During my time here I have noticed something about perspective.
I am from and in the midwest. the product of 5-6 generations of midwest farmers. Both families hit their peak in the era before tractors. My grandfather was met by the bank president when he went to open his first bank account after getting married to grandma, "congradulations on marrying the daughter of our largest depositor" he was told. The other side of the family was not as financially successful but hit a cultural apex. G-gpa could play many musical instruments. The dairy barn he built still stands and is, thanks to the current owners, a cathedrial.
The last half of the 20th century (when we burnt most of the oil) has not been that good to us. I'm not all that lovey-dovey to how the world is. I see plenty of opportunity for social advancement. I see plenty of opportunity to be more happy and better able to pass on my values to my children in a world with more expensive liquid fuel. It effects my perspective. I am always tempted to universalize it. Sometimes I succumb to that temptation.
*the following are my articulation of examples, they may be in error. If some of the individuals mentioned object to my characterization, let me know I will change it in the op if you like or you can just respond and tell me that I am a dolt.
PMS, Zardoz, Roccman and other individuals who are in the southwest. Another set of perspectives which seem to me to find come commonalities in their experience in the southwest and Cali. The threats seem more ominous to them. They see sociological, political and cultural reasons why we should fear oil decline.
LoneSnark, apparent training in orthodox economics, friend to mega farmers driving BMW's. I believe he is in N. Carolina. A place that has experienced a lot of benefit over the last few decades. I would say that it colors his view. The threats do not seem so ominous, he articulates a economic reasons on why it should not be so bad.
JD, has lived a signifigant period in Japan, sees how they deal with problems and so their seems to be a lot of room for those of us in America to tighten our belts. The problem is not that bad because we can drive less, conserve more and between conservation and alternatives we can manage the decline.
What makes this a problem is when we assume that our concerns are:
1. applicable in the same way everywhere
2. that these experiences do not interact with each other (we do not live in a world where only economics matter or only politics or only culture). The market "works" in a political world and impacts people who respond in a cultural manner etc...
3. Sometimes we talk out of our rear ends, assuming we know something about something that we do not (yes myself included).
What is needed is an interdisplinary approach where the political and sociological problems of southern cal are figured into lonesnark's economics (and vice versa). Where the costs of our energy intensive lifestyle (felt often in the midwest) are accounted for the prosperity experienced by those centers of power (if you had a housing bubble you are a center of power).
Then we need to realize that the impacts will not be the same everywhere. Japan has a different culture. The southwest has unique problems. Those who have been on the loosing end of the age of cheap oil may not feel the same way as those who have benefited. The hillbilly will have a different perspective than the technocrat.
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Who are you? What events, experiences, history affects your perspective? What alternative perspective have you benefitted the most from.
I have benefited from lots of different perspectives. It is hard to pick just a few.
Mr. Bill- he has street cred in my book not just for his professional experience but also his origins. If I have any doubt about my position on an issue and he makes a good argument, I am very likely to trust him more than myself.
The desert southwest-iners- my parents ran back to the midwest in the 1970's and we never looked back. I have gained an appreciation for the problems you may face. You have affected my politics. For whatever it is worth, my thoughts and prayers are with you.
JD, even though there are a lot of things that I think that he discounts that he should take more seriously, his practical suggestions are... practical.
Snarky reminds me why so many people will not get it and that I need to check my frustration at the door. I will leave any other comments to myself.





