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The winter of my discontent due to the price of crude!

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The winter of my discontent due to the price of crude!

Unread postby bonehead » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 12:31:43

The heating oil truck just arrived and i've no choice but to accept it.Crude's pushing $90 in anticipation of a fed rate cut and the dollar is about to fall further.I don't feel like visiting santa at my local mall.
Gimme some demand destruction.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby dsula » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 12:55:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bonehead', 'T')he heating oil truck just arrived and i've no choice but to accept it.Crude's pushing $90 in anticipation of a fed rate cut and the dollar is about to fall further.I don't feel like visiting santa at my local mall.

That's why I got my trusted chainsaw and my 20 acres wood. Just one gallon of chainsaw fuel heats the whole house for one winter.:-D
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby bonehead » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 13:32:05

Way to go dsula,would 20 acres be considered a renewable resource?
Gimme some demand destruction.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby gnm » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 13:54:51

Depends on how much you need. I can get through a cold winter on a cord and a half. Some up north need 10.

My damn chain keeps dulling after half a cord. I need a better way to sharpen them or maybe one of those carbide jobs....
:-x

"just need to accept it"
Bonehead, ask yourself if you can just accept it if it doubles again from now.... It doubled in the last 4 years you know. If you can't then plan accordingly before it doubles again.

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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby dissident » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 15:39:43

Wood heating is great (and that is what we use) but it is not possible for the whole winter-exposed population to rely on wood. I fear that without the success of alternative energy, all the forests (including on private land) will be poached bare of wood, much as occurs in Africa and elsewhere in the 3rd world.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby Mechler » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 15:50:22

In New England the rule of thumb is 1 cord per acre per year - so 20 acres would be fine for just about anyone.

Selling wood in the future might be a good way to make some extra money. Actually, it probably is now. But hopefully dissident's vision of poached wood doesn't come true (but it probably will :cry: )
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby frankthetank » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 16:43:58

Couple of suggestions:

No heat (might get cold/divorced)

Change heat source (best bet)

Move to warmer climate (might not work to well...will pay for it during summer months/zombies).

Heat one room

I've got the wood stove and am still waiting on the pipe. I've already got 60 acres i can "browse" for firewood (plenty of downed timber-hardwoods). Also have a few other sources i could probably go to if needed. Wood isn't in short supply around here. I plan on trying to keep the living room toast. Nice thing about wood is its always ON, but doesn't use any electricity. That way even if you do get cold, you can at the least, go sit by the stove or put your hands close and warm up.

If i was wealthy i'd spend 4 months of the year on a sailboat in the gulf or the Bahamas. Screw this winter crap :)
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby JoeW » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 17:42:42

We heat with fuel oil, and our latest delivery (140 gallons to fill up a 275-gallon tank) @ $3/gal was $420. Keep in mind that that is for only half a tank. There are plenty of people who are going to be unable to afford fuel oil this winter when a bill for $800 shows up on their doorstep and they are caught by surprise.

I expect there will be a lot of 'deadbeat' fuel oil subscribers who will just switch providers rather than pay the bill. That just creates false demand and drives up the price for those of us who pay. Hard to faul them, though. It's not like freezing to death is a palatable option.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby dsula » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 17:48:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', 'H')ard to faul them, though. It's not like freezing to death is a palatable option.


People who can't afford to heat should move to warmer climate.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby gnm » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 17:58:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dissident', 'W')ood heating is great (and that is what we use) but it is not possible for the whole winter-exposed population to rely on wood. I fear that without the success of alternative energy, all the forests (including on private land) will be poached bare of wood, much as occurs in Africa and elsewhere in the 3rd world.


While a valid concern, I think that it is unlikely that cities will strip the surrounding forests of wood. Perhaps initially but not as fuel becomes even more dear. Most in the city don't have the infrastructure to burn it for heat (like a woodstove) and if the cost of heating is so high that they cannot afford it how are they going to cover the cost of cutting and hauling wood? I just don't see legions of boomer wives hauling loads of wood on their head for 5 miles a day. Africa's main cause of deforestation is cooking and people will readily haul it by hand. Your typical house wouldn't get far trying to haul enough wood by hand to heat it.

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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby frankthetank » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 20:07:44

gnm-

You raise some VERY good points. I think this is why cities like Chicago and Minneapolis better start thinking about winter 2030 and beyond. I wonder what they plan on heating these big buildings with once the gas stops flowing? **maybe** LNG will be up and running full steam by then.

Even then 50 or so years from now, most northern cities will probably be barren during the winter. Those who do stay will probably shack up in an abadoned car burning plastics and trash to stay warm (in the back seat).

Britain ran into a firewood shortage back before they made a switch to coal. It wouldn't suprise me if the same thing happens up here. It wouldn't suprise me if they bring in shiploads of firewood or something (Chicago) or bring in barge loads (Minneapolis--Mississippi River). There are bluffs surrounding my town here and when i hike in them the possibility of someday them being barren hillsides does cross my mind.

Even in my area (La Crosse area) you've got 100K people and maybe 30K homes (give or take). Figure in a good 4 cords per house, that over 100K cords of wood. 20 cords of wood an acre, gives us 6000 acres of wooded land needed per winter to keep us warm!

Got wood?
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 11 Dec 2007, 20:41:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'g')nm-

You raise some VERY good points. I think this is why cities like Chicago and Minneapolis better start thinking about winter 2030 and beyond. I wonder what they plan on heating these big buildings with once the gas stops flowing? **maybe** LNG will be up and running full steam by then.

Even then 50 or so years from now, most northern cities will probably be barren during the winter. Those who do stay will probably shack up in an abadoned car burning plastics and trash to stay warm (in the back seat).

Britain ran into a firewood shortage back before they made a switch to coal. It wouldn't suprise me if the same thing happens up here. It wouldn't suprise me if they bring in shiploads of firewood or something (Chicago) or bring in barge loads (Minneapolis--Mississippi River). There are bluffs surrounding my town here and when i hike in them the possibility of someday them being barren hillsides does cross my mind.

Even in my area (La Crosse area) you've got 100K people and maybe 30K homes (give or take). Figure in a good 4 cords per house, that over 100K cords of wood. 20 cords of wood an acre, gives us 6000 acres of wooded land needed per winter to keep us warm!

Got wood?


See there is this stuff most of us have access to in NA called Electicity. Just in case you don't know those of us with heat pumps can warm ourselves quite efficiently down to about 35 degrees F for air source and 0 degrees F for ground source. Just about any northern city south of about 43 degrees, which include Chicago and Detroit and all points due east of them, fits inside that 0 degree F criteria. On the west coast due to warm water currents places as far north as 50 degrees are quite capable of using ground source heat pumps for heating. And for those nights when it is colder than that you can use resistence electric heaters, which are a piece of cake for zone heating. My mother-in-law has every room on its own thermostat so that unoccupied rooms are kept at 55. She also has two fireplaces.
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby frankthetank » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 00:04:24

Electric heat is the worse type of heat you can use. You'd be A lot better off burning the coal directly in a stove then at some power plant.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hen outdoor temperatures fall below 40°F, a less-efficient panel of electric resistance coils, similar to those in your toaster, kicks in to provide indoor heating. This is why air-source heat pumps aren't always very efficient for heating in areas with cold winters. Some units now have gas-fired backup furnaces instead of electric resistance coils, allowing them to operate more efficiently

Link - edited
Only heat puimps in use around here are ground source heat pumps and they are expensive and you need a lot of yard (to run the piping). They use the heat of the ground (roughly 50-55F). I'm sure everyone will be able to just throw these in when the gas stops coming up from the gulf or down from Canada :roll:

Image
MSP month to date temps.
Image
CHI month to date temps.

The cold air hasn't come down yet :)
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby MrBill » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 05:06:08

Mr. Tank, I edited your link because the full URL was screwing up the page sizing. Thanks.

Wood heating is a classic case of what works for one cannot work for everyone. The last thing we need is more deforestation, climate change and pollution from everyone burning wood, charcoal and/or coal at home. A very dirty alternative.

However, having said that, I am not having much luck trying to convince my friends and neighbors to freeze to death in the dark either?
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 08:27:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'E')lectric heat is the worse type of heat you can use. You'd be A lot better off burning the coal directly in a stove then at some power plant.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hen outdoor temperatures fall below 40°F, a less-efficient panel of electric resistance coils, similar to those in your toaster, kicks in to provide indoor heating. This is why air-source heat pumps aren't always very efficient for heating in areas with cold winters. Some units now have gas-fired backup furnaces instead of electric resistance coils, allowing them to operate more efficiently

Link - edited
Only heat puimps in use around here are ground source heat pumps and they are expensive and you need a lot of yard (to run the piping). They use the heat of the ground (roughly 50-55F). I'm sure everyone will be able to just throw these in when the gas stops coming up from the gulf or down from Canada :roll:

MSP month to date temps.

The cold air hasn't come down yet :)


Sure in the 1970's they used resistence coils in the heat exchanger when it got below 40 outside, however on the new systems for air source they are using much more efficient compressors and refridgerants than they had 30 years ago. My three year old air source heat pump is rated down to 15 degrees, but it becomes progressively more difficult for it to extract heat from colder air.

As for the complaint about ground source heat pumps needing a big yard, when you are talking about heating with wood you better have one hell of a big yard filled with trees as your alternative. As for cities, nearly any city you name is on either a river or lake and ground source pumps do very well stripping heat from ground water sources. The most efficient units are often those with a pond to work from, there is a lot of latent heat in a 20 foot deep pond even when the top six inches is a sheet of ice.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 08:38:35

I recognize that it cannot work for everybody, I have given up looking for answers that can work for everybody, but our new wood stove is working out great.

I haven't heard the downstairs furnace run at all and with only the kitchen and living room being heated, they are toasty warm. The upstairs furnace runs just to keep some plants from freezing to death, If I came up with a way to move them downstairs (away from two young kids, mischievious cats and playful dogs) then I suppose we could just let be warmed by ambient heat that escaped downstairs. In the next couple of days i will decide if we are even going to fill the LP tank at all this winter. We might just wait until the week before Hurricane season.

Regarding everyone else:

We are going to have to give up this idea of heating every bit of space and keeping it warmer in the house in the winter than we keep it in the summer. The downstairs thermastat is kept at 50F (see above) and the upstairs at 40 (as low as it will go). We have learned to dress warm. The kids do not even seem to notice (their mother tries to get them to wear socks with mixed results) and have invested on a down comforter for every member of the family. As long as you are warm when you sleep you can manage anything else.
------
edit: I should mention that what I will really miss is if/when the grid goes down would be the electric blower that circulates heat off of the wood stove through the rest of the house.

I am considering stopping in some places that sell counter top to see if they have any cheap broken soapstone that I can buy to use as a way to transfer heat in the future.
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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby FoolYap » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 11:46:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechler', 'I')n New England the rule of thumb is 1 cord per acre per year - so 20 acres would be fine for just about anyone.


Unfortunately, in the most populated areas of New England, 20 acres is unaffordable for most of that population. DW and I bought 11 acres of timber in 2002, but we're two white collar professionals who live below our means and consequently had high savings.

Maybe the mortgage fiasco will depress land prices in a major way, but I don't think most of my living-at-their-means co-workers will find themselves with any spare cash to buy it then either. :razz:

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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby FoolYap » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 11:58:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'I') should mention that what I will really miss is if/when the grid goes down would be the electric blower that circulates heat off of the wood stove through the rest of the house.


What size fan are you using? Is it "furnace blower" size, or something smaller? I ask because there are fans available that sit directly on top of a stove, and run entirely on the heat. Some operate by converting heat to a small amount of electricity and thereby run the fan. Others appear to work on some variant of a Stirling engine. They aren't cheap like a cheap fan is cheap, and they don't move huge volumes of air, but they apparently work.

Here's one at Lehman's, for example. (This is one of the Stirling-engine ones, and is also one of the pricier ones I've seen)

Stirling engine stove-top fan

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') am considering stopping in some places that sell counter top to see if they have any cheap broken soapstone that I can buy to use as a way to transfer heat in the future.


They certainly should have it. We had soapstone counters installed in our kitchen when it was built, and I asked the installers to please leave me any scraps they wanted to get rid of. I wound up with a big pile of offcuts, many of them must've been from their previous jobs. :) Many are going to be good enough for small outdoor table tops & such if I choose, and there's a ton I could break up / chop up if I just wanted blocks of soapstone to act as heat-sinks. All free.

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Re: The winter of my discontent!

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 12 Dec 2007, 13:02:55

I have both. The fan that runs on the heat was not worth the money. It makes for a fun conversation piece but that is it.

The fan that really works came with the stove and. essentially takes the heat from the metal and blows it horizontally in to the living room.
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