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Impending Credit Market Supercriticality?

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Impending Credit Market Supercriticality?

Unread postby roccman » Sun 28 Oct 2007, 21:31:44

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his bet is more akin to "The Fed loses control entirely and Effective Fed Funds trades radically higher irrespective of what Bernanke does, because nobody trusts anyone anymore - not even overnight."

In other words, this bet is one that the credit markets will go supercritical.
"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
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Re: Impending Credit Market Supercriticality?

Unread postby firestarter » Sun 28 Oct 2007, 22:11:16

Thanks, roc.

I can't stand Denninger, and avoid him like the plague, but if he's correct here I'm heading for the hills.



ps, I have a Sun Trust bank informant (MBS off-loader to Wall Street) who tells me that the MBS market is worse than ever, and that he believes a credit event of uncommon proportions is literally around the corner.

I'm nervous!
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Re: Impending Credit Market Supercriticality?

Unread postby Cloud9 » Mon 29 Oct 2007, 07:37:42

Ah, the chickens may come home to roost after all.
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Re: Impending Credit Market Supercriticality?

Unread postby roccman » Mon 29 Oct 2007, 09:55:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cloud9', 'A')h, the chickens may come home to roost after all.


oh yes...best strap on the helmet today.

Here is the data - 15% !!!!

Pigmen don't even trust their own...

Wonder what happens when farmer can't get loans....

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"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
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Re: Impending Credit Market Supercriticality?

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 29 Oct 2007, 10:30:50

Perhaps Bernanke will finally be forced into doing the right thing, which is to raise interest rates, and wring some of the flab out of the system.

I forget now who posted it in the economics forum, but several months ago this was suggested as the reason that Volcker had to increase the interest rates back in 1979-1980: The market got ahead of him and forced him to do the right thing.

The result was a hell of a recession, in the 1981-1983 time frame, 17% mortgage rates, and a lot of pain. The young whippersnappers on this forum were in diapers during this time frame.

I will have to dust off my disco ball, and see if my high-heeled shoes and leisure suits still fit.

Edit:

http://peakoil.com/fortopic26033-0.html

The potential winner is firestarter, who outlined this in January.
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