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I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby Ayoob » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 15:42:31

We made the bet over peakspeak a short while ago, and I figured I'd document the moment here so I don't forget. I have the nasty habit of forgetting things, so here it is in writing.

I don't recall holding TJC to payment if the price of WTI does climb above $200, but I do certainly remember saying that if the price does not climb to that number then I will pay out $100.

It was WTI, wasn't it? I don't think you'd have taken the bet if it was Brent.

You never know, North Dakota may have one big surprise to pull out of its ass at the last minute, so I could be wrong. I don't know which way it's going to go.

In any case, that's the bet. Tyler, can you weigh in and let me know whether you recall specifically saying that you owe me $100 if WTI goes over $200 (closing price) on any single day in 2008? I don't remember whether we specified that condition.

Also, I'd like to give TJC the option of taking his $100 in silver at today's price of $15.30 an ounce, as long as he would agree to pay me the same way.
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby FoolYap » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 15:54:22

$200 this year? Gutsy.

Are you betting it happens on fundamentals, or on some kind of Middle East meltdown? 8)

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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby roccman » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 16:04:04

Tyler is fix'n to be $150 in the hole at the end of the year.

I have $50 on the table with him that oil hits $250 by 12.31.08.
"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby lateStarter » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 16:05:05

I think a safer bet would have been that the DOW will be under 10,000. It is possible if things rapidly spin out of control somewhere (like the Saudi's get hit at one of their fields by the 'terrorists'), but I don't see a sustained price anywhere near that. Maybe 130 if 'business as usual' continues...

BTW, I don't want any offers on the bet (Price of the DOW). I don't have anything to bet except some beets and turnips.
We have been brought into the present condition in which we are unable neither to tolerate the evils from which we suffer, nor the remedies we need to cure them. - Livy
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby Ayoob » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 16:06:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FoolYap', '$')200 this year? Gutsy.

Are you betting it happens on fundamentals, or on some kind of Middle East meltdown? 8)

--Steve


The fall of the dollar more than anything, but maybe the beginning of panic buying in the oil market to fill strategic reserves.
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby catbox » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 19:54:38

I gave a co-worker 20 bucks for a buy-in for a poker game, and this morning he hands me 50 bucks!
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby jboogy » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 20:00:37

I can see 200.00 if something serious happens in mideast , business as usual and we're probably 130.00-150.00 , I think DOW 10,000 is not only possible but probable , hell , I wouldn't be shocked to see DOW 10,000 by the end of FEB.
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 20:03:34

Yeah...I'm a compulsive gambler...

I've got two outstanding wagers on this site.

The first is with Roccman:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') have $50 on the table with him that oil hits $250 by 12.31.08.


The second is with ayoob:

I pay out $100 if WTI closes above $200 at any point between now and January 1, 2009. (Or more accurately, closing day on December 31st)


As for payment in silver...that's a pain to mail.

Should we adjust the payout to whatever 6.5 ounces of silver costs in dollars? (6.5*15.3=$99.45)
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby roccman » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 20:25:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')As for payment in silver...that's a pain to mail.


Naw - by then 1/4 ounce should cover your debt to me...
"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby 128shot » Fri 04 Jan 2008, 23:17:14

lol.

I bet 300 dollars tyler wins this bet.
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Re: I bet TylerJC $100 that oil will hit $200 by NYE 2008.

Unread postby venky » Sat 05 Jan 2008, 14:44:49

Its hard to think how oil will reach $200 by end of year.

Easy money for Tyler I think.
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