by Jack » Sat 06 Oct 2007, 20:17:44
This post is meant to address some issues brought up by Bas and Eastbay.
For the purposes of this post, I want to define three terms.
Hispanics will refer to a specific ethnic group, and will generally be applied to U.S. citizens of the implied ethnicity.
Mexicans will refer primarily to citizens of the Republic of Mexico, as well as other nations of Central and South America.
Immigration will refer to all immigration, without regard to legality.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eastbay', 'A')nd Jack, there is no way the USA will conduct 'mass deportations' of illegals no matter how beneficial it would be. Remember, the USA spends billions annually putting on an elaborate show 'pretending' to stop illegal border crossings. America could easily and humanely stop nearly all illegal crossings, but we lack the collective will.
Absolutely true - there will be no mass deportations. The problem lies in the terms "beneficial" and "collective will". As matters stand, immigration serves to bring in relatively low priced, generally unskilled workers. Supply and demand forces suggest this will suppress wages among all unskilled and poorly skilled workers in the U.S. Notice this produces some beneficial effects - specifically, lower prices to consumers for those areas that can employ immigrant labor and also higher profits to businesses that use that particular segment of the labor force. Please let me emphasize the word "can" - it does not matter whether a particular business does in fact hire immigrants; wages for all workers in that portion of the labor force are suppressed. Notice too that wage inflation is suppressed by the presence of abundant immigrant labor.
Illegal immigrants have fewer options than do legal immigrants. Therefore, the effect of wage suppression is more pronounced so long as some substantial part of the flow of immigrants are illegal. The flow of illegal immigrants does increase some costs. For example, illegal immigrants will use hospital emergency rooms for medical care, thus increasing the burden on taxpayers. Notice that those who hire illegal immigrants transfer the private costs of employment to the public, thus further enhancing their gains.
What is our collective will? On the one hand, we as a people want low prices. We want cheaper construction (hence lower construction crew wages), cheaper agricultural products (hence lower farm worker wages), and cheaper restaurant meals (hence lower wages again). We also want to avoid the social, economic, and political costs of large-scale immigration. Our will is unclear.
We refuse to choose. This is not unlike a desire to reduce national dependence on foreign oil coupled with a desire to buy large private vehicles.
Because we aren't clear what we want, we are not willing to take such drastic actions as mass deportations. Cheap Mexican labor is too precious to us.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bas', 'F')or myself, I've grown increasingly hateful of people who really don't care (of whom there are very few IMO), the dumb, the ignorant and the insensitive.
Here, too, the collective will is unclear.
Within Texas, we have numerous schools that are 90% Hispanic, with large populations of at-risk students. At-risk students are those who are regarded as unlikely to finish high school.
In fact, many fail to complete high school. They are locked into a cycle of poverty that is unlikely to be broken over the duration of their lives. Some studies suggest that the pattern is set as early as the third grade. Hispanics in general seek to avoid debt, and many (certainly not all) are in lower socio-economic categories. This further reduces the number who seek, or complete, higher educational programs.
Notice the consequences. We have schools churning out large numbers of unskilled and poorly-skilled workers. These workers compete with immigrant labor. The lowered wages, a consequence of the present immigration policies, tends to foreclose any possibility for numerous Hispanics to advance their socioeconomic status.
Some argue that they care about immigrants who are "seeking a better life". The influx of immigrants will injure the existing population of Hispanics.
If one wishes for wages to unskilled workers to increase, one must reduce the supply of such workers - hence, the influx must be reduced or eliminated.
In a growing, robust economy, the demand for labor would secure advancement for both Hispanics and Mexican immigrants. In a stagnate economy, the present paradigm will suppress wages, creating social costs and friction.
And in a distressed economy? The possibility for significant suffering among the domestic lower socioeconomic strata of all ethnicities looms large. Social unrest and crime seem likely outcomes.
If we expect a shrinking economy, and if we want to protect as much of the domestic population (without regard to ethnic background) as possible from the worst consequences, we ought to consider the effect of continued immigration. We won't of course - just as we won't prepare for peak oil or climate change.
So our Canadian friends to the north had best build a robust electric fence. I think a great many U.S. citizens are going to develop a fondness for vinegar on their French fries.