"Guest," Nigel, Matt, Jay et al.:
I see the "doomsday" crowds simply as opposition to the "Oil is forever" society.
Of the two, the "doomsday" crowd will be right one day, at least partialy, at least in some countries at a minimum.
Then there is the optimistic peak oil crowd. I see myself on the fringe of that.
I stradle the fence, and my testies are getting bruised!

think of that as a metaphor for the industrialized world.
How are we going to produce our way out of this one? That is how WWII and the "Great Depression" were swept away.
We cant do that w/ peak oil. No we will have to "do more with less."
It IS a fully survivable situation If everything comes together in correct order.
And that folks is what actualy scares me...maybe we will come to gether in "sweet harmony" or maybe we will start choking each other for the remaining oil as we are starting to do now.
Even then the "winner" of that oil is the long term looser unless they adapt. When they do that, they will loose less of their economy/society.
For me it is the them of "Peak Oil" how much of the oil age can we salvage and maybe even advance from? Of course the question has been proposed what we will advance to?
My answer is easy: MARS!
Sorry, we need a bit of humour.
No Ad Hominim attacks intended or desired.
[urlhttp://www.youtube.com/watchv=Ai4te4daLZs&feature=related[/url] "My soul longs for the candle and the spices. If only you would pour me a cup of wine for Havdalah...My heart yearning, I shall lift up my eyes to g-d, who provides for my needs day and night."