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Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Discuss research and forecasts regarding hydrocarbon depletion.

Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby pup55 » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 07:33:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')An acute shortage of petroleum products was looming last night as new tax measures introduced by Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) slowed down evacuation of products from depots


Business Daily Africa

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')RNEGY and Water Development Minister, Kenneth Konga, yesterday assured the nation that the Government was working hard to ensure that authorities start pumping the 60,000-tonnes crude oil from Tanzania to Zambia to end the fuel shortage that has hit parts of the country
.

AllAfrica

This situation in Zambia has been going on for weeks.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby static66 » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 19:09:02

Pup, I attended a relocalization meeting last night and most of them are unaware of the current geo-political happenings. Do you think we are starting our rapid descent right now? Have all the players taken their balls and gone home? (grabbed their oil positions and locked them up) I think so but these guys were looking at me as if I were absolutely insane.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby pup55 » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 23:02:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') attended a relocalization meeting last night and most of them are unaware of the current geo-political happenings.


This is not terribly surprising, if you think about it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')o you think we are starting our rapid descent right now?


No, I think we have been in a slow, painful descent since 1975.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ave all the players taken their balls and gone home? (grabbed their oil positions and locked them up) I think so


You might be right, but I think the different players have different motivations. The chinese appear to be locking up their positions and planning for the distant future. The US appears to be trying to grab as much for now as they can, without asking their population to sacrifice. Europe, no way to tell. Maybe some of both, except there is some effort to get people to conserve. Japan: trying to do deals, but definitely trying to retool their society. Their energy consumption has been dropping pretty substantially for the last several years.

Meanwhile, if you are in Africa, it is indeed the start of this so-called "rapid descent". This sort of situation will move up the food chain eventually.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')hese guys were looking at me as if I were absolutely insane
.

Maybe try dressing a little nicer next time.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby static66 » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 23:34:44

Sorry Pup, I'm in Vermont and if I dress any nicer they definetly will think I'm Insane! Thanks for the insight..
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby Revi » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 23:41:13

They might pay attention when it hits Vermont. Here's an article from Yahoo Business. Mainstream news has caught the bug:

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/071002/100_oil_ ... .html?.v=1
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 17:29:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'V')enezuela refinery outage prompts gasoline lines
Wed Oct 10, 2007 9:17pm BST

By Brian Ellsworth

CARACAS, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Venezuelans formed long lines on Wednesday to buy gasoline in a major provincial city after outages at a refinery prompted rare worries of supply shortages in one of the world's largest oil exporters.

Drivers in an area of at least 800,000 in and around the central city of Barquisimeto have waited up to 90 minutes to fill their tanks in lines dozens of cars long since late on Tuesday, residents said by telephone.

Gasoline supplies in the OPEC nation are a sensitive political issue for Venezuelans who are used to filling up cars for less than $2.


Reuters
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby sjn » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 19:38:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'V')enezuela refinery outage prompts gasoline lines
Wed Oct 10, 2007 9:17pm BST

By Brian Ellsworth

CARACAS, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Venezuelans formed long lines on Wednesday to buy gasoline in a major provincial city after outages at a refinery prompted rare worries of supply shortages in one of the world's largest oil exporters.

Drivers in an area of at least 800,000 in and around the central city of Barquisimeto have waited up to 90 minutes to fill their tanks in lines dozens of cars long since late on Tuesday, residents said by telephone.

Gasoline supplies in the OPEC nation are a sensitive political issue for Venezuelans who are used to filling up cars for less than $2.


Reuters

Lack of product availability on the spot market to cover for the outage, or just non-economical?
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 21:24:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'V')enezuela refinery outage prompts gasoline lines
Wed Oct 10, 2007 9:17pm BST

By Brian Ellsworth

CARACAS, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Venezuelans formed long lines on Wednesday to buy gasoline in a major provincial city after outages at a refinery prompted rare worries of supply shortages in one of the world's largest oil exporters.

Drivers in an area of at least 800,000 in and around the central city of Barquisimeto have waited up to 90 minutes to fill their tanks in lines dozens of cars long since late on Tuesday, residents said by telephone.

Gasoline supplies in the OPEC nation are a sensitive political issue for Venezuelans who are used to filling up cars for less than $2.


Reuters

Lack of product availability on the spot market to cover for the outage, or just non-economical?


I don't know the specifics about their refineries, but they have been putting out more very heavy oil. Refining heavy oil is more complicated, requiring greater temperatures and pressures, and subject to more frequent breakdowns.

Also after the tumultuous coup-anticoup period in Venezuela a few years back, a lot of oil industry management was fired.

I see this as an example of our post peak oil future - which apparently is starting now, like it or not.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby Leanan » Fri 12 Oct 2007, 09:57:16

Electricity Crisis in Syria

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ince early summer 2007, Syria has been suffering from a severe electricity crisis, the worst in many years. Recurring power outages last four to 10 hours a day, and this has obviously affected the lives of Syria's citizens, as well as causing serious damage to the Syrian economy.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby pup55 » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 19:10:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') source inside the Moscow Interregional Oil Union said Wednesday that local fuel reserves were down to three to four days' worth, Interfax reported.

A combination of short- and longer-term factors have led to wholesale prices rising close to market prices, the source said, meaning that companies could pass on the burden to drivers.


Russia (of all places)

Trinidad and Tobago (rich in natural gas, supposedly)


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') FUEL shortage has hit Gulu district, leading to a hike in transport fares. Motorists and boda boda cyclists on Tuesday morning queued at the Caltex station, the only station that had fuel.


Uganda

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ome transport companies are facing a reduced supply of diesel, due to a problem at Mobil's Altona refinery in Melbourne this week
.

Australia
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby pup55 » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 19:12:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')usty pipes have stopped deliveries of Mobil's unleaded premium petrol, forcing it to buy fuel from other companies to feed the market.

Mobil spokesman Alan Bailey on Thursday confirmed that delivery of unleaded premium petrol was suspended last Thursday after rust was found in piping at its Yarraville terminal


Australia
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby DantesPeak » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 21:35:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Analysts said the country's creaking infrastructure could mean that it would become a net importer of gasoline within the next few years.

Producing high-quality gasoline is a particular problem, TransCapital Bank analyst Nikolai Klyukin said.


!!!

It appears that Russia is joining the US, Canada, Europe, Venezuela, Aruba, Iran and other countries on the long list of those who are having more difficulty making gasoline from lower quality oil and/or have left their infrastructure rot over the years to save money.

But the question remains - if Russia, Mexicio, Iran, Iraq, Nigeria and some other OPEC countries are looking to increase gasoline imports, who exactly is going to provide the gasoline?
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby Leanan » Wed 24 Oct 2007, 12:02:12

Does anyone know what the heck is going on in Victoria?

Fuel shortage hits Victorian diesel stocks

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')roblems at the Altona refinery of Mobil Australia have crippled stocks of diesel in Victoria.

The refinery supplies not only Mobil customers but also rival BP, leaving many fuel outlets throughout the state without stocks of diesel.

Reports have begun to arrive of petrol stations closing diesel pumps because of a lack of the fuel.

While the exact nature of the problem is unclear, transport operators with on-site tanks say it is nearly a week since they received deliveries of fuel.


There have been several stories about this over the past few days, but no one seems to know what the problem is.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby Eli » Sun 28 Oct 2007, 23:39:11

Fuel Shortages in China

This article reports that China petrol stations are running low.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby DantesPeak » Sun 28 Oct 2007, 23:46:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', '[')url=http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20071028/wl_asia_afp/chinaenergyoil_071028105240]Fuel Shortages in China[/url]

This article reports that China petrol stations are running low.


China cut back some oil and oil product imports a month or so ago on the expectation that prices would fall later. Needless to say they were wrong, plus they now have less inventories than they need.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby bodigami » Tue 30 Oct 2007, 23:39:06

thanks all for the useful links...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'A')lbania: Blackouts to start again in September
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')tate power monopoly KESH reported recently that the country would suffer long blackout hours in September due to insufficient levels of domestic production and the lower levels of imports, which would not guarantee normal supply.

"We have a deficit of 800 millions KWh and this deficit will be covered by blackouts", a KESH official said.



what an interesting way to phrase it.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby IslandCrow » Thu 08 Nov 2007, 06:53:58

BBC: Bolivia

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ather and son, Pascual and Vidal Arellano grow soy and have more than 200 hectares of land ..... But these days they spend more time at petrol stations than in the fields.... Pascual Arellano says. "I expect to lose 40% of my crop this year."
...
Consecutive governments have spent more than $100m (£50m) a year on fuel subsidies, making Bolivia's diesel the cheapest in South America.

The subsidy helps to people in this country, which is South America's poorest.

But it also gives rise to contraband smuggling, which President Morales blames for the shortages.
.....
In the short term, Bolivia is importing diesel from neighbouring countries and Venezuela, and has militarised border petrol stations to stop diesel leaking out through smuggling.


Crop loss
High subsidies...misuse as a result (in this case smuggling)
Calling in the army.

Again this reflect the problem of policies that encourage fuel use through subsidies, but it also shows how fuel shortages play out and affect the wider society.
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby pup55 » Tue 13 Nov 2007, 21:38:15

Guyana


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ue to a shortage of fuel at the Guyoil Company at Heathburn, East Bank Berbice since last Wednesday a number of agricultural operations on the Corentyne have been affected.

Gas station owner, David Subnauth told Stabroek News yesterday that he checked at the company and was told that they were out of gasoline, diesel and kerosene. He said the boat that normally distributes fuel to Guyoil is not expected until next Wednesday.


oil=food


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')overnment will not intervene to stem the ongoing fuel crisis in the country, according to cabinet ministers. The crisis has led to increase of fuel prices at all petrol stations surveyed in the City of Kigali. Kerosene used by most Rwandans for lighting has hit an all time high of Frw570 from the previous Frw480.


Rwanda
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby shortonoil » Tue 27 Nov 2007, 17:11:33

This Asian Tiger is running out of gas. How long can China keep its needed growth under these circumstances, not long, I wouldn’t image.

China out of gas
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Re: Global Fuel Shortage Reports

Unread postby abelardlindsay » Thu 06 Dec 2007, 06:36:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', 'T')his Asian Tiger is running out of gas. How long can China keep its needed growth under these circumstances, not long, I wouldn’t image.

China out of gas


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The system is suffering from pressure of demand to sustain its economic growth at the current 11.5per cent - with China now the second-biggest consumer of oil after the US.

Diesel imports rose 46.5per cent in the first nine months of the year, compared with the same period last year.


I kept reading these crazy economic statistics coming out of China and wondered when the rubber was going to hit the road w/ regards to oil.
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