[Carlhole]

http://www.peakoilwhen.org/
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PeakOilwhen.org', ' ')The PeakOilWhen Initiative
Purpose: To develop a Global Best Estimate for the timing of Global Peak Oil in order to leverage the powers that be into a decisive remedial action.

Method: An aggressive outreach to oil-thoughtful people everywhere, extracting their wisdom in an integratable way, integrating those opinions through a scientific, results-neutral methodology; completely transparent, totaly exposed to critique and indepedent evaluation.

Tool: BiPSA: Binary Polling Scenrio Analysis. A scientifically sanctioned procedure developed by Dr. Gideon Samid, head of the Innovation Appraisal Group at The Department of Chemical Engineering at Case Western Reserve University. Please read: http://www.peakoilwhen.org/Report_oct07.pdf

[Nicholai]

700 million automobiles
34-54 barrels of oil required to produce each vehicle
84 million barrels of consumption per day
= 24 billion barrels of oil to change our entire automotive sector
= 283 days worth of oil consumption to do this (if input costs remain unchanged and growth in the automotive industry is unaccounted).

Yeah we should be fine.

[Ludi]

I guess I wonder why they think they would be able to leverage the powers that be with a best estimate. If someone told them "now" or "last year" would that leverage the powers that be into remedial action?


I somehow doubt it....