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THE Dubai Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Dubai's Foreign Investments are as bad as their Domestic

Postby mos6507 » Thu 23 Aug 2007, 07:13:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mekrob', 'S')o it appears that Dubai is going from investing in short-term, illogical buildings and systems in the middle of a desert to investing in short-term, illogical buildings and systems in the middle of another desert.

Bloomberg

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ubai agreed to pay as much as $5.1 billion for a 9.5 percent stake in MGM Mirage and half of the Las Vegas casino owner's biggest development, giving controlling shareholder Kirk Kerkorian a partner as MGM expands into real estate.


Why can't they be like their neighbors to the west (Abu Dhabi)?


Some of these muslim countries seem to value money over Islamic laws:

http://youngmuslims.ca/ymfn/archive_display.asp?ID=274
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Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby Bas » Wed 17 Oct 2007, 21:47:10

And probably the most unsustainable place in the world, none the less an intruiging phenemenon. Here's a very interesting article about the place that I enjoyed alot. (I'm only quoting a small part of it, but I assure you it's well worth to read the entire thing)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Dubai: Sinister Paradise

Image

The narration begins: As your jet starts its descent, you are glued to your window. The scene below is astonishing: a 24-square-mile archipelago of coral-colored islands in the shape of an almost finished puzzle of the world. In the shallow green waters between continents, the sunken shapes of the Pyramids of Giza and the Roman Coliseum are clearly visible.

In the distance are three other large island groups configured as palms within crescents and planted with high-rise resorts, amusement parks, and a thousand mansions built on stilts over the water. The "Palms" are connected by causeways to a Miami-like beachfront chock-a-block full of mega-hotels, apartment high-rises and yacht marinas.

As the plane slowly banks toward the desert mainland, you gasp at the even more improbable vision ahead. Out of a chrome forest of skyscrapers (nearly a dozen taller than 1000 feet) soars a new Tower of Babel. It is an impossible one-half-mile high: the equivalent of the Empire State Building stacked on top of itself.

You are still rubbing your eyes with wonderment and disbelief when the plane lands and you are welcomed into an airport emporium where hundreds of shops seduce you with Gucci bags, Cartier watches, and one-kilogram bars of solid gold. You make a mental note to pick up some duty-free gold on your way out.

The hotel driver is waiting for you in a Rolls Royce Silver Seraph. Friends have recommended the Armani Hotel in the 160-story tower or the seven-star hotel with an atrium so huge that the Statue of Liberty would fit inside, but instead you have opted to fulfill a childhood fantasy. You always have wanted to be Captain Nemo in Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea.



Dubai: Sinister Paradise
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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby Kingcoal » Thu 18 Oct 2007, 10:54:46

Perhaps a vision of the future. Freehold "ownership," indentured servitude, all in the service of the rich. We've come a long way.
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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby emersonbiggins » Thu 18 Oct 2007, 19:34:24

Dubai = Moon Base for the technologically inhibited civilization

There will be no interstellar travel for the rich & famous, so this dystopia will have to do.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby mekrob » Thu 18 Oct 2007, 19:52:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'P')erhaps a vision of the future. Freehold "ownership," indentured servitude, all in the service of the rich. We've come a long way.


Indentured servitude? Are those the new words for "slavery"? It's truly a shame what happens in Dubai actually stays in Dubai as these reports are scarce in the West. It occurs in other wealthy Gulf states as well, although the demographic dynamic in Dubai leads to a much more abusive system on a wider scale.

Unfortunately, this city, and the problems with it, will live far longer than NY or LA or London for the simple fact that as time moves along, the rich will get richer and the poor poorer. If you were a multi-millionaire or billionaire, would you stay in this hell-hole or move to a "nicer" place, at least for vacations? You'll need a place to get away from all of the race, gas, food, water and job riots in the US. And we all know how self-centered these fucks are, so what's a better way to say "Fuck you" to the starving masses than to live in a hotel in the world's largest building and then ski in the desert?
I want to put out the fires of Hell, and burn down the rewards of Paradise. They block the way to God. I do not want to worship from fear of punishment or for the promise of reward, but simply for the love of God. - Rabia
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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby Kingcoal » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 01:59:47

Slavery is a term generally used to describe people who are forced into the condition. Indentured Servitude is a term used to describe a form of voluntary slavery. People sign their rights away in a contract which has a time limit. After the contract expires, the person is free to go, however, during tenure of the contract; the person is under special jurisdiction which includes restricted freedoms, i.e., slavery. It was popular in the early days of the US.

The only difference between Dubai and the western world is that we in the west find slavery distasteful, so we buy from other countries who use it to produce cheap products. What's the difference?
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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby rockdoc123 » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 11:01:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you were a multi-millionaire or billionaire, would you stay in this hell-hole or move to a "nicer" place, at least for vacations?

For westerner billionaires it would not be an attractive place but Arab elite love this place....shopping is their idea of recreation. Wander into any mall in this part of the world and you'll have a tough time getting anywhere....a bit like Bond Street station at 5:30 PM. The male youth of the Arab billionaires are the worst, I suspect some of them spend their entire days at high end malls. The only difference between them and western youth is the latter might spend a few dollars on jeans and a donair whereas the former would think nothing about dropping 20 grand on a solid gold rolex. Certainly the worlds centre of consumer waste.

As to the indentured servitude it is less obvious in Dubai than it is in Qatar. In Doha, which is growing fast in catch up efforts with Dubai, all of the construction crews are from India or Pakistan. There is a law that forbids people laboring outside when the temperature rises above 43 degrees (I think it's 43 but it might be 45). I've never seen a day when it is 50 degrees when there weren't just as many asian construction workers toiling away. Basically if they refuse to work they get fired by their Qatari boss who for one reason or another (can you say baksheesh?) doesn't worry about the laws.
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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby mekrob » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 15:44:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')lavery is a term generally used to describe people who are forced into the condition. Indentured Servitude is a term used to describe a form of voluntary slavery.


So if slavery is forced labor, then how can there be any form of voluntary slavery? Besides, aren't many, if not most, of these people that conduct such "contracts" "forced" into that situation anyway by external forces such as corrupt governments that are supported by large, consuming nations (US, China, Europe, India, etc) that push them into dire economic situations which essentially forces them to take the contract? It's not at the muzzle of a gun or blade of a knife, but starvation is just as good a weapon as either, if not better.

And given the conditions of the future of the world, especially in very poor nations or at least nations with large poor populations (Pakistan, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India, Bangladesh, etc), the conditions of said "voluntary forced labor" will amount to nothing more than outright slavery as the workers will not want to work for only a few years, but their entire lives to be able to feed their starving families. So while it may not be old-fashioned slavery, it practically amounts to it as indentured servitude, as I'm sure it's billed to the "servants", is not what it's advertised as, not now and not in the future.

There will also be future markets for outright slavery in these parts of the world (perhaps even in the good ol' USA) as people will have no problem kidnapping their neighbors and shipping them off to other nations for a cup of rice and water, as we already have seen in this article, seen as the prostitutes (another facet of the slavery term I was pointing at).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')For westerner billionaires it would not be an attractive place but Arab elite love this place....shopping is their idea of recreation.


Well, You would know (in that you've been to these places). But there will still be oil for a while, which will allow this city to thrive for at least a little while. Someone will get some use out of this city.
I want to put out the fires of Hell, and burn down the rewards of Paradise. They block the way to God. I do not want to worship from fear of punishment or for the promise of reward, but simply for the love of God. - Rabia
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Re: Dubai: An entire city for the world's rich and famous.

Postby Bas » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 16:29:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o if slavery is forced labor, then how can there be any form of voluntary slavery? Besides, aren't many, if not most, of these people that conduct such "contracts" "forced" into that situation anyway by external forces such as corrupt governments that are supported by large, consuming nations (US, China, Europe, India, etc) that push them into dire economic situations which essentially forces them to take the contract? It's not at the muzzle of a gun or blade of a knife, but starvation is just as good a weapon as either, if not better.


starvation indeed is a better weapon, as it makes people submit voluntarily, in contrast to slavery in America in the 19th century when land was given away (and slaves knew that it would be easy to make their own living if they got some) it is getting harder and harder to obtain land these days, and with the breakdown of traditional societies, people, especially from poor and densily populated areas in asia have no choice to go into indentured servitude.

Coming back to Dubai; I really wonder how long this utterly unsustainable city will last; it might be failing as soon as ten years from now, though if it really does become a sort of haven for the rich and famous of the world in uncertain times it might last until the rising sealevels sinks the city as if it was Atlantis.
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Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby Graeme » Mon 24 Dec 2007, 20:12:40

Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ubai crude, a benchmark for Asian refiners, will likely be traded at an average price of $77.50 (roughly 72,811 won) per barrel next year, though the price could sporadically surge beyond the $100 mark, according to the country’s state-run oil firm Monday.

In a report on the outlook for 2008 oil prices, the Korea National Oil Corporation (KNOC) predicted that the price of Dubai crude would move between $70 and $85 in the first half of next year and between $70 and $80 in the latter half.


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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby Denny » Tue 25 Dec 2007, 01:09:07

Well I guess this Korean agency has a lot of optimism, If they think they have the inside track on oil futures, they should be selling them! Unfortunately, the NYMEX doesn't share their optimism, it says in late 2008, oil will range between $89 and $90 a barrel.

Could it just be that an importing country finds it useful to create the illusion that oil prices will fall?
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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby joewp » Tue 25 Dec 2007, 02:33:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Denny', '
')Could it just be that an importing country finds it useful to create the illusion that oil prices will fall?


Ya think? :P

Christian Science Monitor

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')New York - Many energy experts are predicting that the price of oil will fall in 2008 from its current level of about $93 a barrel.

Behind the predictions: a slowing US economy and stronger production from both OPEC and non-OPEC sources. In addition, tensions with Iran seem to have eased somewhat, and the supply of oil from northern Iraq appears to be better. Increased production of ethanol and biodiesel will also help.

"Next year, we will probably be in a range of $80 to $85 a barrel," says Rick Mueller, an analyst with Energy Security Analysis of Wakefield, Mass. "And if the US goes into a recession, the price forecast will be lower."
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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby pup55 » Tue 25 Dec 2007, 08:22:42

Note:

Dubai crude is now trading at about a $10 discount to WTI because it is heavier.

$77 is therefore the equivalent of about $87.

World Prices from EIA
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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby Tanada » Tue 25 Dec 2007, 09:10:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pup55', 'N')ote:

Dubai crude is now trading at about a $10 discount to WTI because it is heavier.

$77 is therefore the equivalent of about $87.

World Prices from EIA


How does it compare to Heavy Crude from Cantarell? As Cantarell continues its steep decline the USA will have excess heavy crude processing capacity thta might profit from Dubai as a new source....
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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby pup55 » Tue 25 Dec 2007, 09:18:05

http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/2247?nocomments

This post from The Oil Drum says that Maya is heavier than Dubai.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '7')2% of the crude oil produced in Mexico is heavy "Maya" with average API gravity of 22 degrees. Light crude has higher API gravity, and for example Brent Blend has API gravity of 38 degrees and Westexas Intermediate 39 degrees.


Dubai Fateh is 32 degrees.
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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby Tanada » Tue 25 Dec 2007, 10:43:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pup55', 'h')ttp://europe.theoildrum.com/node/2247?nocomments

This post from The Oil Drum says that Maya is heavier than Dubai.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '7')2% of the crude oil produced in Mexico is heavy "Maya" with average API gravity of 22 degrees. Light crude has higher API gravity, and for example Brent Blend has API gravity of 38 degrees and Westexas Intermediate 39 degrees.


Dubai Fateh is 32 degrees.


Hmm, there must be a major shipping charge to make Maya heavy worth more to processors compared to Dubai.
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Re: Dubai Crude to Be Traded at $77 Next Year

Postby pup55 » Wed 26 Dec 2007, 09:58:49

EIA World Prices

The Dubai is actually selling for a little more, typically, as we would expect based on gravity.

Dubai is 84.50 and Maya is 76.29. Subtract the shipping from the Dubai and that might be about right.

p.s. Hope this link is working, the feds are working on their website this morning.
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The Dubai Thread

Postby BigTex » Mon 02 Jun 2008, 09:31:44

Dubai is like a hideous hood ornament on a car that is about to drive off the edge of a cliff.

Image

For those who are familiar with the city, what exactly do they "do" in Dubai?

Image

Also, how about public transportation in Dubai? It seems like a brand new cutting edge city ought to have cutting edge transportation infrastructure. Does it?
:)
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Re: The Dubai Thread

Postby vision-master » Mon 02 Jun 2008, 09:37:15

The "new" tower of Babel?

Image
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Re: The Dubai Thread

Postby frankthetank » Mon 02 Jun 2008, 11:28:55

I still think its being built for the rich and powerful to relocate to. On the ocean, near a shitload of oil (Iraq/Iran/Saudi) and never gets too cold.
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