by Bas » Tue 22 Jan 2008, 11:28:01
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mkwin', 'B')B is more concerned with deflation that inflation. There are far too many worrying parallels with the 1929 US and 1990 Japanese crashes.
It could be too late though, the Japanese cut rates from 6% to effectively 0% and it still did not stop a massive asset crash causing a deflationary spiral that is still hampering them today.
Well, assets are going to plummet anyhow, meanwhile the dollar will fall and food, raw materials, all sorts of imported consumer goods and energy prices will go up. Situation is quite different from Japan with it's low consumption quote and unwillingness to borrow and 1929 when they restricted the money supply for far too long I believe?
On the deflation side though, there is the threat of plummeting commodities, but I wonder how long that could last...
Anyway, I don't know everything about moneymarket economics, so you might be able to convince me of the deflation case but I'm afraid we'd have to dive deep into it...