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A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby alecifel » Wed 14 Nov 2007, 17:53:33

Subject: how to demonstrate the Hubbert Curve at wal-mart.

I was reminescing on the multiple ways I have devised over the years to erode my spouse's sanity. One of them has been the singing toy aisle at Wal Mart, with whatever flavor of the month "press here" is selling. (this month it was pigs in various Elvis and other outfits.) I like to turn on about a dozen of them until it sounds like something from a steven king movie.

To demonstrate the peak oil concept: gather together a good number of singing toys. Different ones are good because they're distinct and have different act lengths. A dozen or two is a good number, you can use a Billy the Singing Bass to represent Gawhar (long song). Sort of like different sizes of oil fields. Then start turning them on, one at a time. The sound will literraly make a bell curve on the "annoyance" scale. For the record, my wife's angry faces are most amusing at the point of peak singing.

Which goes to show, it is irrelevant what a field's decline rate is. If an oil field were like a tank, where you could turn it on and deplete it at a fixed rate, there would still be a Hubbert curve and a peak. (although albeit with sharper curves) The toys play their little blathers at a constant rate.. from start to stop.

1: no toys are singing.
2: more toys are not singing than singing.
3: all toys are singing.
4: most toys are singing, but some are finished.
5: about half the toys have stopped singing.
6: more toys have stopped than are still singing.
7: all the toys are done.

File this under general silliness.
Nick J. Allen
Hilton, Oklahoma

"The Chinese have many hells. This one is the hell of valueless currency." -- J. Albertson
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby Cornelian » Wed 14 Nov 2007, 18:09:14

You're still alive? Your spouse has the patience of a saint. :)
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby steam_cannon » Thu 15 Nov 2007, 01:27:43

I love it!!! :lol:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('alecifel', '.')..my wife's angry faces are most amusing at the point of peak singing.
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby stepka » Thu 15 Nov 2007, 22:47:39

If I were your wife, I would get some of those blasting caps, and tape them under the toilet seat just before it was time for your morning
sh*%. In hopes you would never pull that one again. :razz:
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Fri 16 Nov 2007, 02:03:21

Hey, it's a mathematical theorem in calculus. You don't need to buy any Wallymart junk.

I can't remember the name of the Theorem, but I can go look for my calculus textbook in the basement if anyone's interested.
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby Smudger » Fri 16 Nov 2007, 04:55:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', 'H')ey, it's a mathematical theorem in calculus. You don't need to buy any Wallymart junk.

I can't remember the name of the Theorem, but I can go look for my calculus textbook in the basement if anyone's interested.


er.....
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby Duende » Mon 19 Nov 2007, 10:59:13

alecifel wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o demonstrate the peak oil concept: gather together a good number of singing toys.

Genius.
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby RedStateGreen » Mon 19 Nov 2007, 21:33:31

:lol: :lol: :lol:

Peak oil is like drinking an Icee.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('efarmer', '&')quot;Taste the sizzling fury of fajita skillet death you marauding zombie goon!"

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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby alecifel » Tue 20 Nov 2007, 10:53:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I were your wife, I would get some of those blasting caps, and tape them under the toilet seat just before it was time for your morning
sh*%. In hopes you would never pull that one again.


Of course, she would never do such a thing. She did line the inside of a pair of my boxers with straight pins once, so there are limits to what I can get away with.
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Hilton, Oklahoma

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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby Doly » Thu 29 Nov 2007, 08:25:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('alecifel', 'S')ubject: how to demonstrate the Hubbert Curve at wal-mart.


There is a technical name for this: it's called the Central Limit Theorem. Add together enough curves that grow and decline, and you will get a Gaussian bell.
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Re: A simple way to demonstrate the Peak Oil curve

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 27 Dec 2007, 04:17:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('alecifel', 'S')ubject: how to demonstrate the Hubbert Curve at wal-mart.


There is a technical name for this: it's called the Central Limit Theorem. Add together enough curves that grow and decline, and you will get a Gaussian bell.


That's over-complicated, it's really just the "what goes up must come down theorem". Darned if I can remember the official name of it. Weirstrass-somebody-whosis?
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