[shortonoil]

Recent studies released on global warming may make the whole problem of PO seem irrelevent:

http://www.sqwalk.com/blog/000235.html
http://www.zpenergy.com/modules.php?nam ... e&sid=1138

Then again this blog in Urban Survival today might mean next week is the deadline, not next decade:

From Urban Survival:

[i]"Up to the moment 333 earthquakes have been assessed with magnitudes equal or bigger than 4.0 grades. In the figure 1 shows himself so much the average number of seismic events and his magnitudes I mediate using windows of 25 events. In the last 24 hours an increase is observed both in the magnitude and in the average of the number of events (it figures 1), which can be interpreted as the continuity of the activity, since to indicate that the same one diminishes it would be necessary to observe a decrease in both parameters: magnitude and number of earthquakes."

"In the figure 2 shows himself the distribution of the number of events and his magnitudes using an interval of classes for his magnitudes of 0.2 grades and taking as the axis of the abscissas the top rim of the limit of classes. Since one can notice in the figure 2, the majority of events possess magnitudes about 4.3 grade (126 event seismic) and 23 % of events has presented magnitudes major than 4.5 grades (77 seismic events), the same ones that in the main have been strongly senses in several cities opposite to the End of the St Lawrence and the Saint's Peninsula Elena."

Then we chatted about what it means. First, it substantiates the viewpoint that I expressed over the past couple of weeks (see Past Issue). Second, there's more going on off the coast of Ecuador than is being picked up and reported. Thirdly, and based on an hour or so of number crunching I did yesterday, I expect the reported quake levels will rise from their present period of quiescence to sizeable levels in about a week's time.

Does this means another mega quake? Maybe, but the odds are too hard to calculate (I'm an MBA - not a trained geologist). Nevertheless, the trend of increasing quakes over time is apparent in the U.S.G.S. numbers when you back out "no magnitude events" and the reality of continuing tectonic movement around the Pacific Ring of Fire can not be denied. The question is not if this causes some impact on the U.S. mainland down the road, but rather when. There seems to be a 9 and 15-day cycle in quakes, so if the pattern I'm watching is real, look for big shaker news out 5-9 days from today.

More volcanoes have popped off in the last week than have popped off in all of 2004. The single volcano in New Guinea released more sulfuric and carbon dioxide (not steam) gases than all the volcanoes of 2004. The release was so big according to Russian sources that it disturbed the upper atmosphere.

Although we can’t reveal the actual contents of the www.halfpasthuman.com web bot run which is just wrapping up, we can report that the number of languages in which people discussed “noises coming from deep within the earthâ€

[MikeB]

"Urban Survival" recently published the "results" of a "survey" showing that there was an inordinate number of persons who visit that website who experienced "RINGING IN THE EARS" before the Great Quake in Indonesia. This was published with great fanfare.

I give them little credibility.

[shortonoil]

Is this report:
Meeting The Climate Challenge
also lacking credibility?

[MikeB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s this report:
Meeting The Climate Challenge
also lacking credibility?

[shortonoil]

"More volcanoes have popped off in the last week than have popped off in all of 2004."

The Indo quake was a magnitude 9+

Semic activity all along the Pacific Ring is bizarre.

And your concern is a more reputable source?

[BabyPeanut]

http://www.es.ucsc.edu/~ward/papers/La_Palma_grl.pdf

Just look at the pictures on that PDF to get an idea of what unexploded bombs sit aimed at the US.

[27010]

MikeB wrote

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"Urban Survival" recently published the "results" of a "survey" showing that there was an inordinate number of persons who visit that website who experienced "RINGING IN THE EARS" before the Great Quake in Indonesia. This was published with great fanfare.

I give them little credibility.
..............................................

A bit like this site then........

[Ludi]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')ho experienced "RINGING IN THE EARS"

[EnviroEngr]

Okay then...

How's this for tautological irony:
http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/10 ... index.html

[pilferage]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnviroEngr', 'O')kay then...

How's this for tautological irony:
http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/10 ... index.html

[EnviroEngr]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P').S. -- You wouldn't happen to know what the active lifespan of a CO2 molecule is versus your average particulate's lifespan?

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnviroEngr', 'O')kay then...

How's this for tautological irony:
http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/10 ... index.html

[MonteQuest]

Get this...
Fossil fuels - atmospheric and crustal displacement


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Earth is beginning to go through tremendous geophysical and climatic upheavals, and the evidence is mounting. Many levels of environmental displacement are taking place. On one level, the pumping of fossil fuels in massive quantities from the crust of the Earth is causing the weight of the planet's surface mass to change dramatically. The balance of surface mass is changing so fast that weather patterns must change radically and rapidly as nature makes a desperate attempt to keep the planet balanced.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pilferage', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnviroEngr', 'O')kay then...

How's this for tautological irony:
http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/10 ... index.html

[aldente]

After reading the two links on runaway "feedback-loop" greenhouse effect it seems truly irrelevant how we judge current affairs. There are two routes to go: Number one: Olduvai and Jay Hansons "dieoff"
Number two: get spiritual. I am alway struck by people like David Hawkins who seemingly is untouchable by anything
http://veritaspub.com/

[MonteQuest]

Here's the report mentioned in the initial post article:

MEETING THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE
CHANGE TASKFORCE

http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/{E9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03}/CLIMATECHALLENGE.PDF

[shortonoil]

There have recently been two papers published in Nature regarding the potential danger of a methane hydrate release.

http://www.nature.com/nature/links/021212/021212-3.html

Could someone with access to these articles please summarize the abstracts?

I realize that methane hydrate is a dodecahedral structure that is held together by van de Waals forces. This undountly makes it very weak in shear. I am wondering if massive MH release is expected to come from the failure of MH structures overlaying free methane deposits, or some unkown characteristic of the methane hydrate phase properties. This NOAA methane hydrate phase diagram:

http://oceanexplorer.noaa.gov/explorati ... agram.html

indicates to me that perhaps not much was not known about the phase transition at 0 deg C.

Any help would be greately appreciated.

[khebab]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', 'T')here have recently been two papers published in Nature regarding the potential danger of a methane hydrate release.

http://www.nature.com/nature/links/021212/021212-3.html

Could someone with access to these articles please summarize the abstracts?