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How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awareness

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awareness

Postby daniel347 » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 19:39:39

I found out about peak oil a couple of years ago by typing "end of the world" into google as a joke. i think most people just dont encounter any information about peak oil. i had a teacher in my environmental science class who I think was concerned about these kind of issues, but I think most people just dont know. I would like to spread awareness, by printing out letters and mailing them to local mp's or just putting them up somewhere. Can anyone help me with this by pointing me to something I can print out and send to people? surely people are going to take notice at 100 a barrel.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Gazzatrone » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 19:53:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('daniel347', 'I') found out about peak oil a couple of years ago by typing "end of the world" into google as a joke. i think most people just dont encounter any information about peak oil. i had a teacher in my environmental science class who I think was concerned about these kind of issues, but I think most people just dont know. I would like to spread awareness, by printing out letters and mailing them to local mp's or just putting them up somewhere. Can anyone help me with this by pointing me to something I can print out and send to people?


Saying writing to MP's makes me believe you are from the UK. If so then I urge you to do the following.

Don't waste your time with government. My local MP at the time (and believe still is) was the actual Minister for Energy, when I sent him an email asking about Peak Oil and declining oil production. As I also wrote to all three leaders of the main political parties in the UK. I am still waiting for a reply for my "local M.P", The Prime Minister (who isn't anymore), and Menzies Campbell who again isn't there anymore. I did get a reply from David Cameron who stated he "was aware of the problems of oil depletion". But as his caveat to this was to state that running out of oil would be good thing for the environment, I could see how his cards fell.

If your letter of concern is about Green issues then expect a reply. If not, then like I said. Don't bother.

Your best course of action is to start with family and friends. Convert them and they too can hopefully spread the word. Although I have to admit there is no real "word" to spread as people are going to find out very soon about the real problems of Peak Oil.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daniel347', 'S')urely people are going to take notice at 100 a barrel.


You'd think! Unfortunately most carry around with them that oh so handy piece of the petrochemical industry around with them. Yep that's right, the plastic piggy bank or as we best know it the Credit Card.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby daniel347 » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 20:23:15

Thanks for the reply :) Actually I am from australia. I think I will buy some good books about peak oil and get the people I know to read them.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby americandream » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 21:25:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('daniel347', 'T')hanks for the reply :) Actually I am from australia. I think I will buy some good books about peak oil and get the people I know to read them.


Good luck with your (fruitless) endeavours. You will soon discover who your friends are.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Cornelian » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 21:53:40

As an Australian, I am here to tell you that people simply don't want to know. Oh, they may be aware of the concept of PO., but the implications? How it may affect their lives? Never. It is not as if a gigantic light bulb is going to go off, or anything. People implicitly believe that things will always stay the same, if not get better. No one is going to move out of their comfort zone. They just will not - read refuse - to get it.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Judgie » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 22:09:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('daniel347', 'T')hanks for the reply :) Actually I am from australia. I think I will buy some good books about peak oil and get the people I know to read them.


Whereabouts in Australia?
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby daniel347 » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 22:21:10

tasmania.

I just sent an email to bob brown. Hope he replies.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Cornelian » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 22:24:07

I am sure Bob's staff have a lovely standard email ready for you. :)

A snail mail letter is always better than an email. It means that you care more, have more commitment, and are interested and sincere enough to take out the little bit of extra time.

But the politicians of Australia are not yet ready to suddenly jump up and down about it because the general Australian public don't give a red rat's arse at the moment. They want tax cuts and more air conditioning, please.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby billp » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 22:26:39

I learned about peak oil from chemistry teacher Mr Agerter in 1956.

I thought peak oil may have occurred in 1972-73 when I was on sabbatical leave in computer science at UI.

Wrong.

Then I thought that peak oil was in about 1980. I failed to anticipate Prudoe Bay and North Sea oil fields.

Wrong again.

But I may have some insight into happened in 1980.

So let's see what happens next.

I, of course, have been wrong about oil futures before and don't know what's going to happen next. So I'm prepared to be wrong again. HOPEFULLY!

So we're off to essential non-gas-wasting travel to pheasant hunt in Kansas on Friday November 2, 2007. Like we did in 2006.


regards
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby daniel347 » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 23:31:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cornelian', 'I') am sure Bob's staff have a lovely standard email ready for you. :)

A snail mail letter is always better than an email. It means that you care more, have more commitment, and are interested and sincere enough to take out the little bit of extra time.

But the politicians of Australia are not yet ready to suddenly jump up and down about it because the general Australian public don't give a red rat's arse at the moment. They want tax cuts and more air conditioning, please.


Thanks for that advice.
Hello to a fellow tasmanian!
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby thuja » Thu 01 Nov 2007, 23:40:25

Hey all my rellies live in Tas-

My aunt was a Green MP for a while- Tas is a great place to be post-peak and with climate change happening. Get yourself connected with your Green brethren- they are legion there. Get some hard assets if you can- land, home, stove, gold, silver, garden, etc- anything tangible and useful. Learn skills- carpentry, rainwater catchment, farming, sheep raising (big there), plumbing, composting toilet building, on and on and on...Good luck- if you run into my cousins- tell them I may see them on the big Steamer ship if my country gets into a nuclear war...
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Micki » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 01:04:26

Daniel.
The senate did a study on PO and concluded it is likely to happen 2020. I would say they are aware but hoping that sticking the head in the sand will fix the problem.
The only one who is taking this seriously is McNamara (Labour) up in Hervey bay. Like to remember he is now part of a QLD energy study group.

Some chat with McNamara after four corners PO show can be found here;
Four corners

Why not try hassling current affair shows to take up the subject?
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Concerned » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 05:41:44

Hahahahahaha spreading awareness.

I tell you when people will become PO aware.... when the sign on a good chunk of gas/petrol bowser's says "out of gas"

I spoke today with a work friend about potential future hardships regards declining energy supply oil, gas and even coal.

I was not so much rebuffed but in general conversation told about the great hope of technology and then an addendum about going to Mars.

Seriously and I work in the IT field, this female person I was talking with is really clever too on the tech side of things, but good lord as soon as going to Mars came up I mean whats the point....

"out of gas" thats when people will get it. Unfortunately it will be a low point of begining mitigation strategy.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Nano » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 06:40:46

Here's some advice from a peak oil debating freak with experience:

It's all about showing how the alternatives are not up to the challenge, particularely biofuels.

I find that I can get most people to agree that the hydrogen economy is a no-go for at least a coupleof decades, but there are still a number of otherwise very intelligent people in my circle who insist that we can 'switch to biofuels within the year' if needed. So my primary focus is on debunking biofuels in order to get peak oil recognised. In this regard, a number of usefull reports have comeout these last few months, from the UN and the EU research groups. Use those reports to drive the message home. Once people accept peak oil and recognise the poverty of the hydrogen 'silver-bullit' you can proceed to smackdown by exposing the senseless and destructive horror of the biofuels rush.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby yeahbut » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 07:32:02

Yup, it really is remarkably hard to get most people to think seriously about PO. I've been giving intermittent lectures to the poor bastard I work with for about 3 months now and I'm still not far past where I started. I consider the difficulty that most people have engaging with the issues of PO to be one of the most perplexing things about the whole subject. I mean how can it be that climate change, something so huge and vague and long term(qualities that usually cause immediate mental shutdown in most sapiens), has caught the public imagination and is mentioned constantly in the public arena? I mean, I don't know what it's like elsewhere but here in New Zealand one of the perennial news items and watercooler topics is the price of gas at the pump, and the time frame on PO seems to be well within that selfish 5-10 year window that motivates all but the most dull-witted of humans, and yet-for most people-nothing!
I guess the other thing I'd mention is: beware of the monte_quest syndrome, that is browbeating your victim to a point of hopeless depression and inertia-a state just as useless as ignorance...
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby aflurry » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 13:19:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nano', '
')It's all about showing how the alternatives are not up to the challenge, particularely biofuels.


This is exactly it. Though biofuels are just the politics du jour. last year you would have said "particularly hydrogen"

The magical idea of alternative fuels awaiting their day in the sun (...ahem...) prevents people from looking this thing in the face. At least here in the USA it's funny how this tendency neatly dovetails with pre-existing political and social ideologies on both the right and the left. PO hits them all with a curve ball.

The lefties are used to the stance of disenfranchisement. They see powerful oligarchs always manipulating economics at the expense of the poor. And while this is always true, it is not the claim of Peak Oil. It's funny to me to hear my fellow lefties screeching about how gas prices are being manipulated by the oil companies. I agree that it will be tragic that the poor are hit harder and quicker by this thing than the rich... but that's kind of built into the definition of "being poor." Alternative fuels must exist as proof of the decrepitude of the powerful, locked in a warehouse along with the fairy queen bound and gagged, the male contraceptive pill, cold fusion, zero point generators, orgone accumulators, the greys, and everything we wish were true but is not.

The right of course is dominated by this evangelical belief in the manifestation of heaven on earth as embodied by Imperial America. Since nature is subservient to God, and God is subservient to POTUS, the rise of alternatives is the literal deus ex machina, and proof of grace and the rapture and that all along We Have Been Right.

None of this has anything at all to do with the simple geological claim of PO, which is completely indifferent to those hard fought identities.

But honestly, when the PO aware get their panties in a twist about spreading the word, I always kind of shrug my shoulders. Why? We are so late in the game that general awareness, far from being helpful, will just open the door for all kind of panic profiteering and opportunism, or at least a series of shooting of ourselves in or own feet.

I was in an argument about that "who killed the electric car" movie. My basic position was "The electric car is some worthless bullshit." And my fellow lefty friend was all in a huff saying, "well, what? should we just sit back and do nothing???!"

And I kind of think, Yes, that is exactly what we should do. Things should get as painful and inconvenient as possible as quickly as possible so if it is at all possible to come through this with anything left we'll get as much of a running start as we can. Of course, that pain really should have started 30 or 40 years ago.

The only way conservation will occur is if conservation is the path of least resistance.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Ludi » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 15:19:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aflurry', ' ')And my fellow lefty friend was all in a huff saying, "well, what? should we just sit back and do nothing???!"



This is what I call the "Knee-deep in horse shit" response. When you say something like suggest the internal combustion engine wasn't the greatest idea as it turns out, the person responds "Well, what? You want us to be knee-deep in horse shit???!"


No, actually, I'd like us to carefully think through the problem and come up with some practical and workable solutions. And the solution to peak oil, to a large extent, is to not rush around trying to continue our way of life by finding a replacement to oil, but instead, as aflurry puts it "do nothing" to continue our current way of life, but let that way of life end, and try something else.
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby Gazzatrone » Sat 03 Nov 2007, 09:07:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('billp', 'I') learned about peak oil from chemistry teacher Mr Agerter in 1956.

I thought peak oil may have occurred in 1972-73 when I was on sabbatical leave in computer science at UI.

Wrong.

Then I thought that peak oil was in about 1980. I failed to anticipate Prudoe Bay and North Sea oil fields.

Wrong again.

But I may have some insight into happened in 1980.

So let's see what happens next.

I, of course, have been wrong about oil futures before and don't know what's going to happen next. So I'm prepared to be wrong again. HOPEFULLY!

So we're off to essential non-gas-wasting travel to pheasant hunt in Kansas on Friday November 2, 2007. Like we did in 2006.


regards


I think they call it "third time lucky" although with regard to P.O then I'm sure where the phrase came from and its original meaning will be more apt.

(Apparently "third time lucky" or "three time's a charm" comes from the trenches of the Great War, where the third lighting of a cigarette meant certain doom from German sniper fire.)
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Re: How I found out about peak oil and spreading PO awarenes

Postby vfr » Mon 31 Dec 2007, 21:06:09

I wrote a paper on overpopulation that lead to global warming that lead to peak oil that lead to peak NG that lead to peak water and peak food.

V
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