by Twilight » Tue 01 Jan 2008, 18:00:43
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SchroedingersCat', 'I') am surprised by the amount of faith people have in the financial system. Yeah, if there is a major banking collapse there are other priorities to consider. But what about funds just not being available?
Everybody trusts that the authorizations they get at each step will be settled at the next ACH transfer time, which could be two or three days away on a holiday weekend. If any of the banks or companies in the process crash or have their assets frozen before settlement, someone else is left holding the bag. At that point, none of the ATM or credit card acquirers will risk more transactions. Your bank might be fine, but you won't be able to use your credit or debit card until the networks trust each other again.
Like Wells Fargo in August, I guess?
Your options are similar to those in the event of an actual failure. If your bank is blacklisted, make sure it is not your only bank. If they are all jammed, there are bigger problems heading your way. Try not to be in a position where you are completely reliant on uninterrupted service. If it becomes intermittent, you have to be able to deal with it.
Remember the nature of your starting assumptions, though. There is no way to escape the prospect of losing access to some of your money once you assume there could be a severe retail banking crisis. Once you put yourself into that box, you are inside it. You have to accept an element of risk however you manage it. I don't think you can eliminate it completely. Your money has to be stored somewhere in some form.
In the event of severe problems, the real losers will be those with all their eggs in one basket (eg savers facing a long wait to access, no alternative funds), or who face consequences for untimely access (payment of suppliers, payroll) and so on. Your average man in the street with a couple of direct debits, predictable basic living expenses to pay and few thousand here and there, probably will not suffer too much unless there is financial apocalypse.