Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Free Market Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby Twilight » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 16:02:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sirrom', 'i') would just like to point out that there will be no widespread oil shortage in free market economies.

i seem to see lots of posts about rationing petrol/oil/oil products,but what people forget is that if there is low supply the price will go up and demand will be reduced,so there will always be oil for those that can afford it.

And those who cannot afford it... will experience a shortage.

Please follow thoughts to their conclusion.
Twilight
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 3027
Joined: Fri 02 Mar 2007, 04:00:00

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby dsula » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 16:22:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sirrom', 'i') would just like to point out that there will be no widespread oil shortage in free market economies.

i seem to see lots of posts about rationing petrol/oil/oil products,but what people forget is that if there is low supply the price will go up and demand will be reduced,so there will always be oil for those that can afford it.

And those who cannot afford it... will experience a shortage.

Please follow thoughts to their conclusion.

I can't afford to buy a Mercedes car. That doesn't mean there's a shortage of luxury cars.

A shortage is: The product is not availabe for purchase no matter how much money you have to pay for it.
Too expensive is NOT a shortage.
User avatar
dsula
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 982
Joined: Wed 13 Jun 2007, 03:00:00

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby Dezakin » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 16:39:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')they they just wouldn't have bought those luxerious Ipods they would have plenty to eat

ghhesh!

Well, to be fair most of sub-saharran africa can't exactly be thought of as free market economies.
User avatar
Dezakin
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1569
Joined: Wed 09 Feb 2005, 04:00:00

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby wisconsin_cur » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 16:48:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')they they just wouldn't have bought those luxerious Ipods they would have plenty to eat

ghhesh!

Well, to be fair most of sub-saharran africa can't exactly be thought of as free market economies.


Yes if they were a perfect free market all would be wonderful in sub-saharan africa. they would be driving convertibles, following the Brittany Spears scandal and exporting grain across the globe [smilie=laughing6.gif]. Heck they would probably be making the movies we watch instead of Hollywood. They brought it on themselves by not being enlightened!!!

Malawi free market and famine article

What a great way to avoid the lesson because it is too harsh.

---------------
edit
I too was always being redirected. now that it seems it is not just me but others I edited the post, removing the web insert and changed it to a link. Hopefully that helps
-cur
Last edited by wisconsin_cur on Fri 07 Dec 2007, 11:12:33, edited 1 time in total.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
User avatar
wisconsin_cur
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4576
Joined: Thu 10 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: 45 degrees North. 883 feet above sealevel.
Top

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby stepka » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 23:04:53

John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) once remarked, $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')"Capitalism is the extraordinary belief that the nastiest of men, for the nastiest of reasons, will somehow work for the benefit of us all."
User avatar
stepka
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 151
Joined: Fri 27 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: missouri
Top

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby Dezakin » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 23:34:03

No, if they were in a free market, warlords wouldn't be shooting people and interrupting commerce and Nike would open up a shoe factory.
User avatar
Dezakin
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1569
Joined: Wed 09 Feb 2005, 04:00:00

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby yesplease » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 23:35:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'P')eak Oil is the end of cheap oil, that's common knowledge. Oil will always have a price, however, eventually; even first world countries will find it not worth it.
Oil has never been cheap. It'll just become marginally more expensive.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Professor Membrane', ' ')Not now son, I'm making ... TOAST!
User avatar
yesplease
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3765
Joined: Tue 03 Oct 2006, 03:00:00
Top

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby SolarDave » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 23:46:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'S')irrom, your assertion is nonsense, because it assumes that 100% of oil demand is elastic.

In fact, a very large proportion of oil demand is inelastic. It's baked into the continued functioning of civilization as we know it.

Thus, oil-demand destruction can go only so far before a different kind of destruction comes into play.


Heineken is 100% correct.

These two points illustrate the difference between "elastic" demand and "inelastic" demand.

Suppose the price of diamonds went up by a factor of 1000 tomorrow. People would stop buying them. Nothing else would change, other than the diamond mines closing. That is called "elastic" demand, because the demand is free to adjust to price, and vice versa, with no other constraints or consequences.

Suppose the price of oil went up by a factor of 1000 tomorrow. The world would come to an end. That is called "inelastic" demand because the demand does NOT adjust freely to price. Unless you call the deaths of billions of people by starvation "free" - and that would be the likely result of this contrived example.

You may wish to re-word your statement, sirrom, to "i would just like to point out that there will be no widespread XXX shortage in free market economies, provided the commodity XXX exhibits elastic demand" - which oil does not.
100% of the electricity needed for this post was generated by ME.
http://www.los-gatos.ca.us/davidbu/pedgen/green_virtual_gym.html
Posted from a Pedal Powered Computer
User avatar
SolarDave
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 400
Joined: Thu 19 May 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby zeke » Fri 07 Dec 2007, 09:54:54

It might be more accurate to say that oil will be available to those who can afford the price, as is true with so many things these days: food, housing, medical care, insurance...

However, oil and its deriviatives, like gasoline are in one sense the most valuable single resource on earth in terms of the "modern economy." Meaning, that if you don't have it, you get off the merry-go-round.

Only, there IS no getting off the Merry-Go-Round.

So, you think the (ever-growing) masses of have-nots are just going to sit around moping?

In time, the ability to "afford oil" will include the ability to pay for increased security to protect the oil or gasoline that one has purchased. As more people get desperate for the thing that enables participation in the modern world, the more violence their will be to obtain that thing, both on the geo-political and local scale.

At some point there will be so many people confronted with "doing without" and so few people who have, that it's easy to imagine something less than an orderly textbook supply and demand scenario.

gphz

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sirrom', 'i') would just like to point out that there will be no widespread oil shortage in free market economies. what people forget is that if there is low supply the price will go up and demand will be reduced,so there will always be oil for those that can afford it.
User avatar
zeke
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 308
Joined: Fri 07 Dec 2007, 04:00:00
Top

Re: There will be no oil shortage in free market economies

Postby vision-master » Fri 07 Dec 2007, 11:01:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')they they just wouldn't have bought those luxerious Ipods they would have plenty to eat

ghhesh!

Well, to be fair most of sub-saharran africa can't exactly be thought of as free market economies.


Yes if they were a perfect free market all would be wonderful in sub-saharan africa. they would be driving convertibles, following the Brittany Spears scandal and exporting grain across the globe [smilie=laughing6.gif]. Heck they would probably be making the movies we watch instead of Hollywood. They brought it on themselves by not being enlightened!!!
[web]http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/02/world/africa/02malawi.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all&oref=slogin[/web]
What a great way to avoid the lesson because it is too harsh.


I kept getting re-directed to this nytimes login page when going to page 2 of this thread? I had to block nytimes from my browser. What's up with that?
vision-master
 
Top

The Free Market Debate

Postby phaster » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:12:04

There was an article in the LA times that caught my eye titled, "Americans may be losing faith in free markets."

http://www.latimes.com/news/la-na-losin ... 2010.story

just thought it would be interesting to have a poll and see what people here think about the idea of a free market.

Since I'm posting the question,here are my own thoughts on the subject...

Yup I do believe in the free market system, because like Churchill said, the free market is the worst form of an economic system except all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.

The way I see it is politicians and american public, want to have the the illusion that they present a face of living and working in a free market capitalist system, yet want the safety net of a socialist system. Take the recent blow up of fanny and freddy, these governemnt sponsored enterprises want it have it both ways, in that they trade shares on the open market, yet have the backing of the federal government for the express purpose of promoting american home ownership.

As I see it, the recient rise in gas and oil prices and the fall in stock prices of fanny and freedy, along with other the fall in stock prices of many other financial institutions, is an indication that the free market system is indeed working. In other words, I view the fall in stock prices and the rise in gas in gas/oil prices as indication that the economic system is responding naturally to an unsustatiable system, much akin to how nature is responding to damage caused by man to the natural environment.
truth is,...

www.ThereIsNoPlanet-B.org
User avatar
phaster
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 513
Joined: Sun 15 Jul 2007, 03:00:00

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby jlw61 » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:43:16

I fully support free and open markets. I do not support the current corporate system where corporations are entities unto themselves. Corporations serve an important and useful purpose regarding trade across governmental boundaries, but they should not have rights nor should they pay taxes. Corporations should simply be an umbrella organization that provides certain protections to the owners and creates a way to issue stock.

Individuals may have to pay taxes, but never coroprations. Nor should a corporation receive any kind of government largess.
When somebody makes a statement you don't understand, don't tell him he's crazy. Ask him what he means. -- Otto Harkaman, Space Viking
User avatar
jlw61
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 623
Joined: Mon 03 Sep 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Sunny Virginia, USA

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby Windmills » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:47:04

Give it time. The unemployment rate isn't nearly high enough to spark big changes. People will lose faith in this lesser-socialist market when the market drives them out of work. When unemployment starts to approach depression levels (and then surpasses them), we'll surely see a bit more socialism added to the picture.
Windmills
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 547
Joined: Tue 11 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Arizona, USA

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby CarlosFerreira » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:57:15

No, and by two orders of factors:

First, markets were never free. Richer countries finance their production, gaining advantage.

Second, "free" markets bring about inequality. Because of said financing of production, they place their products in poorer - and therefore, less financed - countries' markets, therefore destroying their production sector and rendering them virtually dependent.

As globalization starts fading, poorer countries will be left with a question: how do we MAKE things, again?
CarlosFerreira
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 734
Joined: Wed 02 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Canterbury, UK

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby emersonbiggins » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 11:58:50

If someone knows of a free market, tell me about it. I'd like to go see one in action sometime.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin
User avatar
emersonbiggins
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5150
Joined: Sun 10 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Dallas

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby Homesteader » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 12:09:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', 'I')f someone knows of a free market, tell me about it. I'd like to go see one in action sometime.


That is about the size of it. I didn't vote because I have never experienced a free market. Plenty of double-speak, code-word, lying, elitist privatize profits/socialize losses market but never a free market

I suppose a black market is the closest thing to a free market, so there is still hope.

8O
"The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays, is coming to a close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences…"
Sir Winston Churchill

Beliefs are what people fall back on when the facts make them uncomfortable.
User avatar
Homesteader
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1856
Joined: Thu 12 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Economic Nomad
Top

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby Tyler_JC » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 12:37:55

An economic recession is not a failure of a free market. It's a normal part of the business cycle.

There is nothing wrong with it!

Losing faith in the markets during a recession is like demanding never to be sick and then disowning modern medicine because you get the flu.

It's irrational and idiotic.

Any move to stop a recession WILL backfire and make the problem much worse in the long term.

We should have had a recession after the dot com bubble but thanks to 1% interest rates and Sub Prime Mortgages...we didn't get one.

Now we're going to have a major recession/depression because of the Fed's counter-recessionary move.
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Tyler_JC
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5438
Joined: Sat 25 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Boston, MA

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby eastbay » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 12:45:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', 'I')f someone knows of a free market, tell me about it. I'd like to go see one in action sometime.



The Philippines? That's about as close as you can get.
Got Dharma?

Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
User avatar
eastbay
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7186
Joined: Sat 18 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: One Mile From the Columbia River
Top

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby Canuk » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 12:51:40

The drug trade is essentially a free market - there are no government controls (other than banning) and there is free and open competition including removal of competitors. The cartels and organizations that work in it are examples of the market at work.
User avatar
Canuk
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 109
Joined: Fri 04 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Hamilton, Ontario, Canada

Re: losing faith in free markets?

Postby neocone » Wed 16 Jul 2008, 12:54:51

The commies are back... all is good when an excess of resources is what conquering a market means, but when the essence of competition implies concentrating means into the hands of the just, capable and dynamic away from the lazy, stupid and selfish, the later will whine all they can to keep possessions they don't deserve, by the very nature of their personalities.

Exhibit A: The housing mess. Stupid idiots taking on more houses than they need, and (governement backed) lending insitutions obliging, then whining like little girls when the "profits" they already spent and think are entitled too fail to materialize.

Meanwhile... true investors and real self made men can stomach a 500K loss in the stock market like a Man.

The population is a Gauss curve.. the top 1% will always be persecuted by the laggards.
Last edited by neocone on Wed 16 Jul 2008, 13:00:20, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
neocone
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 311
Joined: Sat 23 Sep 2006, 03:00:00

PreviousNext

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron