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The Next Great (American) Gas Play

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The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby Oil-Finder » Mon 31 Dec 2007, 23:37:28

Next Great Gas Play

*edited out whole story*

Oil,

The link suffices, dont need to copy the whole thing here if you don't mind. Makes the page size play nice and less bandwidth.

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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby AirlinePilot » Wed 02 Jan 2008, 00:50:04

Oil,

PM me If you dont get how to use the link tool. Its the little green ball with link attached. Works great. You can paste the link, then name it as I did above to shorten it.

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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby TheDude » Wed 02 Jan 2008, 06:22:47

TOD had a piece by Dave Cohen concerning this sort of thing: Will Unconventional Natural Gas Save Us? Unconventional masked the peak in conventional NA NG production, as I recall.

Image

Fort Worth's right on top of the Barnett.

Link Maker button: Image

Made that by right-clicking on the button and selecting "Copy Image Location," then using the Image button: Image

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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby Oil-Finder » Wed 02 Jan 2008, 07:04:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'O')il,

PM me If you dont get how to use the link tool. Its the little green ball with link attached. Works great. You can paste the link, then name it as I did above to shorten it.

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Sorry, not sure what the modus operandi here is. Some forums I've been to require you to post the whole article, others require you to post only a link.

Since it looks like the modus operandi here is to post only a link, from now on I'll do that.
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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby TheDude » Wed 02 Jan 2008, 08:58:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ince it looks like the modus operandi here is to post only a link, from now on I'll do that.


Aww, we're not that mean. From the Code of Conduct:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')nnecessary text quotation: If you wish to quote a post or article, do not quote the entire post/article. Only include the part of the post text to which you are responding. With articles, post a short paragraph and provide a link.


Another, more recent NG article from TOD: Natural Gas and Complacency, has some interesting quotes from Houston geologist Arthur Berman about plays in the Barnett. Doesn't look they're necessarily a sure thing:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ased on data from 187 Fayetteville wells provided by IHS and the Arkansas Oil and Gas Commission, I find little economic justification for the play at present. None of the vertical wells that I analyzed will recover drilling and operational costs. Only 3 of the 136 horizontal wells will be economic in the most-likely case, and only 13 in the optimistic case. Further, I cannot substantiate per-well reserves that approach the levels claimed by operators.
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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby Oil-Finder » Thu 03 Jan 2008, 20:05:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ince it looks like the modus operandi here is to post only a link, from now on I'll do that.


Aww, we're not that mean. From the Code of Conduct:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')nnecessary text quotation: If you wish to quote a post or article, do not quote the entire post/article. Only include the part of the post text to which you are responding. With articles, post a short paragraph and provide a link.

OK. Whatever.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '
')Another, more recent NG article from TOD: Natural Gas and Complacency, has some interesting quotes from Houston geologist Arthur Berman about plays in the Barnett. Doesn't look they're necessarily a sure thing:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ased on data from 187 Fayetteville wells provided by IHS and the Arkansas Oil and Gas Commission, I find little economic justification for the play at present. None of the vertical wells that I analyzed will recover drilling and operational costs. Only 3 of the 136 horizontal wells will be economic in the most-likely case, and only 13 in the optimistic case. Further, I cannot substantiate per-well reserves that approach the levels claimed by operators.

The decline in output of those wells after a year, followed by a long period of reduced but steady output, sounds just like the Bakken. But then of course they're both shales tapped with horizontal drilling.

If production is any guide - and I think it probably is - then the Barnett shale looks pretty successful to me.

Texas Barnett Shale Gas Production
(1993 through 2006)

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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Mar 2008, 18:11:32

Here's another one of these just discovered. This one's in NW Louisiana.

The Motley Fool
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')nce again, the old adage about the rich getting richer holds true. On Monday, Chesapeake Energy broke the news that not only will it speed up the pace of drilling on its successful Barnett Shale and Fayetteville Shale gas plays, but it's also made a new gas discovery in Louisiana -- the Haynesville Shale -- that could outstrip the other two.

In fact, in a Tuesday conference call with analysts, company CEO Aubrey McClendon called Monday's press release "the most important operational announcement in Chesapeake's 19-year history." Chesapeake, a Motley Fool Inside Value selection, currently has four rigs working on the play, and it expects that number to increase to 10 by year's end.

Casting a wide net in discussing the discovery, McClendon said that the play could yield between 7.5 trillion and 20 trillion cubic feet equivalent of potential gas reserves. Chesapeake currently controls more than 200,000 net acres in the Haynesville, a figure it aims to increase to 500,000 acres.
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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby Tyler_JC » Mon 31 Mar 2008, 18:28:00

To throw a dollar figure on that, 20 trillion cubic feet is 20 billion "units" of natural gas. (unit=1000 cubic feet, the common measure of natural gas for the commodities market)

At $10/unit that's between $75 billion and $200 billion worth of natural gas in this one find alone.

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Re: The Next Great (American) Gas Play

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Mar 2008, 18:40:36

^
And speaking of money, one of the big winners of these unconventional gas plays is gonna be rural landowners. With these energy companies acquiring mineral rights to tens or hundreds of thousands of acres and drilling hundreds of wells, there's gonna be a lot of leasing money floating around these places.
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