by BobWallace » Thu 18 Oct 2007, 22:07:10
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JEMASCOLA', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BobWallace', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JEMASCOLA', 'I') think that civilization will collapse and that many people will die, but I do not think that humans will be extinct.
By "civilization collapse" do you mean that we will return to caves, cook our food over campfires, and no longer perform Mozart or do you mean that we will no longer commute solo in our SUVs?
In the long run, I don't think we will necessarily return to caves, but I don't think that we will live in a Jetsonesque future that many picture it to be. After the last few of us escape environmental disasters, riots, etc., it will be rough getting back on our feet again, so many of us will likely be impoverished. I do think that after we have a chance to clean up our mess and get things stable again, we will probably live similar to the way we did in the 1800s. Assuming resources were avaliable, we would probably have some slight technological advance over the 1800s era (not necessarily in the way of computers, though). However, I seriously doubt that any developed society will come close to what we have now.
For the future, I think we should perhaps live closer together and rely more heavily on mass transit. Additionally, I think that it would be ideal if the global population were far below 6.5 billion people (perhaps 1-2 billion at the most).
Slight technological advances over the 1800s?
You have any idea what life was like in the 1800s? Or even in 1900? Or 1950?
There's no way in hell that we're going back to reading by oil lamps or even B&W TVs.
We won't abandon the information that we have accumulated to date. Nor will we abandon things like computers. To think so is just silly.
Obviously the world would be much better off with fewer people. We've over satisfied the commandment to "Go forth and multiply" or whatever it was.
We're likely, actually people in less likely and drier parts of the world are likely, to have some rough times ahead. People will most likely have to migrate to more hospitable climes and lots will suffer and die in the process.
But there's little reason why we won't make an eventual transition to a post-petroleum world.
Rather than let yourself get bummed out by the upcoming "end of the world" (which gets forecast every decade or so) spend some time getting up to speed on what we can do
right now with "green" energy and conservation. That's what will pull us through in the US and elsewhere.