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The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

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The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 23:42:41

One was made by the ex-poster NEOPO. His wife and kids are on board. They accept the dire need to do something. So they go shopping for ecovillages and it turns out that the ecovillage they had scoped has nudists in it. Wife sez, "no way." Then there's jato, trapped in southern CA. Wife accepts the potential danger, but she's not going anywhere. These women understand, as I do, there's nowhere to run. People who have plans to set up when TSHTF are fooling themselves. You've got to be well set up and already have years of experience needing nothing at all from the outside now. Otherwise, best hope for some kind of mitigation that will at least get us through the hard times.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 00:01:12

Is that a nudist colony filled with hot 20 year old girls oiled up and tanning?

If so, Please provide the address. Uhm.. you know for uhm ya educational purposes.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 00:37:09

you'd better go back to the rubick's cube, j, nudies are pretty much all saggie and old. hate to rain on your parade. the cuties are wearing skimpy stuff at the beach.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 01:01:10

I'm not depressed, Shanny. There's a difference between being depressed and resigned. And I don't need any inspirational literature. This is a practical matter. It's a nuts and bolts issue. As I said, you are are either up and running with no need of the world outside or you aren't.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 01:16:09

I have to agree with you PMS. However, I see the little bit of knowledge most of us have here, and the last year or two of speculation on how things are going to go, as a good dose of preperation. It's mostly mental, but some are actually doing things. I doubt it's many who are really making progress towards what your talking about though.

I think that this knowledge will keep you out in front of the pack so to speak. Your going to already know why things are going down. It IS an advantage.

I hold on to that, and the hope we have a bit more time than some of the really hard core doomers think. I doubt there are more than just a few individuals who will ever get to where your talking about. It takes a good bit of time and basically leaving behind EVERYTHING to accomplish it. I doubt there are many here willing to even try while things are still fairly normal.

Honestly, I know I'm not. I am at least thinking about certain things which I could gaurantee you a lot of non PO aware folks aren't. I've taken some action but realistically and honestly I'm far from ever being self sufficient.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 01:41:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'I') have to agree with you PMS. However, I see the little bit of knowledge most of us have here, and the last year or two of speculation on how things are going to go, as a good dose of preperation.
I have to disagree with you, AP. I don't want to, but this is the nitty gritty. I have to resign myself to every parent's nightmare or hope for the best. The idea that I can whisk them off to safety is an illusion. Knowing ahead of time is of no use if you can't do anything about it. You say you aren't self-sufficient, well then it doesn't do you any good either. Maybe oowolf could make it with his situation back in the Bitterroot Mountains and all his plants and knowledge. But I'd wager that he will have swarms down upon him when it gets bad.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 01:49:28

Life is what it is. There is nothing any of us can ever do, to truly prepare for all contengencies. We can only deal with what comes at us when it comes.

Worrying, is only a preparation for failure. No matter what we ever do it will never be enough, I can understand PMS's resignation to the future. I myself no longer care or worry about whats coming due to this realization. I am going to continue with my life the way I am. I am going to finish up school, get a decent job and save what I can through my work.

Maybe the collapse will come in the next few years, 2012, or it could be 25 years away.

I believe those in power, will keep the facade going for some time, at least long enough for me to have a somewhat decent time, but even if they don't. I am not going to freak myself out about this, I hope that you all stop worrying as well.

It is fun to talk about the collapse and to speculate, but speculate is all that we can do.


Don't worry, be happy!
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby Bas » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 05:05:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'I')'m not depressed, Shanny. There's a difference between being depressed and resigned. And I don't need any inspirational literature. This is a practical matter. It's a nuts and bolts issue. As I said, you are are either up and running with no need of the world outside or you aren't.


I'm pretty much of the same class as you are PMS; I think it's impossible to predict the future in almost every way, much less prepare for it. Some people at least get the illusion of being in control by being selfsufficient, preparing for the worst and all that, and I wouldn't discourage such efforts, but it's not the way I work. I need to be directly confronted with a crisis for my talents of improvisation and resolve to shine, so apart from being debt free and ready to go I don't need much preperation (I am prepared to get a lot of flak for saying that though ; ) when it comes, it comes, whatever 'it' is. I'm not depressed nor resigned about it and will be even less so when the time comes.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby Bas » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 11:46:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'S')ince my kid is only 3 years old, I believe it would be selfish and stupid for me to give no thought to preparation. We all have our individual circumstances which dictate the best course of action.


I think kids must be the best reason and provide the strongest drive for preperation Shanny :)
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby gnm » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 11:53:53

Your logic does not hold PMS. If the only way to be unaffected would to be completely independent now then would it not follow that being _somewhat_ independent would lessen any negative impacts? In other words every step I take towards self sufficency will improve my/my familys lifestyle and odds as things decline. I'm anything but resigned. And as far as isolation goes I see that as being insurance against large groups of monkeys behaving badly....

-G
Last edited by gnm on Thu 11 Oct 2007, 11:54:49, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby jboogy » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 12:16:26

If your a true believer you've done something to prepare , especially if you have children . If you've got children and haven't changed anything then you either don't believe PO will happen(which means you shouldn't be here reading this ) or you've convinced yourself the effects will be minimal ( which means you've convinced yourself most of the people here are wrong), I suppose you could believe some serious shit's coming but are unable to do anything because of spousal resistance , if your a female . But if your a guy and the wife is stopping you from making the big changes necessary to prepare then you married the wrong girl or you need to do some serious work on your powers of persuasion. My wife absolutely adored FL. ( except for the hurricane ) , but when I said we need to get some land in a safer place she said okey , dokey lets go . We're not as prepared as I'd like but we're close.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby Pops » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 12:21:11

So, to review, the most salient point yet made on this site is to continue living the good life as long as possible just like all the folks who think PO is Tin-Foil-Folding Bunk because to try anything is futile.

Kind of a combination of, Our way of life is non-negotiable and the great line, We’ve tried nothing and we are all out of ideas.

I’d say the salient points would be,

Oil is finite
Oil production will mirror discovery
All forms of fossil energy will become more scarce and expensive at some point
Anything produced with that energy will also become more scarce and expensive
Crystal balls make nice conversation pieces
Can’t never did anything
Change is hard
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby jato » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 12:25:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hen there's jato, trapped in southern CA. Wife accepts the potential danger, but she's not going anywhere. These women understand, as I do, there's nowhere to run.


In her defense, RIGHT NOW everything appears to be going great here. There are problems on the horizon with the falling housing market, potential water shortage & illegal immigration epidemic. All of these problems, including the aftermath of Peak Oil only exist in my head. I believe they are real and others do not believe.

I only hope our economy can hold together for 15 more years. Then I am cashing out and moving to a different state (Montana, Idaho, Oregon?). It is a compromise, which my wife agrees to.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd I hope that doesn't offend jato


No way!

I have fully transitioned my mental attitude. I have recovered from depression, which was caused by my Peak Oil thought experiments. I have accepted and now embrace my uncertain future.
Last edited by jato on Thu 11 Oct 2007, 12:29:44, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby davep » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 12:25:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'S')o, to review, the most salient point yet made on this site is to continue living the good life as long as possible just like all the folks who think PO is Tin-Foil-Folding Bunk because to try anything is futile.

Kind of a combination of, Our way of life is non-negotiable and the great line, We’ve tried nothing and we are all out of ideas.

I’d say the salient points would be,

Oil is finite
Oil production will mirror discovery
All forms of fossil energy will become more scarce and expensive at some point
Anything produced with that energy will also become more scarce and expensive
Crystal balls make nice conversation pieces
Can’t never did anything
Change is hard


I'd amend that last one to "Change is hard, yet inevitable. So start now and get ahead of the field" or something similar.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby Aaron » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 12:42:57

"When times are hard, table manners change."
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby truecougarblue » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 14:50:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jato', ' ')

I only hope our economy can hold together for 15 more years.


I wouldn't bet on it. California is the leading edge of the slide in to 3rd world status for our debtor nation.

On topic, the most salient point for me has been that there are specific things that one can do to improve the probability for survival and enjoyment of life into the future.
Last edited by truecougarblue on Thu 11 Oct 2007, 18:01:58, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 14:55:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'Y')our logic does not hold PMS. If the only way to be unaffected would to be completely independent now then would it not follow that being _somewhat_ independent would lessen any negative impacts? In other words every step I take towards self sufficency will improve my/my familys lifestyle and odds as things decline.
I agree that if you are analyzing the trajectory towards self-suficiency and you see what still needs to be done then you are on the right track. The test will be if you can quit your job, give up money and internet and gas and cars and entertainment. If you can go from year to year producing enough food, clothing and shelter for your family with nothing from anyone, anywhere. If you can maintain the order and continuity and spirits of your group. Then maybe, just maybe, with a lot of good luck thrown in, you might last a dozen years. This is all assuming a complete crash of civilization which does seem possible. The Olduvai Theory posits a return to a Stone Age after the collapse of Industrial Civilation. I think it would be much worse than that if it turns out to be true because of th heavy amount of human cultivation of the land, the collapsed natural environments, pollutants, and so on.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby gnm » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 15:09:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'T')he test will be if you can quit your job, give up money and internet and gas and cars and entertainment. If you can go from year to year producing enough food, clothing and shelter for your family with nothing from anyone, anywhere.


Several of the first there I _could_ do. Our entertainment usually consists of hiking, gardening and the like. Internet is optional. If I no longer have net then _you_ should be worried. I could potentially handle losing the job, and massively reduce transportation use. We have no cable available and have opted not to put in satellite.

Year to year without anything from anyone? Good gawd man, I doubt it could be that serious. Its not even that bad in Zimbabwe. I _might_ be able to pull that off by living off the wilderness around me in conjunction with what I have but it would suck. I mean really if it comes to that then we're talking all out civil war/ massive dieoff (killoff) etc..... Now, where do you want to be if that was going to happen?

-G
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby Pops » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 15:12:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'I')f you can go from year to year producing enough food, clothing and shelter for your family with nothing from anyone, anywhere.

I disagree.

If I can produce an excess of something valuable then so can someone else.

Hence trade. I do not need to be totally self contained unless I am on an island.

However if I produce no excess of anything valuable then it does not matter my location unless I am self-sufficient.

Moral:
learn to produce something valuable
or learn to be self-sufficient
or sit and tap
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: The Most Salient Points Yet Made @ PO.com

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Thu 11 Oct 2007, 15:17:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', '
')
Year to year without anything from anyone? Good gawd man, I doubt it could be that serious. Its not even that bad in Zimbabwe.
not yet, but it's getting there$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') _might_ be able to pull that off by living off the wilderness around me in conjunction with what I have but it would suck.
of course it would. that's what I mean about preserving the continuity and spirits of your group. Eventually everyone will get too depressed to go on. I'm trying to make a realistic assessment of what collapse would really mean. From this I conclude there is no point in planning to bug out. We either mitigate somehow with belt-tightening and rationing and conservation or forget about it. This my view of it anyway.
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