezprizornyj?
(I do not have access to Russian keyboard, BTW)
Being Ukrainian perhaps you should.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd very simply banning abortions doesn't mean these children will have homes.
They will, as long as their parents do not throw them out.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd what effect does this all have? Population grows in response to resources. Ultimately if the resources aren't there the people won't be, one way or another. By abortion or by dying of pneumonia in a sewer.
If it is correct that land cannot support 145 millions of Russians then you are right.
Dieoff will proceed.
But in this situation any immigrants have no chance to survive there either, so peripato's argument is flawed.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')utin simply ordering women pregnant would mean more homeless children with knives on the streets. That's not something that I would like to see or something that most Russians would like either.
That could be tried in more intelligent fashion.
If you have somewhere to live, you don't have right for abortion.
I am writing that because I am aware that first steps to force women pregnant are already taken in Russia.
Current approaches are voluntary schemes based on ideas that it is patriotic to get pregnant, but who knows what they will try in the future?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd as a side note, politically most European women would resent being ordered to be pregnant and revolution has happened in CIS countries over lesser things.
In the world of declining economy, which we are entering right now, revolutions will have no prospect of success.
They will only accelerate decay of society but achieve nothing, eg rulers may change but collapse will continue.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')aybe Putin could do things the African way, promise a mud hut for every family?
I suspect that might not go over very well.
I think that most of Russians outside of Moscow and few other cities are already living in properties comparable to mud huts.
I doubt, they would complain, if there is a project to build more of these.

Have you watch BBC document "Day of Bread" about 6 years ago?
It looked like Russian countryside about 60 miles from St. Petersburg have fallen into 200 years time loop.
Ultimate Powerdown... and something what is also in store for US...
It will be a great fun to watch progress of coming conversion... :)
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby steam_cannon » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 15:00:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I')ncidentally I live in Poland.
Oh that's great! And I'm sorry, for a moment I confused you in my mind with a poster from the West...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '(')I do not have access to Russian keyboard, BTW)
That is easy to fix! Here are a few links to some online russian keyboards... :)

Keyboards - Just click in the text box and type.
http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepage ... reen_e.htm
http://www.apronus.com/internet/ruskey.htm

Tranliterate
http://www.russianlessons.net/dictionar ... terate.php

Translate any language to any language
http://babelfish.altavista.com/tr

Links that would fit on a notecard
tinyurl.com/
Keyboard: pn91
Transliterate: 33px48
Translate: 2enx

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'B')eing Ukrainian perhaps you should.
Well I do have Red Russian stickers on my keyboard and I did understand your transliteration. But I'm not Ukrainian, I used to live over there and my wife is from there. I'm American and a long way down the line I'm ethnically polish. :)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'D')o you understand word bezprizornyj?
...This is intractable Russian problem, also present at the beginning of XX century.
It's true that this is a 100 year long standing Russian problem and also a Ukrainian problem as well.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I') think that most of Russians outside of Moscow and few other cities are already living in properties comparable to mud huts.
I doubt, they would complain, if there is a project to build more of these.Hehehe, well there is some truth to that! :roll:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'H')ave you watch BBC document "Day of Bread" about 6 years ago?
It looked like Russian countryside about 60 miles from St. Petersburg have fallen into 200 years time loop.
Ultimate Powerdown... and something what is also in store for US...
It will be a great fun to watch progress of coming conversion... :)No I haven't seen that documentary, but I did visit the countryside and that is exactly what you see. I really liked the horse drawn carts going into and out of the cities. :)

And there is a lot of beauty in the countryside...
Image
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', 'A')nd very simply banning abortions doesn't mean these children will have homes.
They will, as long as their parents do not throw them out...

If it is correct that land cannot support 145 millions of Russians then you are right.
Dieoff will proceed.
But in this situation any immigrants have no chance to survive there either, so peripato's argument is flawed.These are some interesting points. Russia for example is a very big country with the large melting lands of Siberia which the Chinese would love to fill. Perhaps this is a topic I should get back to...

But for the moment I still don't agree with the banning abortions suggestion or that increasing the population will work out as well without improving some very basic social problems in both Russia and Ukraine...
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby steam_cannon » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 15:03:03

And speaking of Russia...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here are many other parts of the world with heavy oil where THAI could also be used, including Texas, Africa, and Russia. This methodology could also be used on medium heavy oils, such as in some of the fields on the United Kingdom Continental Shelf. Since the percentage of oil recovery is so high, the method can be considered a method of Enhanced Oil Recovery, and can be used to extend the life of otherwise-depleted wells.

http://canada.theoildrum.com/node/2907?nocomments
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby Oil-Finder » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 20:40:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('azreal60', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f the Green Revolution had not arrived, millions of people would have starved.


Incorrect. If animals(including humans) do not have a food supply, they do not reproduce. They simply do not do it. Hence, the population supply would have stayed steady.

This is incorrect. The people who reproduce at the greatest rates are the ones who are the poorest - and thus, are the ones who also have the least adequate food supply. Here is a map showing world fertility rates by country. The nations with the highest fertility rates - Chad and Niger in particular - as well as much of sub-Saharan Africa and Afghanistan are also the ones where famine is most commonplace. If you want people to stop reproducing so much, ironically, you need to feed them more, not less. It should also be noted that the Green Revolution has barely touched Africa to date (except for South Africa). All those African nations with rapidly-expanding populations don't have rapidly-expanding populations because of the Green Revolution, they have rapidly-expanding populations in absence of a Green Revolution.

Image

But this is way off topic.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby Oil-Finder » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 21:01:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil-Finder', 'B')ut this is way off topic.
Oh no it is not. Not when you have an agenda to turn every discussion into an anti-doomer techtopian diatribe.

Yes, it is off-topic. The thread was supposed to be about THAI. I happened to mention the Green Revolution in one post, and a couple people decided to go off on long tangents about it.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby Oil-Finder » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 21:12:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'R')egardless, you brought it up and you should respond to my questions. To rephrase them: how can the green revolution get to Africa without a modern agriculture infrastructure and inexpensive petroleum, and consequently how will population growth there decline?

1. They will develop a modern agricultural infrastructure gradually over time, just like everyone else.
2. They will discover more oil there, thus tempering oil prices.
3. As they modernize and develop, their birth rates will decline and so will their population growth rates, just as happens with every nation which undergoes development. For more information on this, read up on the Demographic Transition.
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 10 Feb 2008, 07:45:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '(')I do not have access to Russian keyboard, BTW)
That is easy to fix! Here are a few links to some online russian keyboards... :)

Keyboards - Just click in the text box and type.
http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepage ... reen_e.htm

Thanks, it works. :)
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd there is a lot of beauty in the countryside...

Undamaged coutryside is perhaps one of their most precious resources.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut for the moment I still don't agree with the banning abortions suggestion or that increasing the population will work out as well without improving some very basic social problems in both Russia and Ukraine...

I don't support forcing women pregnant either and I am against any coercive population control policies in general.

However I can foresee it being done, if country of some imperial ambitions (Russia) begins to perceive population crash as major existential threat.
And homeless adolescents can be of some use, if concentrated in gulags and used as a cheap labor.
That is also Russian tradition btw, so they have necessary know-how.
And average Russian will tell that these homeless criminals are deserving just that...
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Re: Oil sands extraction without using water + using less en

Postby steam_cannon » Sun 17 Feb 2008, 21:42:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut for the moment I still don't agree with the banning abortions suggestion or that increasing the population will work out as well without improving some very basic social problems in both Russia and Ukraine...

I don't support forcing women pregnant either and I am against any coercive population control policies in general.

However I can foresee it being done, if country of some imperial ambitions (Russia) begins to perceive population crash as major existential threat.
And homeless adolescents can be of some use, if concentrated in gulags and used as a cheap labor.
That is also Russian tradition btw, so they have necessary know-how.
And average Russian will tell that these homeless criminals are deserving just that...
Unfortunately, there is a lot of truth in what you're saying...
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Popular Mechanics--Relax, High Tech Offshore Is Here

Postby BigTex » Mon 31 Mar 2008, 00:37:14

Put away the doom party balloons, there's plenty of oil offshore:

Popular Mechanics Article

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd it's hard not to argue with a simple fact: Shell and other oil companies aren't spending billions of dollars without believing that it'll pay off for years to come. "We're putting all of our free cash into oil and gas development," says Russ Ford, vice president of development for Shell. "We believe hydro-carbons will be there for a very long time. Nothing is going to knock down oil."
:)
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Re: Popular Mechanics--Relax, High Tech Offshore Is Here

Postby Gandalf_the_White » Mon 31 Mar 2008, 00:46:08

whfeew! And just in time too. Hey, hey, it feels like that scene in Independence Day where they finally get the alien shields turned off.

I can see Randy Quaid aiming that F-16 into the primary weapon and gleefully saying 'Hello boys! I'm back.'

The fattest lady of them all is about to go on a crash diet. A self fulfilling prophecy of self loathing when her suiters leave with the Jewels and watch comfortably from Europe while their plans come one step closer to fruition. Alot of people say the US collapse will take down the world. I doubt it. I think those nations are just timing their moves and when it comes they will cut the dollar in favor of the euro like nothing. The goal as so many have understood is to bankrupt America because a truly strong (and slightly still too puritanical) American middle class stands in the way of Sauron's plans. They've already taken it all away from us. And yes 'they' know who they are. Now the real pain begins for liberty. April Fool's Day is Tuesday.
I return to you now at the turning of the tide.
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